The Packers Are Counting on Three Former First Round Picks to Live Up to Expectations This Year

Green Bay Packers GM Brian Gutekunst tends to draft elite athletes in the first round regardless of college production with the belief that good coaching can develop them into elite football players. He has followed that pattern, with mixed results, throughout his tenure in Green Bay. Well, this season, the Packers are counting on three of Gutekunst’s former first round development projects to play much bigger roles and live up to their pre-draft potential. Their ability to step up and take on bigger roles will be vital to the chances for success in 2026.

Edge Lukas Van Ness

The Packers selected Lukas Van Ness with the 13th overall pick in 2023. Through his first three seasons in the NFL, Van Ness has started only two games with both of them coming in 2025.

The former Iowa star has recorded a total of 8.5 sacks over three seasons. While injuries have slowed his development at times, Van Ness has yet to become a starter in the NFL. His highest sack total in a season remains the four he recorded as a rookie. He has remained a rotational player for the Packers, never playing more than 45 percent of the team’s defensive snaps in the games he appeared in over any of his first three seasons.

The Packers knew “Hercules” was a project when they selected him. He has been buried on the depth chart behind Preston Smith, Rashan Gary and now Micah Parsons.

The Packers will be counting on Van Ness this season, especially in the first few weeks of the new campaign. Gary has been traded to the Cowboys. Parsons will likely miss the team’s first few games as he continues to rehab from a torn ACL suffered last December in Denver. New defensive coordinator Jonathan Gannon will need Van Ness to be the team’s top pass rusher until Parsons returns to the lineup.

Even after Parsons is at full strength, the Packers expect Van Ness to remain a starter on the opposite side of Parsons and to provide the team with pressure on opposing quarterbacks and stout defense against the run. For the first time in his career, Van Ness will be a starter, and the team will need him to deliver if they hope to contend this season.

OT Jordan Morgan

Gutekunst selected offensive lineman Jordan Morgan with the 25th overall pick in the 2024 draft. Because his arm length was slightly below the Packers ideal standards, the team wasn’t sure if he would play tackle or guard in the NFL. The coaching staff cross trained him at both positions and played him on both the left and right side of the line over his first two seasons. The constant switching likely slowed his development.

But this year, with the departure of Rasheed Walker to Carolina, the Packers will be counting on Morgan to play left tackle and protect Jordan Love’s blind side.

At OTAs, Morgan has impressed Hall of Famer Joe Thomas, who was in attendance as a member of the media.

The Packers lack depth along the offensive line and will be counting on Morgan to hold down what is largely considered the most vital position along the offensive line.

WR Matthew Golden

Matthew Golden became the first wide receiver selected by the Packers in the first round of the draft in more than two decades when they used the 23rd overall pick in the 2025 NFL Draft.

Golden became part of the team’s receiving rotation as a rookie but started only five games while playing 14. He caught 29 passes for 361 yards and showed flashes of the speed and hands that made him a number one pick. His route running and consistency need to improve for him to develop into a quality starter in the NFL.

This offseason, the Packers parted ways with both Romeo Doubs and Dontayvion Wicks, two players who were ahead of Golden on the team’s depth chart for most of last season. Now, they will be relying on Golden along with Jayden Reed and Christian Watson, to be the starters and top targets for Love.

With the depth behind these three starters unproven, the Packers will need Golden to step up and take on a bigger role in 2026 for the offense to reach its potential.

These three former first-round picks will be critical to the Packers success this season. If they fail to live up to expectations, the team could struggle and Gutekunst’s reputation for gambling on athletes in the first round may be called into question even more than it currently is.

 

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Comments (39)

Fan-Friendly This filter will hide comments which have ratio of 5 to 1 down-vote to up-vote.
Since'61's picture

May 23, 2026 at 10:33 am

I hope that LVN has more upside than he has shown however I'm concerned that if we haven't seen it after 3 seasons we may never see any further upside from LVN. 8.5 sacks in three seasons should be his total for a complete season and after 3 years even that would be a poor showing for the #13 pick in a draft.

IMO Morgan should have been the LT from the beginning following his selection in the first round of the 2024 draft. He would be a 2 year vet LT by now. Walker could have been moved to RT and Tom should have been to Center which many Packers coaches believed is his best position. We could have kept Jenkins at LG and would have not had the need to sign Banks to a $77 million contract. Leaving cap space for numerous other team needs and less need for musical OLs over the last 2 seasons.

As for Golden he should have had more snaps last season if the goal was to give him a larger role in 2026. Hopefully after a full season and the upcoming TC and preseason he will ready for his starting role in 2026. He has great hands and he could become a very valuable weapon in the Packers offensive arsenal.

These three players and how they have been handled to date just adds to the question marks around Gute as a GM and MLF as the HC. When I look at these 3 players plus many others since Gute has become GM and MLF was hired as HC I can't help but wonder if these guys actually know what they are doing. I should also include Murphy and now Policy in that statement. This is Gute's 9th season as GM and MLFs 8th season as the HC. Together they do not have much to show for their time in their positions and would have even less to show if the league did not expand the playoff format.

Since Rodgers won his last MVP in 2021 the team has declined and moved farther away from the NFCCG. Where are the results? Why are positions and depth unaddressed for season after season? Why are the same mistakes, penalties, time management, miscommunication, poor STs performance, questionable in game decisions, etc. repeated season after season? And now we are entering the 2026 season with at least as many questions marks as the team has had in any previous season since Gute has been GM. Why were him and MLF extended? I'm not confident that we can expect any more in 2026 than we have seen since the 2022 season. Thanks, Since '61

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Dragon5's picture

May 23, 2026 at 12:41 pm

👉Insanity👈

Have said for several months now, Gute's receipts come due next Feb in his enemy year, and somehow, someway, a left hook of public scrutiny awaits. Being enemy signs, I would not be surprised to see his relationship with MLF fracture/become strained, perhaps even small reveals to the public eye.

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SicSemperTyrannis's picture

May 24, 2026 at 06:10 pm

Zodiac has nothing to do with it. Gutey and MLF have never been on the same page, and that's only becoming more apparent. When they aren't in sync it makes it impossible to evaluate Gutey, and more difficult to confidently assess MLF, even with his obvious and repeated weaknesses. Kinda like we can't really know what Stenovitch contributes.

Hopefully they put all this behind them this season and achieve their potential this year ...

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TKWorldWide's picture

May 23, 2026 at 12:50 pm

Reading what you’ve got here makes me say “Ouch” and “I agree” in equal measures.
Joe Thomas, Mark Tauscher, and Bryan Bulaga all agree that Morgan has what it takes for success at LT. If he flops it would be catastrophic.
Golden has great speed and hands, and a clear route to extensive playing time this year. I’m very optimistic about him.
LVN? Micah raved about him after joining the team last year. His lack of endorsement of Gary spoke volumes. Can LVN stay healthy and produce? I’m at about 50/50 on him. Time will tell.

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SicSemperTyrannis's picture

May 24, 2026 at 06:23 pm

OP's comment about O line depth behind our presumed "best five" is a media cliche at this point. While none of them are proven, there should be several that are at least good. Again this depends greatly on our coaching staff's ability to develop them, maybe as much as the player's inherent talent. Out of 16 O linemen currently on the 91, ideally we'd retain 13 between the 53 and PS.

Picking the worst three is probably more important than the variability in the three in this article, presuming none of them outright suck and they can play 17 games.

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jannes bjornson's picture

May 23, 2026 at 01:13 pm

The Choir accepts your Sermon. When they gave this crew third Contracts, the philosophy of embracing Average became the Norm. Van Ness should have never been offered a fifth year extension. The whiff on Gary and this guy to get the job done in crunch time, especially during the Playoff Game(s) has led to desperate measures, moving Clark and two One Picks for Parsons. The other two, going through the motions.
There needs to be a new paradigm introduced to change this iteration of nostalgic recall vs the reality of the moment. To begin with, Gutedkunst was not very good at scouting the Southeast territory. They have a guy who doesn't evaluate Value very well in Ball, who has delivered more questionable payroll decisions as part of the tri-partate decision tree. The GM should be controlling the cash register, but as it is we are in the grey zone. The House cleaning was in order, but Stasis was the verdict.

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13TimeChamps's picture

May 23, 2026 at 01:35 pm

.

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13TimeChamps's picture

May 23, 2026 at 01:36 pm

Imagining Morgan, Jenkins, Tom, Rhyan, Walker playing together for the past 2 years as opposed to all the maddening musical chairs, square peg/round hole approach the team has employed over that time is hard to understand. This would be their 3rd year together. I don't think it's hyperbole to think that would be one of the better Olines in the league at this point.

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Coldworld's picture

May 23, 2026 at 03:12 pm

The handling of the OL group has been baffling throughout the time Stenavich was promoted. In fact since he persuaded LaFleur that the best thing to do was go into a championship game with an almost completely reconfigured OL as opposed to the one which got us there. That very probably lost us the game.

Since then we’ve had a litany of odd positional decisions, role sharing and personnel choices I will sum up as the Hansen/Newman experience, but which extend to players not being able to play positions and then being forced to only with zero preparation.

There is, to me at least, no rational exculpatory explanation or excuse for these things and last year might have been the most egregious over a season we’ve yet seen. Yet the Head Coach remains and so does both the OC and line coach. There’s no way that can be explained away adequately any more than the failure to improve run blocking despite going to an overtly run first offense.

I want to believe in this team, but I really can’t with this unaddressed unless somehow it can be overcome by a team playing with it as the one proverbial hand behind its back. Is this the year the pennies have finally dropped and the talent will actually be prepared & used optimally through having exhausted mistaken permutations? Maybe. Otherwise we will again be fielding an offense insistent on being less good than its talent along the line ought to be, to the direct and visible detriment of not only run and pass play but game control.

If these problems continue this year, I really do not see how the extensions granted this off season won’t look incredibly foolish and result in us swallowing the cost of at least one only one year in.

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Starrbrite's picture

May 23, 2026 at 05:19 pm

‘61—An outstanding summation.

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Since'61's picture

May 23, 2026 at 09:44 pm

👍 Thanks, Since '61

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TKWorldWide's picture

May 24, 2026 at 05:05 am

Cookie for the cookie giver!?

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Since'61's picture

May 24, 2026 at 12:24 pm

Why not, I like cookies. Thanks, Since '61

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Since'75's picture

May 24, 2026 at 11:50 am

As usual...Since '61 provides the meticulous voice of reason on this site.

Although our messaging is the same.
'61 does it in a more refined, calm, and eloquent manner.

As always....since i've read '61's first post, much respect.
**********
It is nice to see, various fans saying now, what i've said in the past.

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Izardm's picture

May 24, 2026 at 03:33 pm

Tell it like it is Brother!

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DragonSilk's picture

May 23, 2026 at 11:02 am

My order of optimism for these guys is:
1. Golden. He has all the tools, and I think this will be a huge year for him.
2. LVN. Hopefully he has gotten stronger and can stay healthy. If so, he should do a lot better job than Gary did opposite Micah. We just can't expect too much before Micah is back.
3. Morgan. I hate when they spend a No. 1 on a guy and then say, "His arm length isn't ideal." Might as well give him the dreaded "tweener" designation. I think if he was ever going to be great, he would have shown more by now. Whether at guard or tackle.

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PackerBackerAZ's picture

May 23, 2026 at 12:36 pm

Golden has all the tools except good route running and blocking in the run game. His hands and speed should allow him to succeed.
LVN was called Hercules out of college and was plenty strong. He has never developed a pass rush repertoire with only the bull rush in his wheelhouse.
Morgan was never allowed to play left tackle by coaches decision. That kept him from developing/refining the necessary technique to be successful at the position. With this offseason and training camp to develop his technique, I believe he'll play the position at an acceptable level. I think he'll become a really good left tackle in the coming years.

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jannes bjornson's picture

May 23, 2026 at 01:22 pm

How do you think Kevin O'Connell would have used Golden? This guy is a receiver, not a TE. TEs are supposed to block the corner of the formation, move in short motion to the inside gaps, or maybe sign a true Fullback ,if you want to make believe you are a smash mouth running team. The lack of usage for Morgan as the LT in 2025 is absurd. Move Walker over, trade him, or set him up as the swing OT.
When Joe Thomas makes a comment, it usually rings true.

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PackerBackerAZ's picture

May 23, 2026 at 01:50 pm

I have no idea how O'Connel would use Golden. The Packers have traditionally expected the receivers to block downfield in the run game and he isn't good enough, yet.

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Coldworld's picture

May 24, 2026 at 06:43 am

I have no idea how others would have handled Golden. I will however say this of how we handled him and have handled others on offense. If a new player is struggling to master the playbook route trees, that becomes very obvious to coaches early, or should do. I think the reaction to that if you want a player to contribute effectively should be to narrow his focus initially, get him to master one role or a limited route tree and use him accordingly.

We, on the other hand continue to throw such players in everywhere and hope. Stop, take a breath, split up the back up roles. That may mean less snaps in total Initially but it likely results in better outcomes and increased confidence from those he is out there for and better overall production.

To me this is coaching 101 level stuff, regardless of the sport in question. The off season is the time to build new facets around what is already mastered. Golden is not the first player that has prompted these frustrations under the watch of the current coaches, though he’s the most recent and highest profile skill player. For any of his coaches to blame him for failure to master everything is in fact misdirecting criticism that should fall on the speaker.

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Coldworld's picture

May 24, 2026 at 06:23 am

Morgan has a greater wingspan than Tom, though his arms are roughly half an inch shorter. For a T, its wingspan that is of more importance than arm length because it impacts the angles he can seal.

However, only for a statue is that the majority of the picture. The other part is mobility—foot quickness, lateral speed, balance. The fleet of foot can greatly extend their coverage range. Tom is a classic example and, the bonus of doing it that way is that such players tend to be better balanced, not playing at the end of their reach or on the edge of balance/leverage.

Morgan has quick feet and is very good at lateral movement. That was known when he entered the draft. His strengths were mobility, range and balance. That is of limited value inside. As noted its potentially critical outside, especially for one of his build.

I have absolutely no worries about Morgan having the combined physique and traits to be a good. That isn’t to say that I’m guaranteeing that they are good enough to bring success. Partly that’s because there is a mental component and partly because I’ve not really seen enough of him playing T at this level with adequate preparation.

However, he’s a lot better suited to T than G where his best attributes are largely negated and he’s a similar type to Tom based on college play. As pointed out, if Tom has enough wingspan to fly, Morgan certainly does.

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splitpea1's picture

May 23, 2026 at 11:28 am

Well, that's why we drafted them in the first round: to take the reins over at some point, and that point is now. I think Golden and Morgan are up to the task. LVN, despite increasing his pressure rate and being a reliable run defender, has to produce more sacks and impact plays; whether he can do that as the top dog without the immense talent on the other side remains to be seen. Keep your fingers crossed that Sorrell shows a lot of growth, Cox stays healthy, and that DDS shows he's the real deal relatively early. Gannon can help out by sending Cooper to the QB at opportune times; pressure may need to be manufactured a little more often.

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Starrbrite's picture

May 23, 2026 at 05:22 pm

Why I agree with GolfPacker—let’s sign Clowney now and allow the competition to shake out at camp.

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splitpea1's picture

May 23, 2026 at 08:02 pm

The Packers are betting on LVN's trajectory and I guess we'll find out once and for all if he was worth it. You know how much Gute believes in his players--sometimes to a fault. I agree that signing Clowney would be nice insurance, but so far the Packers apparently don't. I can't imagine him costing that much, and he has a history of signing incentive-laden contracts.

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Coldworld's picture

May 24, 2026 at 09:00 am

To my mind the choice was to trade LVN and bring in a veteran or stick with LVN in the hope he breaks out. If I had to bet on the most sacks this year per snap of the returning players I’d bet on Cox. Quite probably he’s the one adding Clowney would mean cutting. Sorrell, Oliver, DDS are going nowhere so unless you think they will keep 7 (including Parsons) then we’d be cutting the one back up that has actually produced sacks on a multi game basis previously at anything close to a significant rate (admittedly in a smaller sample).

Absent injuries I don’t see us signing a veteran now (even then we might not if Kelly proved surprisingly good). We are going to have to hope that some among those that we have picked up prove to be wise choices.

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Ray-66's picture

May 23, 2026 at 07:27 pm

I'm interested in seeing what Oliver can do now that he is a full year removed from injury. He would have been a first round draft pick. He could still be the steal of that draft.

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Coldworld's picture

May 24, 2026 at 07:10 am

It’s interesting. Athletically they are very similar. The difference is that we all assume Oliver is so much smaller. In fact, at the combine, the difference was 6 pounds (240:246). Parsons initially added weight but subsequently had stated that he had reversed that to regain agility and burst. Oliver actually benched about 25% more than Parsons at testing.

I wish I’d seen more of Oliver, but while allowing that Parsins is a proven commodity and Oliver is not, if Oliver has added 5 pounds or so then we might be looking at 2 players with very similar mass (Parsons is an inch taller).

I’ve been waiting to see the two standing together (likely now to take a while given Parsons is rehabbing). I am actually not convinced that Oliver is any less of a versatile prospect than Parsons has become. Parsons has claimed to have played at as low as 240 and as high as 255. However, by the summer before he was traded, he was reputedly in the mid upper 240s.

While Parsons never going to be a run down specialist, he’s not a liability in the context of what he is. I don’t see any reason why Oliver can be any less capable in run play if he’s been working on adding a little functional mass. If that’s the case, we may indeed have found a far more valuable gem.

Obviously, that’s all on paper: Oliver has to prove he can make it happen on the field. Athleticism does not guarantee that. On paper, however, they are far more similar bodies and athletically comparative than I think anyone had really grasped, with all that could signify for our rush.

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SicSemperTyrannis's picture

May 24, 2026 at 06:38 pm

We have two other pass rushers who are due to develop into good players this year.

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stockholder's picture

May 23, 2026 at 06:34 pm

This whole team is depending on Morgan.
Let's not kid ourselves.

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TKWorldWide's picture

May 23, 2026 at 07:44 pm

Why Would
We
Kid ourselves?
There switching BaCk to the
3-4-4
And the super-Bowl
Is tHe goAl.

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Since'75's picture

May 24, 2026 at 12:33 pm

It's time to win Championships

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TKWorldWide's picture

May 25, 2026 at 12:54 pm

Not to be confused with championshits.

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jannes bjornson's picture

May 26, 2026 at 05:19 pm

But not on Tom staying healthy? Who is the replacement on either side?

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GregC's picture

May 23, 2026 at 09:00 pm

This article lost me in the first sentence with the suggestion that none of these three players were productive in college. Jordan Morgan was a very good starting left tackle against quality competition. I don't know what more you could expect of an offensive lineman in his college career. Matthew Golden was very productive toward the end of his third season, and it did not look like a fluke. Most people seemed to agree on this, which is why he was projected to be drafted right around where the Packers picked him, if not earlier. LVN is the only one of the three who was picked much more on athleticism than production. I think the narrative of Gute picking athleticism over production is way overblown, however.

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Coldworld's picture

May 24, 2026 at 07:38 am

The narrative here is, but Gute has not denied that if push comes to shove, absent a player they love he will take high upside over high floor early. There is good reason for that picking later in the first round. The high floor, high upside types are gone (or unrecognized).

What Gute has always done in the first round is pick young with the sole exception of Wyatt at 24 (who was still a bit of a project). Of the 9 picks, 6 have been 21 and 2 were 22:

2018 - Jaire Alexander - CB - Louisville - No. 18 overall - RAS: 9.54 - Age: 21
2019 - Rashan Gary - EDGE - Michigan - No. 12 overall - RAS: 9.95 - Age: 21
2019 - Darnell Savage - S - Maryland - No. 21 overall - RAS: 8.35 - Age: 21
2020 - Jordan Love - QB - Utah State - No. 26 overall - RAS: 8.46 - Age: 21
2021 - Eric Stokes - CB - Georgia - No. 29 overall - RAS: 9.38 - Age: 22
2022 - Quay Walker - LB - Georgia - No. 22 overall - RAS: 9.63 - Age: 21
2022 - Devonte Wyatt - DL - Georgia - No. 27 overall - RAS: 9.60 - Age: 24
2023 - Lukas Van Ness - EDGE - Iowa - No. 13 overall - RAS: 9.39 - Age: 21
2024 - Jordan Morgan - OL - Arizona - No. 25 overall - RAS: 9.25 - Age 22

Of the above, I would argue that really only Gary and Van Ness were true picks based on athleticism over production. I could make an argument that a 2 or 3 were one year wonders, including Wyatt, but, other than him, that’s not unusual with players that young. Love was obviously a project and perhaps us a sufficiently different proposition to exclude in most ways.

For the most part though, the vast majority do not fit a narrative that they hadn’t produced in college. Of the two who I identify as having been open to that claim, I’d argue Gary largely proved to be worth his pick if not his second contract and thus far Van Ness looks like a reach. Indeed, 3 years in he is a reach that just hasn’t run out of time to redeem himself. I doubt that, had Gute had a crystal ball, he’d expend that capital on a player who has achieved what Van Ness has going into year 4.

If that’s the sole basis of the criticism of Gute’s approach though, it’s a pretty weak one. That’s not to say Gute can’t be criticized for value in others, but the claim he just reaches unsuccessfully for athletes who haven’t produced is, as you suggest, almost completely baseless.

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Since'75's picture

May 24, 2026 at 12:37 pm

"I’d argue Gary largely proved to be worth his pick if not his second contract...."

I usually agree with 95% of what you write, but...... 🙄😁
***********
Ok...lol
****
Ponder this.......
If Gary was worth his draft status, and worth his 2nd contract, he'd still be here.

Or the Packers could have reworked his deal to keep him here.
Obviously, they weren't interested.

The Cowboys didn't rework his deal with a 'pay cut' because they thought his 2nd contract was deserved.
Obviously Gary and his agent didn't either, because they agreed to a pay cut.
**********
Never give up!! 👍😁

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Handsback's picture

May 24, 2026 at 08:50 am

Just a couple of thoughts, first off a big thank you to all that served! One weekend just isn't enough.
Second point, we always want to compare young players to established stars like Parson. LVN is a young Reggie White type player, not a edge pass rushing speed demon like Parson. LVN isn't as polished nor the strength of Reggie, but he can grow into a similar type player. In the three years of building him up maybe the coaches are seeing a player that will be disruptive in both rushing the passer and stopping the run.
Golden, has the hands and speed...like Joe Thomas praising Morgan, Steve Smith praised Golden for his game performance. His question was why the Packers weren't using him more.
Green Bay isn't drafting finished superstars like Parson, their players need some seasoning, added strength and maturity. We will find out if they have chosen wisely soon enough.
JMHO

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LeotisHarris's picture

May 25, 2026 at 06:16 pm

"first off a big thank you to all that served! One weekend just isn't enough."

We have a federal holiday on November 11th every year. Veterans Day is observed to honor and thank all living American military veterans for their service.

Memorial Day is a federal holiday observed on the last Monday of May each year. Memorial Day is a day to honor those who died while serving in the US armed forces.

No snark intended. People get the days mixed up.

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Since'75's picture

May 24, 2026 at 12:25 pm

When coaches don't give a player the most opportunity's (regardless of draft position), whether it be snaps, targets, or what have you, there are usually sound reason's for it.

It sometimes works opposite...as in the case of Davante Adams.
Some fans hated him being in there, many wanted him benched in favor of Jeff Janis.
This was years ago (down the hall)
I told those fans...obviously Rodgers and McCarthy see something in Adams, that Janis didn't possess.
History told us, how true that was.

Will Morgan take a 3rd year leap into a real starting contributer?
Hell, i don't know.

Will LVN make his 4th year leap equal to expectations?
History tells us...that chance is slim.

Will Golden show more productivity, and show more of the flashes that we've seen?
With the absence of Doubs and Wicks, more opportunities are forthcoming.
**********
At the end of the day. We need more than just 3 former 1st rounders to play up to expectations.

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