The Unsung Hero In The Packers Defensive Revival

With the Packers improved defense this season under Jeff Hafley, second half adjustments have fueled Green Bay's defensive resurgence.

When new Green Bay Packers defensive coordinator Jeff Hafely returned to the NFL from his head coaching gig at Boston College, it was a true wait-and-see test without bringing previous defensive coordinator experience in the NFL.

The defense quickly earned a reputation as ball hawks, racking up five interceptions in their first two games after only seven all of last season. Hafley, a defensive back coach himself, has had an easier road thanks to Xavier McKinney's All-Pro-level safety play and Edgerrin Cooper and Evan Williams's somewhat unexpectedly contributing All-Rookie-level play to an already talented defense on paper.

Despite concerningly slow starts in the front half of the season from top pass rushers Rashan Gary, Kenny Clark, Lukas Van Ness, and now Pittsburgh Steeler Preston Smith, the pass rush has made drastic strides since the Packers week 10 bye.

Through it all, though, and despite star cornerback Jaire Alexander again becoming well acquainted with the weekly injury report, there's been a consistent theme for Hafley's unit: superb second-half defense.

For context, the Packers are roughly a middle-of-the-pack first-half defense, allowing an average of 11.5 points after two quarters. However, Hafley has proven he can come out of the locker room with a plan to put any offense back in the box.

Packers' opponents spend an average of 29:28 on offense per game, the 12th-lowest mark. After halftime, it's consistently difficult for them to gain momentum, as Green Bay's defense has been delivering on getting the ball back in Jordan Love's hands.

A powerful indicator that Hafley and Co. are able to successfully identify and exploit weaknesses is not only through their stifling third down defense, but 70% of the Packers 40 sacks this season have come in the second half.

To that, teams average only 9.0 points in the second half against the Packers after 15 weeks, the fourth-lowest total in the NFL. It'd also rank as the Packers' lowest second half points allowed since arguably one of their best defenses in franchise history allowed 7.9 in their 2010 Super Bowl-winning season.

The considerable improvement season over season is also a nod to Hafley's ability to win the mind game battle to close out ball games. Green Bay is allowing 2.7 less second half points per game this season, marking their third widest margin of improvement season over season in the past decade.

Better yet, the second half defense has been at its finest at Lambeau Field where teams are averaging only 6.1 points per second half at Green Bay, good for the second-lowest in the NFL. In fact, it's arguably been the Packers most noticeable "home field advantage" as their 2.7 points allowed in the fourth quarter at home is the lowest in football.

All this is to say, that for the first time in a long time, the Packers defense is once again a relevant stakeholder in the Packers closing out and winning ball games.

Sure, cornerback play has been shaky at times this year and maybe they could be better covering the middle of the field or screen plays. But top to bottom, Hafley has this defense off and running in year one and it's only been getting better as the season progresses.

It also seems the first half defense has started to pull its weight more in the past three weeks, as they're allowing the 6th fewest points per first half (7.7) over that span. If the defense keeps putting together complete games, the Packers offense will be the least of an opponents issues in the playoffs.

Having done all this with limited availability from Alexander and some other defensive starters missing games throughout the year, the Packers defense likely hasn't played it's best ball yet this season. Even so, they're unquestionably a top three second half defense in football, which has paid dividends for them dictating the game flow.

It would appear the Green Bay Packers once again "have a defense".

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Based in Seattle, Austin's roots are in Wisconsin and he bleeds Green & Gold. He also currently writes for Lombardi Ave and has been featured on various Packers podcasts. Follow him on Twitter at @AustinKrueger_.

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Comments (49)

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Bitternotsour's picture

December 18, 2024 at 10:28 am

The defense is good enough to get the team playing in February. Arguably that was true last year too. A new safety room has revitalized the back end, and the nickel package with 2 fast linebackers shows real promise.

It's all going to come down to the offense. The defense will do enough.

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NFLfan's picture

December 18, 2024 at 12:02 pm

Still have major holes in the CB room and the DL. Just think if the Safeties and Edgerrin Cooper didn't have to carry so much extra responsibility for 5-6 under-performers-let's keep it real.

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WestCoastPackerBacker's picture

December 18, 2024 at 01:36 pm

I don't know about "major holes" in the CB room and the DL. The DL has been playing well since the bye, both run D and rushing the passer. Valentine is playing better, and Stokes had a quietly good game against SEA, playing 100% of the snaps. At the very least, he wasn't a problem.

If Jaire is close to getting back and can play in the post season, then "major holes" is way to strong of a judgment on that group. Hoping Bullard can get back by the post season, too.

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SicSemperTyrannis's picture

December 22, 2024 at 10:44 pm

Ja against the Queens is a must. Without winning that game there's no chance for the #5 seed. With that win maybe still the #6, but almost certainly not the #7.

Ja and Bull in the postseason, without losing anyone else? Just add the team finally playing for 60 minutes and we've got a dream scenario ...

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Leatherhead's picture

December 18, 2024 at 01:03 pm

Truth in a nutshell. Our last three seasons have ended with bad offensive failures.

2021.....We hold the opponent without a TD and lose because we only score 10 points on our home field.

2022.....Needing to win the last game of the season, we score 16 , on our homefield, against one of the worst defenses in the league.

2023.....We scored 21 on the road against the NFC's best team.

Again, last year, 13 playoff games, and the winner had at least 24 in 12 of them. It's an offensive league. I'm kind of excited that we've scored 30 in four straight, but it only takes one bad day in the playoffs....or one bad half, even....to end your season.

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GregC's picture

December 18, 2024 at 01:24 pm

I think the offense and defense were about equally to blame for the playoff loss to the 49ers last year. Point totals were right around the league average and may have been suppressed a little by rain and by Deebo Samuel getting knocked out of the game in the first half. Honestly, I think the 49ers were just a slightly better team on both sides of the ball.

I would love to have at least a top 10 defense so we have a chance of winning if the offense has a rough day. It sure came in handy at the end of the 2010 season when they beat the Bears 21-14 in the NFC championship game.

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Leatherhead's picture

December 18, 2024 at 01:39 pm

The point totals were around the league average. But SF was not an average team. This was the #3 offense, at home. They were only held under 24 a couple of times and their average at home was almost 29 ppg. So holding them to 24 is an achievement.

But scoring 21 is not. Not only is 21 almost never enough to win a playoff game, but other teams had run it up over 30 on SF.

We had a defense in 2021 that held the 49ers with a TD, but still lost because the offense had a historically rouogh day. We had a defense in 2023 that went on the road against the top scoring team in the league and choked the life out of them until we were up 27-0. But apparently, that defense wasn't good enough either.

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GregC's picture

December 18, 2024 at 03:30 pm

The 49ers also had the #3 DEFENSE in the NFL. They had allowed an average of 17.5 points per game and were playing at home in the rain, so maybe scoring 21 against them was not so bad.

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SicSemperTyrannis's picture

December 22, 2024 at 10:47 pm

Losing still sucks.

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LLCHESTY's picture

December 18, 2024 at 02:36 pm

10th in points per game isn't really doing that great. The difference between the best and worst teams in PPG is 12.3 point. The difference between 10th and 20th is 1.6 PPG. That can easily be the difference between a tough schedule and an easier one. The Packers are currently 8th but how many teams are going to play 5 games against teams with 13 or 14 wins?

Some on here would have you believe there isn't much difference between this year's D and last year's D. That is quite simply untrue. They already have 8 more turnovers than all of last year and the schedule and QBs faced are much tougher this year. Plus, this defense is more fun to watch! It was demoralizing to watch the ball get shoved down their throat to the tune of 200+ yards rushing four times last year. Take what the Packers did against Seattle on the 1st drive spread out over a full game four times? 🤮No thank you.

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Guam's picture

December 18, 2024 at 05:20 pm

One last stab at trying to compare the 2023 and 2024 Packers defenses. Some are fond of pointing out that this year's defense is only one tenth of a point better than last year's (20.6 PPG in 2023 versus 20.5 ppg in 2024 year to date) so they really are about the same quality of defense.

The one tenth of a point decline in 2024 occurred despite league scoring being up 8% year-to-year across all teams. Average scoring across all teams in 2023 was 21.1 ppg while average scoring across all teams YTD in 2024 is 22.8 ppg, an 8% increase. So Hafley's defense has managed a slight decline in opponent scoring despite an increase in scoring league wide.

If you look at specific Packer opponents in 2023 versus 2024, the difference becomes even greater. Packer opponents in 2023 scored an average of 19.0 ppg (over all 17 games) versus a league wide average of 21.1 ppg. The Joe Barry Packer defense gave up an average of 20.6 ppg to teams that only averaged 19.0 ppg for the season. Barry's defense allowed opponents to score 1.6 more points per game than their season average.

Contrast that with 2024 scoring. Packer opponents are averaging 23.3 ppg across 14 opponents year to date. However the Hafley Packer defense is only allowing opponents to score 20.5 ppg or 2.8 points ppg below the opponent's season scoring average. That is holding opponents 12% below their season average and a 4.4 (2.8 + 1.6) ppg swing in year-to-year scoring defense adjusted for the scoring averages of actual opponents played.

Which defense would you rather have?

PS: LLChesty: This data strongly supports your anecdotes on poor opponents and second string quarterbacks of 2023 versus 2024 when the Packers have had to play some of the highest powered offenses in the league (Detroit twice, the Eagles and the Vikings). Strength of schedule matters when evaluating your team.

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AustinKrueger's picture

December 18, 2024 at 05:32 pm

This is some tremendous extra context! Gets me all giddy and feeling warm inside being able to say impressive things about the Packers defense.

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LLCHESTY's picture

December 18, 2024 at 06:01 pm

The stubbornness to wrongly dispute this is incredible, especially not admitting that turnovers make an offense's job easier and add points. I don't know anyone(well maybe I do) that would disagree that winning teams almost always have positive turnover differentials. Last year they they were net zero on turnovers and +33 in point differential. This year they're +10 in turnover differential and +92 in point differential. Some years ago someone did a study that said turnovers were on average worth 3.36 points. To argue that more turnovers DON'T equal more points is beyond comprehension.

Not being able to admit being wrong is a hell of a way to go through life.

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Leatherhead's picture

December 18, 2024 at 05:22 pm

Last year's team: 20.5 ppg scoring defense
This year's team: 20.5 ppg scoring defense.

Now, that's after a new DC, an elite free agent addition,and the addition of several rookies who have contributed significantly.

So now it's turnovers, last year it was yards/rush defense, it's always something else with you. It's about points, and nothing else matters.

''''Which defense would you rather have?'''

I'd rather have the defense that went on the road in the playoffs and stomped the league's leading offense.

Do you think we have that this year? Because that's what we had last year.

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Guam's picture

December 18, 2024 at 05:32 pm

Very minor point but the source I use has the 2023 average at 20.6 ppg, not 20.5.

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LLCHESTY's picture

December 18, 2024 at 05:55 pm

"I'd rather have the defense that went on the road in the playoffs and stomped the league's leading offense."

Congratulations on your uniqueness, because you're the only one.

Which defense do you think is more physical?

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Bitternotsour's picture

December 18, 2024 at 06:11 pm

wtf does that even mean. is there a "more physical metric". do some of the guys on this defense make you moist while you watch. christ you're weird.

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LLCHESTY's picture

December 18, 2024 at 06:27 pm

It's simple, more physical teams tend to do better in the playoffs. You don't realize that some teams are more physical and control the LOS better than others? 🙄

IMO being wrong and not being able to admit it is what's weird. But still no reason to be a little bitch about it like you just did.

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Leatherhead's picture

December 19, 2024 at 10:39 am

You say that as though it's a fact, and yet provide no supporting argument.

I'd also like to know what metric is used to calculate "Physicality"

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Leatherhead's picture

December 19, 2024 at 10:40 am

I'd rather have the defense that surrenders the fewest points. I have no idea what the "physicalness" metric is. Is it this year's version of yards/rush attempt? Or some other rabbit hole that detracts from the fundamental point of defense: Keeping points off the board.

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Bitternotsour's picture

December 19, 2024 at 11:46 am

I'm guessing he's trying to gain some masculinity or something. It's just weird.

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T7Steve's picture

December 18, 2024 at 11:15 am

One thing about having all the injuries in the back end. It has made our depth pieces more experienced, the coaches get to know and maybe trust them and allows more leeway on what the D can show when (hopefully) they get everyone back healthy.

The downside is that there's no way to be able to hold onto all those pieces that become good players in the future. There's no reason to worry about it now though.

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GregC's picture

December 18, 2024 at 12:44 pm

Yeah, Nixon and Valentine and Stokes have been thrown into the fire, and they all seem to be improved. None of them are world beaters, but if Alexander comes back, they may be able to hold their own as CBs #2, #3 and #4. I would rank them in the order I listed them, but right now I have some renewed hope that Stokes' season can be salvaged. He's going to break up a pass one of these days, I just know it. On the other hand, I'm fine if nobody throws at him.

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jannes bjornson's picture

December 18, 2024 at 06:35 pm

I would start Valentine with Jaire if/when he returns and keep Nixon in the slot as a blitz/cover guy.

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Green Bay Shareholder's picture

December 18, 2024 at 11:26 am

Need to have the same Defense / Pass Rush against the Vikings and Lions as we did against the Seahawks. Obviously different schemes based on talent but was a stellar performance, just need to replicate that effort in Big Games when a team is driving for the go ahead score at the end of the 4th quarter. That's when Reggie, Clay, Leroy and Charles made their money !

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NFLfan's picture

December 18, 2024 at 11:55 am

National show,'Good Morning Football's Peter Schrager has a weekly top-5 rookie series and he called out Edgerrin Cooper today.

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GregC's picture

December 18, 2024 at 12:33 pm

Not sure if it means a lot to split defensive stats into first half vs. second half, considering that points count just as much no matter which half they are scored in. But the Packers are 8th in total points allowed, 10th in yards, and 4th in turnovers, which is pretty good, and they are trending in the right direction. The run defense has been excellent for several games now, and the pass rush is heating up. They probably still need to get Jaire Alexander back to have a good chance of controlling the best offenses in the playoffs, but the other CBs have done a pretty good job holding down the fort against the lesser teams.

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canadapacker's picture

December 18, 2024 at 01:09 pm

Now - I have to disagree with the last part of the first sentence - thought early in the year that we had played a bit passively in the lead. But what I really like - that despite some poor tackling - we have really improved in the total defense rallying to the ball. Like the old Bears under Urlacher - no loafs on this team. This is a defense that is improving each and every time out - and despite having some guys in and out of the lineup - it seems to have different guys step up - Do we have holes - of course but can you do enough to win each and every game - most times - and sometimes the offense needs to win games . Thats the NFL - and as long as it isnt a ref's call or missed call ( like the Non PI call against the Lions) I am happy.

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Coldworld's picture

December 18, 2024 at 01:44 pm

Our D has been up and down. Hafley shows promise, he can adapt, but he’s yet to show he can get it right consistently. Unfortunately, he’s got it wrong in key games. Notably against Minnesota and the game in Detroit. Yes, he got it right in Seattle, but this piece is more than a little premature based upon a see-saw season and one acute and one inapposite approach to the last two opponents. Hafley needs to win the tactical battle more often and when it matters. At this point he’s got potential, but can still hurt as well as help us and has yet to make the positive sufficiently predominant to justify this.

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T7Steve's picture

December 18, 2024 at 02:13 pm

Don't you agree that they seem to be improving and adjusting better as the season goes on? Or do you think it's just the opponents? I was a little surprised the backups held up so well.

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Bitternotsour's picture

December 18, 2024 at 06:15 pm

the team as a whole is trending upward. the defense is good enough to play in a super bowl. so was last year's defense, despite the slander. The offense is fortunately trending up too, they've been scoring 30+, despite leaving points on the table weekly.

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LambeauPlain's picture

December 18, 2024 at 02:12 pm

The front 4 are beginning to display what was hoped for since Hafley arrived. Pressure! Wyatt, Enagbare, Brooks, Gary, and Clark are pressuring consistently, on the same plays, increasing odds someone will get a sack, a hurry, throw aways.

The run D has shown the most improvement over Barry Ball. And again Sunday...80 yards and 5 yd average however 24 yds came on one run and the remaining attempts netted only 3.7 yards.

It is my impression the new arrivals (X, Bullard, Williams, Cooper) adapted to the new Pressure D/Vision and Break/playing fast with a simplified game plan...the most quickly. But the vets are there now too.

It's not how you start...it is how you finish.

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LLCHESTY's picture

December 18, 2024 at 02:53 pm

They have been creating more pressure recently and Cooper is one of the better blitzing LBs in the league(2nd according to PFF) but don't put much a lot of stock in what they did against Seattle. The Seahawks RG isn't good and had a really bad day and I would guess has the worst pass blocking grade in the league amongst guards and the schemes caused the LG problems as well.

It's great they gave a poor OL a bunch of trouble but they won't face a line that bad in the playoffs.

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Bitternotsour's picture

December 18, 2024 at 06:20 pm

so the seven sacks don't count. what should we round that number to - you know to account for the LG issues.

Also wondering, because of Meyers and Sean Rhyan being so substandard, shouldn't our sacks allowed numbers be revised downward?

Are there any other stats that should be adjusted because of opponent deficiencies. Perhaps knock some yards off Jacobs totals when backups are required on the defensive line, maybe pump some numbers into Jordan Loves yardage totals to account for the passes he would have completed had their not been defensive holding or interference? You have a whole world of analytics you can pioneer.

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LLCHESTY's picture

December 18, 2024 at 07:40 pm

Awww, did someone piss in your Cheerios this morning? I was merely saying don't think you'll see them exhibit that kind of rush every week, and they won't face a OL that weak in the playoffs . But you do you littl' bitchy.

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beerandbrats's picture

December 18, 2024 at 02:58 pm

We held opponents to 20.6 points per game last year.
We are holding opponents to 20.5 points per game this year.

The top 4 teams last year held opponents under 18 points per game.
The top 4 teams this year are holding opponents to 18 points per game.

We're close but no cigar. If we want to win another SB, this defense needs to tighten up even more because defense wins championships!

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canadapacker's picture

December 18, 2024 at 05:42 pm

And the Eagles who were in the Superbowl were almost at the bottom - and we beat the Cowboys who were ahead in that stat. Liars, dam liars and Statisticians as a famous person once said ( Mark Twain).

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beerandbrats's picture

December 18, 2024 at 06:00 pm

The stats don't lie!
;-)
Take off, eh!

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Bitternotsour's picture

December 18, 2024 at 06:22 pm

beer hunter!

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LLCHESTY's picture

December 18, 2024 at 07:53 pm

The Chiefs are the weirdest 13-1 team in NFL history. If you look at them statistically they should have at least 3 more losses. But good defense, luck, having the refs on your side and a end of game cold blooded assassin can cover a lot of holes in the FA era.

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GregC's picture

December 18, 2024 at 09:13 pm

The Eagles weren't almost in the Super Bowl, they went in the crapper at the end of the season and got eliminated in the first round of the playoffs.

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LLCHESTY's picture

December 18, 2024 at 03:10 pm

Hafley said before the season started that when he got to sit down with McKinney and talk defense that he was surprised how much they looked at things the same way. I think the players like playing for him and, more importantly, like playing his system. The last few weeks they've played with more physicality which is great to see as well. They haven't always been the most physical of teams under previous DCs(I'm being nice).

I said in TC it wouldn't be surprising if they had some rough outings but they needed to show gradual improvement. Hafley said a couple weeks ago he was starting to see the youngsters starting to play faster in practice as they became more assignment sure but couldn't put a timeline on when it would show in games. Cooper looked like he "got it" Sunday. He's only played 329 snaps so every snap can still teach him something but having him healthy(🤞) for the playoffs should be a real plus.

**Cooper was DPOW and is the only Packers rookie to win it twice. He was also PFF's highest graded player overall this week. Neither is surprising with the game he had.

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joejetson's picture

December 18, 2024 at 05:40 pm

It can be frustrating when the Packers defense seems to be getting pushed around and giving up yardage and points. But then I watch some other games where both defenses are getting gashed, and by comparison, GB's defense isn't so bad.

So I have to tell myself that compared to most other NFL defenses, the Packers are doing pretty well.

But I still wish they'd sack the QB, get an interception, or cause a fumble on every play.

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Bitternotsour's picture

December 18, 2024 at 06:23 pm

of course you do. It's your birthright.

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Major Snafu's picture

December 18, 2024 at 10:08 pm

My two sense. Guys that auto play because they are Gutts top picks have dragged the d down, Now that those guys are not playing due to injury or Gafney has seen the light the D has better players doing a better job: Jairre is hurt, pass d has improved. Stokes has seen limited time, pass d has improved. Walker was slowed due to injury, linebacking and pass/run coverage has improved.

We have dead wood on the defense playing because Gutt picked them highly and they arent worth it.
Trade Jairre, Walker and Stokes and get whatever picks you can and its a non losing proposition.

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LLCHESTY's picture

December 18, 2024 at 10:58 pm

Wow, it's like you were trying to get everything wrong. Don't worry, watching your favorite team in Purple get beat isn't far away.

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barutanseijin's picture

December 19, 2024 at 05:11 am

Abuse of the English language, a diatribe against Gutekunst and some inappropriate punctuation.

My stockholder sense is tingling.

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Spock's picture

December 19, 2024 at 09:54 am

ImaPayne, I had a colonoscopy last Thursday, so I know what it's like to not be full of sh*t. With respect, I suspect no procedure will ever do that for you.

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NFLfan's picture

December 19, 2024 at 01:26 pm

Hafley was a good signing but he was not dealt a good hand.

He is having to work with a majority subpar D players. These are average to below-average players who show occasional flashes. All have reached their ceiling. Yes, I include LVN and Wyatt.
The rest are McDuffie, Enagbare, Slaton, Gary, Clark, Walker, Stokes, Valentine, Ballantine , Nixon and so on.

Hafley has 4.5 high-performing, consistent D players-MacKinney, Cooper, Bullard, Jaire (50%) and Williams.

When those players are injured, the D regresses in a major way.

It will likely take 2-3 years to fill expensive gaps and that is if 100% are good signings.

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