The Battle for the NFC North Is Heating Up: Here's What's Ahead
By Carter Semb
The Green Bay Packers (7-3-1) were able to earn their second divisional win yesterday after beating the Minnesota Vikings (4-7) by a score of 23-6. The Packers didn’t do anything super impressive, but they dominated the time of possession, limited self-inflicted mistakes, and kept the Vikings’ offense in unfavorable situations. Vikings quarterback JJ McCarthy was terrible all day. The Vikings are trending downwards, and fast. It was one of the Packers' more convincing wins of the season against a team that has been sputtering for weeks.
The rest of the NFC North is strong. After yesterday’s games, the Packers are still sitting in second place in the NFC North. The Chicago Bears (8-3) currently hold first place, while the Detroit Lions (7-4) occupy third place. Both won hard-fought games this weekend. The Bears were able to beat a Pittsburgh Steelers team that was without quarterback Aaron Rodgers. Rodgers is 24-5 all-time against the Bears in his career, so his absence from the game was a huge break for the Bears. They still needed all 60:00 minutes to beat a Mason Rudolph-led Steelers offense. The Lions also won, but needed overtime to beat Jameis Winston and the New York Giants. The Giants were ahead for most of the game, but when all was said and done, it was Detroit that came away victorious.
The battle for the NFC North is shaping up to be a battle of three teams: the Green Bay Packers, the Detroit Lions, and the Chicago Bears. All three teams have six games remaining, and the road ahead for all three teams is difficult, to say the least. The Packers are still in a great position to go and win it, and it starts this Thursday against Detroit. "We know that we have a tough stretch,” said Xavier McKinney. “These last however many games that we have, the majority of them are division games. So we know that we've got to be focused and locked in."
Three-horse race in the North. Massive game for the Packers in Detroit on Thursday. pic.twitter.com/5rLNB7TY1C
— Matt Schneidman (@mattschneidman) November 24, 2025
What Lies Ahead For the Packers
| Green Bay Packers Remaining Schedule | |
| Week 13 | @ Detroit Lions (7-4) |
| Week 14 | vs. Chicago Bears (8-3) |
| Week 15 | @ Denver Broncos (9-2) |
| Week 16 | @ Chicago Bears (8-3) |
| Week 17 | vs. Baltimore Ravens (6-5) |
| Week 18 | @ Minnesota Vikings (4-7) |
The Packers are in the midst of one of the most pivotal three-game stretches they’ll have all season, which includes three-straight divisional games, two coming at home. Overall, the final six games for the Packers are statistically the hardest in the league. The Packers have the toughest remaining strength of schedule (.636). All but one of the matchups are against teams with winning records. They have a combined winning percentage of .613 (34- 21). Luckily, Green Bay took care of business yesterday against a struggling Minnesota team.
After going 1-5 in divisional games last season, the Packers have won their first two division games this season. Four of Green Bay’s final six games are divisional games. They face Chicago twice, Detroit once, and Minnesota once. To kick things off, the Packers will play on Thanksgiving for the third-straight season. The Packers have won their last two Thanksgiving Day games. The downside is that the game will come on a short week. Both the Packers and Lions will be playing on shortened rest, but that scheduling does give Green Bay a mini-bye before hosting Chicago in Week 14.
Two of their remaining games come against AFC opponents - the Denver Broncos and Baltimore Ravens. The Broncos currently possess the #1 seed in the AFC, and the Packers will have to face them in Denver. Traveling to Denver is never easy. In fact, the Packers are only 1-7 all-time in Denver. The lone victory came in overtime. Fortunately, the Packers will face the Ravens at home. Baltimore sputtered to start the season after losing Lamar Jackson for several weeks, but the team is back in playoff contention after winning five straight games. The Packers have fared pretty well against Baltimore over the years, holding a 5-2 advantage all-time.
The Packers will play four of their last six games on the road, including three of their last four games. On a positive note, there isn’t a ton of travel involved. Chicago, Detroit, and Minnesota are all very short trips. The only substantial trip is to Denver. Other than that, the Packers won’t have to spend much time on a plane. That said, none of the final four games will be easy. Denver, Chicago, and Baltimore will all be fighting for division titles or a better playoff seed. Minnesota could be out of the playoff picture by Week 18, but they would always love to play spoiler to a division rival.
The @packers really hit the Skol chant celebration after picking off McCarthy again 💀
📺: FOX pic.twitter.com/cjTvR3cydJ
— FOX Sports: NFL (@NFLonFOX) November 23, 2025
The Lions' Final Stretch
| Detroit Lions Remaining Schedule | |
| Week 13 | vs. Green Bay Packers (7-3-1) |
| Week 14 | vs. Dallas Cowboys (5-5-1) |
| Week 15 | @ Los Angeles Rams (9-2) |
| Week 16 | vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (6-5) |
| Week 17 | @ Minnesota Vikings (4-7) |
| Week 18 | @ Chicago Bears (8-3) |
The Lions' remaining strength of schedule (.600) is the fourth-toughest in the NFL. In addition to being difficult, their rest-of-season schedule is unique. They play three of their final six games on Thursdays. There’s a chance they only have two Sunday games remaining. The Lions will kick off this final stretch of games on a short week by hosting the Packers on Thanksgiving Day. Detroit has only won one of its last eight Thanksgiving Day games. This matchup with Green Bay could end up being Detroit’s final noon game of the season. Detroit will then play the Cowboys the following Thursday.
Statistically, the Lions have arguably the easiest final six games. Of their remaining opponents, the Packers, Rams, Steelers, and Bears all possess winning records, but the Cowboys or Vikings do not. Detroit also has three divisional games remaining; two of them coming on the road. Similar to Green Bay, Detroit will finish the season by playing three of its last four games on the road. They have a longer trip to Los Angeles, but the other two games are in the same region, so it shouldn't be as daunting.
Detroit might not be having the season many were expecting, but they are still one of the strongest teams in the NFC. They have an explosive offense capable of scoring a lot of points quickly. Detroit’s offense put up almost 500 yards of offense on Sunday against New York, 264 coming from Jahmyr Gibbs. They have one of the best point differentials in the league (+76). They also have a strong defense, although they gave up over 500 yards to the Giants. Regardless, they still rank top ten in total defense, sacks, and third-down defense. Detroit’s final six games might not be a cakewalk, but they are certainly capable of winning all of their remaining games, allowing Green Bay no room for error.

Can the Bears Hold On?
| Chicago Bears Remaining Schedule | |
| Week 13 | @ Philadelphia Eagles (8-3) |
| Week 14 | @ Green Bay Packers (7-3-1) |
| Week 15 | vs. Cleveland Browns (3-8) |
| Week 16 | vs. Green Bay Packers (7-3-1) |
| Week 17 | @ San Francisco 49ers (7-4) |
| Week 18 | vs. Detroit Lions (7-4) |
Chicago’s final six games won’t be easy either. Cleveland is the only remaining opponent without a winning record, and Chicago faces them at home. All of their other matchups are against teams squarely in the playoff picture. Their remaining strength of schedule (.606) is the third-toughest. The final stretch kicks off by traveling to Philadelphia on a short week to face an angry Eagles team, which will be an extremely tough game for Ben Johnson and company. Following that matchup, Chicago will face Green Bay in two of their next three games, giving both teams an excellent opportunity to take hold of the division lead.
Unlike Green Bay and Detroit, Chicago will play three of their last four games at home. Their one trip during that final stretch is a trip out west to face the 49ers, a place the Bears haven’t had much success over the years. Since 1980, the Bears' record in San Francisco is just 3-11. The other three opponents (Cleveland, Green Bay, and Detroit) all have really strong defenses, which will be a difficult test for Caleb Williams and the Bears’ offense, regardless of where the game is located.
Chicago has an excellent opportunity ahead. They’re currently in first place and in the driver’s seat. They have a new head coach, a promising quarterback, and talented players up and down the roster. Despite their success, the Bears were widely viewed as one of the more fraudulent teams competing for a playoff spot. They have one of the top offenses in the NFL, but they have a negative point differential (-3), and the defense is forcing turnovers at an unsustainable rate (22 turnovers in 11 games). The Bears have the weakest strength of schedule in all of the NFC (.365), and the second weakest in the NFL. Their stretch of victory (.304) is one of the weakest scores in the league, too. In fact, Chicago’s win over Pittsburgh yesterday was its only win against a team with a winning record. What the Bears have accomplished thus far is impressive, but the final six games will say a lot about this team.
Green Bay has allowed fewer than 20 points in all six home games this season, the first time that's happened since 1969. pic.twitter.com/lAyr8nVLx0
— Aaron Nagler (@AaronNagler) November 24, 2025
The North Is There For Green Bay to Take
The Packers control their own destiny. With two games remaining against Chicago and one against the Lions, they have an excellent opportunity ahead to take control of the division lead. It won’t be easy, but nothing in the NFL is easy. The Packers have an elite defense that will keep them in every game. They also have an offense capable of putting up a lot of points if they can stay out of their own way. But will they take advantage? That remains to be seen.
Green Bay might have a prime opportunity ahead of them, but so do the Bears and the Lions. The division is truly there for anyone to take. All three teams will want to win the division. A division title means a top-four seed in the playoffs and at least one home playoff game. Whoever wins the division is probably going to need to get to 11 or 12 wins, which means they will have to win at least four of their final six games. That’ll be easier said than done.
Brett Favre won the NFC North division title seven times. Aaron Rodgers won it eight times. Jordan Love still hasn’t won a division title. The last time the Packers won the NFC North was during the 2021 season. It’s time for that to change. “Obviously, the divisional games are absolutely critical,” Matt LaFleur said last week. “And you talk about this three-game stretch, but really, all that matters is this one game for us right now. We just have to focus on what’s right in front of us.”
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Carter Semb is a lifelong Packer fan, shareholder, and season ticket holder. He is a contributor for Cheesehead TV and Packers Talk. For commentary surrounding Wisconsin sports, he can be found on X at @cmsemb.
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Comments (35)
ThunderFromDownunder
November 24, 2025 at 02:48 pm
The Packers might go 3 and 3 and I wonder if 10 wins gets them into the play offs . This week will tell us if Chicago is a contender or pretender . As much as I hate it I think the Lions might take the division but shit I would love to see them crash and burn .
jlc1
November 24, 2025 at 03:37 pm
Giants had the Lions dead to rights and their interim HC thought he could do a Dan Campbell and astonish everyone with "gutsy" play calling. Handed Detroit one too many opportunities to stay in the game. One of the problems with teams that have coaches auditioning for a job - they try to create as much attention around themselves as they can rather than making sure they put up a W.
ThunderFromDownunder
November 24, 2025 at 04:37 pm
To me the Lions are the bully boys of the league , they play dirty and run up scores . I guess they always had it in them with Ndamukong Suh back in the day .
LambeauPlain
November 25, 2025 at 08:10 am
The "bully boys" defense gave up over 500 yards to the Giants who gifted them the game.
It will be a hard fought game, and the odds makers don't even give the lions the full 3 points for their home game. (spread is currently 2.5)
Packerpasty
November 24, 2025 at 06:00 pm
that was some idiotic coaching for sure...but lets not rely on other teams to do the work, Packers have to beat the teams themselves....
joejetson
November 24, 2025 at 08:43 pm
Not kicking the FG and going up by 6 was insane.
Or-
It was a new way to tank a game and stay in the race for the #1 pick in the 2026 Draft.
Snap the ball
November 24, 2025 at 05:27 pm
They won’t go 3-3 5-1 at least.
Starrbrite
November 24, 2025 at 04:17 pm
I think we matchup very well with Lions. They have been living on the edge and lost to Minnesota at home. I think we beat them on Thanksgiving.
As for the bears, much like the Vikings last year,does anyone seriously believe their faux win/loss record? They’re giving up nearly 30 pts per game.
The Vikings can “bite it.” Whomever believed in McCarthy apparently never realized he didn’t throw a TD his final 6 or 7 games at Michigan. You can see a tantrum percolating soon with Jefferson; he’s much like AJ Brown. I have zero respect for the Vikings and their organization.
But…I despise the Broncos and that game will be my SB.
Go Packers!!!
barutanseijin
November 24, 2025 at 05:10 pm
Whoever believed in McCarthy was desperate. That’s how they got Ponder, too.
Starrbrite
November 24, 2025 at 05:35 pm
Well said Barut.
joejetson
November 24, 2025 at 08:44 pm
J.J. McPonder
GVPacker
November 24, 2025 at 04:17 pm
Giants Interim Head Coach is a Dumbass! Passing up a field goal and trying to get Into the end zone on 4th & goal which would have given them a 6 point lead,
The Giants are a classic example of a poorly coached team! In retrospect the Lions looked bad playing like that at home!
Snap the ball
November 24, 2025 at 05:26 pm
He probably worked with Campbell at some point helping his buddy out.
TOMMY'63
November 25, 2025 at 09:51 am
He copied the flower, remember, the flower? Worthless pos of an oc,hc my Arese!!
Snap the ball
November 24, 2025 at 05:25 pm
Let’s be honest they shouldn’t have lost a game a home game .
Next Road win
Snap the ball
November 24, 2025 at 05:30 pm
Reed
Golden
Quay
Back
It’s really going to get interesting if Lloyd comes back
Jacob’s perfect for Wisconsin in the winter
Wilson differnet pace
Brooks good blocker. Catches well
Lloyd change of pace
Only getting better down the stretch.
MitchAnthony
November 25, 2025 at 12:38 am
Lloyd.
Yah, sure.
Okay. You've been seeing him on milk cartons or what?
Snap the ball
November 24, 2025 at 05:38 pm
Let’s review
Watson let’s put up 3 soon. 1. 2. 3.
Doubs good hands team
Wicks moves the sticks
Golden let’s get him going
Reed he’s got the speed
Heath blocks well A tad more involved would be nice catching wise
Melton will be a factor A big catch coming down the stretch
Jacob’s
Wilson
Brooks
Lloyd I want to see him juke some one out so bad they split there pants
Nobuttkiss
November 25, 2025 at 06:50 am
Sorry, I just can't like Doubs.
Catches the ball well if ignored by defense, then runs out of bounds , no yak. Kick returns embarrassing.
TKWorldWide
November 24, 2025 at 07:54 pm
Looking at the remaining schedule is not a bad idea, but we all know key injuries can play a huge role in how things look from week to week.
To me, “injuries are no excuse” is one of the most repeated falsehoods in the NFL. So, losing Tucker Kraft is no big deal? Just ask the “next man up” to do what he can do? The Bengals without Burrow didn’t need to adjust their expectations? Take Jalen and Saquon off the Eagles, no big deal? Lamar and Henry off the Ravens? We could do this all day.
GB has to continue to play well and stay healthy. It’s not going to be a bunch of 35-0 blowouts. Hold on and enjoy the ride, I say.
Now who’s with me?
SicSemperTyrannis
November 25, 2025 at 03:29 am
Love may well not finish the season. An AC sprain is no joke.
TKWorldWide
November 25, 2025 at 05:52 am
Yeah I heard yesterday he was handing off exclusively with his right hand on Sunday to avoid jarring his left shoulder. Kinda makes some of those late runs (when many would have liked to see him throw) make more sense.
LambeauPlain
November 25, 2025 at 02:43 pm
His left shoulder could be very painful OR it is healing well, so he was coached to use his right hand for handoffs. He has already shown he can do this effectively...and not risk exposing the left shoulder on runs to his right.
Lphill
November 25, 2025 at 06:40 am
he should have sat out the Vikings game, Willis would have got it done.
LambeauPlain
November 25, 2025 at 08:13 am
We don't know if Willis would have got it done. We do know Love did.
PackerBackerAZ
November 25, 2025 at 11:33 am
Willis could hand the ball off to Wilson better than Love. Those of us without blinders on know Willis would have the Packers winning that game.
LambeauPlain
November 25, 2025 at 02:36 pm
Curious...what blinders do you think I am wearing? Not believing in things that cannot be proven?
Bearmeat
November 25, 2025 at 05:35 am
I think whoever wins Thursday wins the division, and -3 for Detroit is IMO the right line for that. MLF has never proven he can win the big games, with the exception of the one against our old coach in 2023. I hope we can climb that mountain, and I think we have the best roster in the NFCN, but I have my doubts. So I will pick 3-3, with us finishing 10-6-1 and the 6 seed.
I think the Lions have the easiest schedule, and think they go 4-2. Winning the NFCN by 1/2 game over us at 11-6. They’re the 3 seed, meaning we’re back in Detroilet for the WC game. We lose that one, and the division and MLF’s butt is warm. Real warm. As it should be.
I think Chicago is fools gold and about to be exposed. Mediocre team which has gotten lucky. They finish 1-5 and don’t make the playoffs.
TKWorldWide
November 25, 2025 at 05:53 am
Chicago is 8-3 with a negative point differential. Hmmmm…..
Nobuttkiss
November 25, 2025 at 06:52 am
DITTO
LambeauPlain
November 25, 2025 at 08:23 am
Packers Offense vs Lions Defense...even. The Packers have struggled on O at times and the Lions are leaking on D this season, giving up 27 + points in 5 games this season. The Packers need get off to a fast start and control the flow. LaFleur needs to dial a one of the best game plans this season. He's been Jeckel and Hyde this season otherwise this would be a Packers advantage.
Packers Defense vs Lions Offense...advantage Packers. The front 7, if the O gives them a lead, should make Goff's life miserable. The Packers' D has also kept them in games.
Special teams...advantage lions. One good week does not make Bisaccia's group a good one. Below average STs that are mistake prone. Now, they did have one good week....but still.
I think the Packers take them in a close, 4th quarter game. 28-24.
LetsGoPack
November 25, 2025 at 10:01 am
If the Packers decide that the game plan against Detroit is to run the ball 50 times, then we will lose. If the Packers decide to employ some creativity and let the QB throw the ball, then we have a chance. Detroit is not a juggernaut this year.
Leatherhead
November 25, 2025 at 11:19 am
Two out of Detroit's four losses were also their worst days against the run (148 against the Eagles, 142 against the Vikings).
I agree the Lions are no juggernaut.
I hope we don't do a bunch of throwing. We're a better team when we don't throw as much. When we've thrown 31 or fewer times, we're 6-1(Cleveland).
Especially since we've had injuries to guys who were a big part of the passing game. Watson, for the first part of the season, Reed, for most of the season, and Kraft, for the second half of the season.
I've always been told by the old timers that the running game is a bigger deal late in the season, when the weather gets colder. I think it's true.
LambeauPlain
November 25, 2025 at 02:29 pm
LH, I agree with you as long as the Defense gets 3 and outs early... and the O gets the lead early...with Jacobs active, sharing snaps with Wilson.
Some pounding by the two Abrams Tank RB's Jacobs and Wilson can work...as long as the OL can plow the road at least a few yards so the two power runners get their usual yards after contact.
Need to pass to keep them honest. And for a change up, more passes from Love under Center with motion and RPOs...on early downs if the run is working!
I so enjoy a ground pounding supported by your defense getting the ball back to you. Turnovers are starting to show after the PreSeason focus.
PackerBackerAZ
November 25, 2025 at 11:29 am
Da Bears will always suck to me, even the '85 Bears sucked. However, it is said that a team is what its record says it is. Their last six games will, hopefully, bring them back to sucking reality. It's also said that defense wins championships. The Packers defense will prevail and they win the division. They will then beat the Rams in the NFC championship game to get to the Super Bowl.