Packers Head Coach Matt LaFleur Is Taking a Calculated Risk This Preseason

Green Bay Packers head coach Matt LaFleur has announced that quarterback Jordan Love and most of the team’s other starters will play in Saturday’s preseason opener against the Cleveland Browns. Clearly, there are both benefits and risks to this move. The Packers certainly don’t want to lose key players to injuries in games that don’t count in the standings. But there are benefits to playing your starters in the preseason.

This is LaFleur’s sixth season as head coach of the Packers. In his first four years at the helm, he rested his starters in the preseason or gave them only a handful of plays per game at most. This made sense on what was then a veteran Packers team. Players like Aaron Rodgers, Davante Adams, and Tramon Williams didn’t need significant preseason playing time to prepare for the regular season.

Last year, that all changed. The Packers fielded one of the youngest teams in the NFL. The team was particularly young on offense at the skill positions. Love had only started one NFL game prior to taking over as the Packers starting quarterback a year ago. The Packers top two tight ends on the depth chart were both rookies and none of the receivers on the roster had more than one year of NFL experience.

The group needed to gel and to get reps to prepare for the start of the regular season. They needed to play together in game conditions as often as possible. Practices are helpful, but they are not played at the same level of intensity or speed as a preseason game.

One problem the Packers had in recent seasons under LaFleur was that they struggled in Week 1. In 2021, the Packers were blown out by the Saints in Week 1 38-3. The Packers finished the season with 13 wins and were a much better team on paper than the Saints. But the Pack was clearly not ready to play in Week 1.

The following season, the Packers again were not ready to play in Week 1 and were beaten soundly by the Vikings 23-7.

Last year, when he did play his starters in preseason, the team came out and crushed the Bears in Week 1, 38-20.

Under the current NFL collective bargaining agreement, teams are already limited on the number of practices they can hold and how many of them could be full contact practices in pads. The number of preseason games has also been reduced from four to three. This reduces the intensity of training camp. The result we have seen in recent years is that teams are less prepared for the start of the regular season. The quality of play in September has gone down across the NFL.

LaFleur explained why he decided to play Love and most of his starters this year in the preseason despite the risk of injury. “I think just going through kind of reevaluating the last couple years from when we’ve had guys not play and last year having them, all the guys play, I thought it was beneficial for us early on, especially Week 1, just to kind of knock some of the rust off,” he said. “I think there was a lot of value in going through, getting your mind right to get ready to play a football game. Obviously, we’re going to be smart with those guys. The last thing we want to do is put guys at risk. I mean, there’s an inherent risk, right, every time you go out on the field, but we’ll be smart with him. But at the same time, I do think just the preparation of getting ready for a game is invaluable and why not use those opportunities?”

Obviously, injuries could ruin the value of the reps the starters would get. Packers fans remember too well seeing wide receiver Jordy Nelson go down with a season-ending injury during a preseason game in 2015 on a play where he wasn’t even touched.

LaFleur will have to find that sweet spot where the starters are sharp enough to start the season but do not suffer significant injuries. It is a delicate balancing act for the coaching staff but a necessary one.

 

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Comments (28)

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Cheezehead72's picture

August 08, 2024 at 12:49 pm

I totally agree with playing the starters in the first two games. They have to get ready. They have to hit. They have to get hit. I am willing to risk an injury. After all players get injured in practice. It is part of the game. If you are not all in you will lose. Now first game no more than two series. Second game two or three series.

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dobber's picture

August 08, 2024 at 01:23 pm

It's live reps against players they aren't used to looking at: most teams will be playing their 2s to open their preseason games. Some teams do give their 1s preseason reps. We know that the defense in particular will need to be ready for a Philly team that's hard to tackle and plays physically up front. In the long run, we'll judge whether or not this was a good decision by the number of trips to the blue tent and how quickly the team starts when the games count.

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Coldworld's picture

August 08, 2024 at 04:54 pm

Let’s see how much they actually play though. LaFleur has already said the 2nd group will get the majority of the snaps, but how big that majority is and whether the 3rds get the last quarter remains to be seen.

Love is still learning, this OL is likely without Morgan and Tom anyway. I have a suspicion that Love, Elgton and Walker’s night will be brief. I do not think Doubs and Reed in particular will be out there much. I do expect to see a run or two from our new FA RB.

On D, this is their first exposure to a team that hasn’t seen it all camp and of a pure Hafley D in the NFL. I could see there being interest in having starters or at least veterans out there for reasons beyond pure player evaluation and polishing.

It’s good to get Love heated up, it’s good to test the new D as a coordinated unit when faced by things we don’t do or do the same way—no more chaos like our opener against the Vikings 2 seasons ago please. It’s better to do so earlier rather than later. How much of a risk is dependent on how much play really transpires, but this is not a veteran team. Some playing is a good investment.

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dobber's picture

August 09, 2024 at 09:06 am

" I have a suspicion that Love, Elgton and Walker’s night will be brief....I do expect to see a run or two from our new FA RB.

I would expect to see one or maybe two run-heavy possessions with only a couple dropbacks, likely on play action, for the 1s.

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davekenya's picture

August 08, 2024 at 02:14 pm

Each team (rightly so) needs to protect their 100+M QB asset.
During the preseason, results don't matter.
Why doesn't the league adopt some version of 'QBs wearing red and are protected' for preseason games like they do for practices? Something more than practices, but not as 'real' as games that count in terms of sacking/hitting QBs? They're smart -- they can figure something out that allows player evaluation while also protecting their team's franchise playuhs.

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Coldworld's picture

August 08, 2024 at 05:01 pm

Because the point of live practice is that it’s real. They redshirt every other practice except the 3 games. It’s just not the same for either the D or the QB/OL/RB with a no sack rule. That changes how players finish plays by necessity. It’s those types af margins that make the difference between good and bad in season.

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T7Steve's picture

August 08, 2024 at 02:25 pm

Just get some action and help them (especially the big guys) to get their game legs earlier. Sucking air after half the 1st 1/4 and playing tired isn't healthy either.

It's more dangerous if the other teams aren't playing their 1s, I think. The 2s and lower are going to do anything they can to make a team's 53 and bodies are flying around.

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Grandfathered's picture

August 08, 2024 at 09:07 pm

You said it T7Steve. Agree that it helps playes get game legs and I would add, game speed. It is more dangerous playing the guys who are desperate to get noticed and show what they can do. Those former 4th preseason games got pretty wild. I'm glad its only 3 games now, Hoping for no major injuries for the Packers and all the teams. Maybe this will be the year that an NFL teams does not lose a key player in preseason to season damaging injury.

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Bearmeat's picture

August 08, 2024 at 02:32 pm

It's going to be a season long race with the Lions for the division. Anyone who says one team will win the NFCN easily is fooling themselves. Of course we need to be sharp against Philly in week 1. Playing this still very young starting unit, with the new defense included, is the right thing to do. Yes, it is risky.

I hope that they're sharp, we score right away, stop them right away, and get out with no injuries in any of the games.

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dobber's picture

August 08, 2024 at 03:38 pm

I wish this week 1 game in Brazil was against an AFC team.

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jurp's picture

August 08, 2024 at 05:44 pm

I wish this week 1 game were in the US, so I could watch it on free tv.

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WD's picture

August 08, 2024 at 03:19 pm

Totally agree. They can not wait until the Eagles game for the dress rehearsal.

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ricky's picture

August 08, 2024 at 03:32 pm

True, Nelson had a season ending knee injury in an exhibition game. And David Bakhtiari had what was effectively a career ending knee injury during practice. Remember how Teddy Bridgewater of the Vikings was dropping back to pass in a practice, and tore up his knee? Zach Tom and Tucker Kraft tore pectoral muscles working out. Stuff happens.

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Coldworld's picture

August 08, 2024 at 05:06 pm

That’s the point, injuries happen in practices, even non contact ones. They happen at home, not just in preseason. Sometimes they happen for under preparation. The question is, in a non counting preseason game, how much is helping the starter (themselves or as a group) and then pulling them when that is reached.

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Swisch's picture

August 08, 2024 at 07:14 pm

I'd play the starters for about one quarter of the game in at least two of the three preseason games.
If the offense doesn't get on the field much in the first quarter, then probably put them out there for part of the second quarter.

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splitpea1's picture

August 08, 2024 at 03:34 pm

Just be real, real smart about the essential high-contract players like Love, Clark, Gary, Alexander, McKinney, and Jenkins--maybe one or two series and out they come. They'll be ready for the opener.

It's important to get Cooper and the rookie safeties infused into the new defense as well as key second-year players like Van Ness and Brooks to establish a baseline from which to move forward.

Otherwise, preseason should be a time to sort out your depth and see who really stands out. It's also the perfect time to get the special teams organized and maybe get them started out on the right foot for once.

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stockholder's picture

August 08, 2024 at 04:26 pm

I don't see it as calculated at all.
MLF knows he has Depth.
And he doesn't want a roller coastal ride at QB.

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Swisch's picture

August 08, 2024 at 09:01 pm

I appreciate Gil pointing out the opening game fiascos against the Saints and Vikings in recent years during the end of the Aaron Rodgers Era.
Not only is it a humiliating way to begin the season, but I think waiting until the regular season to play the starters could actually be an injury risk in itself.
As an example, there may be less risk of injury for an offense if the starters have some time on the field during preseason games when the defensive schemes are less complex and the competition is not quite as fierce.
It's an opportunity for an offense to get in a rhythm as a unit and so to be much more ready for the regular season games of madness and mayhem.
A cohesive offense would seem to lessen the risk of injuries due to missed assignments or even players being just a little out of sync with each other.
It would seem similar with a defense needing to learn how to play as a unit as far as learning where each other is going to be in different situations -- thus avoiding not only embarrassing mistakes, but perhaps also dangerous collisions.
With the intricacies of teamwork so much a part of the NFL, a strategically limited but still serious commitment to preseason games would seem to be a smart transition from training camp practices to the regular season.
***
As a final note -- which seems to be highly in accord with my readings about the Civil War in recent months -- it's a delicate balance as far as taking risks.
It's easy to be reckless or timid. It's mindless to be always on the offensive or always on the defensive.
The challenge is in knowing when to hold back a little longer, and knowing when to go all in.
One of the reasons the great Union General William S. Rosecrans is forgotten these days is because he was so adept at determining when to be daringly bold and when to be deliberately restrained.
After pulling out a great victory at Stones River near Murfreesboro, Tennessee (today a suburb of Nashville), at the very end of 1862/the very beginning of 1863, Rosecrans was heavily pressured by his superiors in Washington, D.C. to further advance on the Confederates.
However, Rosecrans knew that his Army of the Cumberland was decidedly in need of more training and dependent upon the securing of a long and vulnerable supply line before it could effectively advance further south in what was rugged and barren terrain.
It wasn't until some six months later that Rosecrans set his troops in motion in a tactical campaign that has been dubbed by historian Frank Varney as the "Tullahoma Masterpiece" (from the book, "General Grant and the Rewriting of History: How the Destruction of William S. Rosecrans Influenced Our Understanding of the Civil War;" also see David Moore's fairly recent biography of Rosecrans).
With a series of feints and maneuvers that were preplanned but also improvised, Rosecrans befuddled the Confederates into retreating out of central Tennessee and falling all the way back (some 80 miles) to the bottom of the state in Chattanooga -- all without a major battle; only 84 killed, 473 wounded, and 13 missing.
The excellence of this operation has been overlooked in part because it occurred at just about the same time as the momentous battles of Gettysburg and Vicksburg.
Also, the apparent ease of the actually complex Tullahoma Campaign has allowed it to be sadly underestimated by contemporary observers and subsequent historians.
When the Secretary of War, Edwin Stanton, seemed to not appreciate the magnitude of the achievement, Rosecrans replied to him, "I beg in behalf of this army that the War Department may not overlook so great an event because it is not written in letters of blood."
***
In general, so to speak, Rosecrans reminds me of Bart Starr in that their overall brilliance, obvious character, and meticulous attention to detail has allowed them to be basically underrated by contemporary observers and subsequent historians.
Both Rosecrans and Starr were steely and steady in the midst of battle, and even daring when the situation called for it, but also rather understated.
It's sad that the greatness of each has gone underappreciated as a matter of basic fairness, but also because of our own self-interest in these days of turmoil as history in the making.
If we don't recognize the attributes of authentic greatness, we are likely to pass over true heroes in our moments of direst emergency and desperate need.

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Grandfathered's picture

August 08, 2024 at 09:22 pm

I agree with everything up to the civil war sidetrack. Gen. Rosecrans got his butt kicked back to Chattanooga in The Battle of Chickamauga,

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Swisch's picture

August 09, 2024 at 11:57 am

There's good evidence that the Union forces under General Rosecrans actually won the Battle of Chickamauga -- because Rosecrans had masterfully maneuvered the Confederates out of Chattanooga and then them prevented them from retaking it.
It seems the soldiers who fought under Rosecrans also considered Chickamauga a victory, and deplored the removal of Rosecrans.
One of these soldiers was Henry Van Ness Boynton, a leader in the creation of the Chickamauga and Chattanooga National Military Park.
As perspective, Rosecrans had also "got his butt kicked" in the first day of the Battle of Stones River; however -- as bullets and cannonballs whizzed around him and actually blew off the head of his top aide -- he valiantly regrouped and rallied his troops to a victory praised by Abraham Lincoln as critical to the survival of the United States.
***
Rosecrans was undermined by political intrigue, including the machinations of General Ulysses S. Grant -- whose treachery also unfairly tarnished other generals such as Henry H. Thomas, Lew Wallace, and Gouvernuer K. Warren.
It appears Grant was a shameless liar who took credit for the accomplishments of other generals and blamed them for his own serious failings.
General Wallace actually incorporated his own pain of being unfairly disgraced by Grant into his highly successful novel, "Ben-Hur." After his powerful encounters with Jesus, the title character turns his pursuit of vengeance for the wrongdoing into forgiveness.
At the Battle of Chattanooga, about two months after Chickamauga, Grant falsely took credit for the famous charge up Missionary Ridge, a spontaneous initiative by the troops on the ground that at first infuriated Grant for its apparent foolhardiness but which he took credit for after its unexpectedly wild success (perhaps the only major frontal assault of the entire Civil War that actually worked -- as opposed to unsuccessful slaughters at places such as Gettysburg, Kennesaw Mountain, and Franklin).
By the way, not only did Boynton win the Medal of Honor for his valor in charging up Missionary Ridge, but so also did a young lieutenant from Wisconsin named Arthur MacArthur Jr., the father of World War II General Douglas MacArthur.
In the past decade, four separate historians working independently of each other have published books critical of Grant: Frank Varney, David G. Moore, Diane Monroe Smith, and Joseph A. Rose.
Their findings may be debated but can't be lightly dismissed.
***
One takeaway from all of this is to be always wary of unscrupulous politicians, contemporary journalists, and even the most esteemed historians.
Joseph Medill, the editor of the Chicago Tribune during the Civil War (and namesake of the journalism school I eked out a diploma from some forty years ago), is quoted from a letter of 1863 to a congressman from Illinois who was a patron for Grant.
"No man's military career in the army is more open to destructive criticism than Grant's. We have kept off of him on your account. We could have made him stink in the nostrils of the public like an old fish had we properly criticised his military blunders."

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LLCHESTY's picture

August 09, 2024 at 10:21 am

Comparing football to war does a disservice to every soldier that has fought for their country. Don't be that guy.

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Swisch's picture

August 09, 2024 at 12:07 pm

I largely agree with your point, LLCHESTY, as I stand in awe of anyone who has actually been in combat for the defense of American ideals.
However, there is a real similarity between war and football that is not always inappropriate.
Also, we all have our battles in life, and few of us who have lived long are without serious wounds physical and emotional.
Sad to say, there are tragic and largely preventable epidemics of overdoses and suicides in America that combine to perhaps total more than 150,000 per year.
It seems many of these are veterans whose heroism has been dismissed by the very government who sent them to the front lines.
Would that we take care of them heartily before lavishing gifts on a tsunami of illegal migrants.

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stockholder's picture

August 09, 2024 at 06:00 pm

Recognize evil for what it is.
Life is good.

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LLCHESTY's picture

August 09, 2024 at 11:48 pm

I hope you realize over 148,000 immigrants have served in the US military in the last 20 years and many of their families were treated like shit while they did so. Much like the 150,000-200,000 Irish immigrants that fought in the Civil War.

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dobber's picture

August 09, 2024 at 09:38 am

We act as if nobody ever plays their 1s in preseason, when it turns out a lot of teams do. We've complained about the Packers' 2s getting pushed all over the place in preseason games for years because other teams were throwing a bunch of their 1s out there. I think 1s getting preseason snaps is less risky than we make it out to be.

What I'm looking for against Cleveland...
...getting the defense some live snaps against a non-practice opponent so that they can start making adjustments and calls in that environment. There will be very little game-planning, so it's mostly just getting comfortable with the guys next to them and responding to what they see. With so many returning guys, I think it's most valuable up the middle of the defense where some of the new starters are.
...sorting out the 2s and 3s on the OL. This is what gives me the most angst right now as they head toward September. With the 1s sitting most of the night, this will give some of these guys opportunities to play themselves onto the radar. Meyers may be gone this next off-season, and Tom, Walker, and Rhyan all have their contracts come up after 2025. We're not hearing much about these guys making plays in practice which makes OL depth a real concern.

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Bitternotsour's picture

August 09, 2024 at 10:24 am

This isn't an Aaron Rodgers preseason and the team isn't kowtowing to a diva any longer. People will play where the coaches see fit to play them. Never again will we need to hear "Aaron Rodgers famously doesn't like preseason"

Hell, I saw in a feed that the Jets held him out because it was raining! Hey NY, better get some bubble wrap or he may break.

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Swisch's picture

August 09, 2024 at 12:36 pm

I'm truly glad we agree on something, Bitternotsour.
Rodgers said preseason games weren't necessary to hone the offense, but then undermined himself near the end of the 2021 season when the Packers clinched a bye week in the playoffs as the top seed while still having a meaningless game against the Lions.
It was widely assumed that Rodgers would sit out that last game of the regular season, especially as he had just recovered from a toe injury that for weeks had threatened to put him on the sidelines.
However, as I remember it, Rodgers declared he was going to play before our head coach had an opportunity to make such a decision properly in the latter's purview.
What had happened to Rodgers not needing games to hone the offense -- especially when the Packers now had behind them almost a full season of games for the offense to find its rhythm?
It seems Rodgers was all about using that meaningless game to pad his stats and those of Davante Adams.
As it was, the Packers suffered a shocking upset to the 49ers in their first playoff game, scoring only one touchdown in losing 13-10.
It was a simultaneous headache and heartbreak that I hope will never be repeated by the indulging of arrogance.
I'd be sincerely glad if others could prove me wrong in this analysis.

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13titles's picture

August 09, 2024 at 08:35 pm

The other aspect is that it is a long season. And resting players now may be beneficial at the end of the season ... Eg ravens always falter

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