This is an easy pick. The Packers will cover the spread. This is a game where the Packers should be able to try new things to see if they might want to use them in the future.

"That’s why interceptions are such a challenging metric when it comes to a quarterback’s success."

If the turnover costs the game, it counts against the player. Love is tied with Mahomes in interceptions after missing two games. He sits at 3-2 and Mahomes is undefeated. That's how turnovers count or not.

What's good is that Love will go on a roll now that he's getting dialed in after his injury. Sitting at 5-2 the Packers are way ahead of last season. If the O-line can help him find another second or so, he'll be cutting up this league. Not all teams are going to have the two-headed monsters on the D-line like Houston.

The Packers just need to take care of business and not let the bottom dwelling teams stay in the games. They seem to always compete with the good teams.

Remember, ALL GAS NO BREAKS! GPG!

This is the epitome of a trap game for our Packers. They just beat a really good Texans team with a walk off FG and after the Jags they have the Lions. Hopefully the Packers will be dialed in and focused with the task at hand...Whooping up on the Jags.

Christian Watson is DUE for a game. He has ONLY 9 receptions which I don't understand. Getting Watson involved should be something the Packers should be trying harder to do. Hey, I get it, there's only so many balls to go around but some of them need to start finding Watson.

The Jags now healthy offense is a lot better than the standings suggest. Bigsby has been a handful, but getting Engram back at TE had unlocked the rest, along with Thomas Jr who is a big Watson type with quick feet to elude often the catch.

It’s their D that is the problem. They don’t have a lot of talent outside of their rush which, Travon Walker aside, has probably underperformed based on prior seasons.

We should be able to score against this team through the air and in the ground. Defensively, stop the run and find as solution to Engram and that should be enough to allow us to outscore them. Get them having to strengthen the box through the run and I think we are in a great position. That should also help prevent them getting in rhythm offensively.

Another data point coming up....to settle the debate for one more week; is GB defense really good, or was it simply playing against teams that were bad (or were short key offensive players from injury.) The indications are good, but see if they can stop TLawrence and their desperation mode of attack. I thing Hafley, MLF and the consultant will have the team ready. A comfortable victory after the first two possessions.

So.......Jacksonville is one of the better teams at stuffing the run, but they're one of the worst scoring defenses. How is that possible.??? Oh, never mind,I just remembered: It's a passing league, and their pass defense is one of the worst in the league, and that's why teams are scoring points on them. But hey,....they're stuffing the run.

The Packers should be able to score on Jacksonville without doing a bunch of high-risk stuff. Just run the plays and protect the ball and we'll hit 30.

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Also, I'd like to thank the Rams for beating Minnesota 30-20. They are now 5-2, just like us, and when we win Sunday, we'll be 1/2 game ahead of them, and probably 1/2 game behind 5-1 Detroit, who we play next week. It is within the realm of possibility that we'll be 7-2 and in first place at the bye. I think most of us should be happy about that.

This is the sort of game that makes me more nervous than a long tailed cat in a room full of rocking chairs. The Packers next play the Lions, and just might be a bit more confident than they should be. Lawrence has improved as the season has gone on, the Packers run defense is still suspect, and if the defense is forced to stay on the field, getting more and more sapped by a lot of running plays on long drives, this could be a much closer than some expect. Is this the proverbial "trap game"? I dislike the title, but the Packers are not able to take anyone lightly, ever. That can only lead to disappointment and regrets of what could have been.

McManus kicked the FG not once but twice

Good analysis by Maggie as usual.
At first glance one would think the 5-2 Packers should easily beat the 2-5 Jaguars.
But the 5 win and 2 loss Packers record is only 3 wins and 2 losses with Jordan.
And who have the 5 Packers wins come against? The then 0-2 Colts (now 4-3) , Titans 0-2 (now 1-5), Rams 1-3 (now 3-4), 2-3 Cardinals (now 3-4) and 5-1 Texans (now 5-2). With the exception of maybe the Texans, the Packers have beaten no top tier teams or beaten teams with key players out to injury.
And of the 3 wins with Jordan as starter 2 of those wins (Rams and Texans) could have easily been losses if the Packers defense and special teams did not carry Jordan and make up for Jordan’s bone headed interceptions, poor fundamentals and lack of situational awareness (defensive formation, time, timeouts, down and distance, etc.).
Also, the win over the Rams was when the Rams were without both star receivers Kupp and Nacua. Thank goodness because we may need the win over the Rams in tie breaking scenarios.
I expect Jordan to throw 4 touchdown passes and 0 interceptions this week against Jacksonville, but then I expected about the same last week against the Texans.
Jacksonville’s defense is dead last of 32 NFL teams in number of touchdown passes allowed with 16 and % of touchdowns allowed per pass attempt, 6.3%
Jacksonville’s defense is also dead last of 32 NFL teams in intercepting passes – only 1 interception through 7 games – and dead last of 32 NFL teams in interception % per pass attempt with 0.4%.
Jacksonville’s defense is also dead last in passer rating allowed with 113.7%
Jacksonville’s defense is 25th in sack percentage with 5.9%.
ONE WOULD EXPECT EVEN THE AVERAGE STARTING NFL QUARTERBACK TO HAVE A FIELD DAY AGAINST JACKSONVILLE.
But last week, I also expected Jordan to have a 3 or 4 passing Touchdown day - as the Texans came into last Sunday’s game 31st of 32 NFL teams in terms of passing touchdowns surrendered - 12 TD Passes - and 29th of 32 teams in Touchdown passes surrendered per pass attempt - 6.7 per pass attempt
Additionally, Texans were without 4 defensive starters - linebacker, Azeez Al-Shaair, cornerback Kamari Lassiter, linebacker, Henry To'oTo'o, safety Jimmy Ward
Jordan got 2 touchdown passes, and would have been just 1, but Kraft - as these terrific Packer receivers do all the time - caught a ball that was uncatchable by an average NFL receiver.
Really thought though given the Texans 4 missing starters – including the corner and safety - the Packers would make it through Sunday without Jordan throwing any interceptions.
And even with these starters healthy the Texans were intercepting only 2.8 of every 100 pass attempts coming into yesterday's game.
But Jordan just throws balls up for grabs like a gambler rolling the dice – we had not only the 2 interceptions – which after watching All 22 were clearly both on Jordan – but several other balls that could have and should have been intercepted including 3 passes on the last drive – those 3 – especially the first – could have been very easily intercepted and then what would people be saying? 4 of the 5 throws that were completed on the last drive that put the Packers into field goal range on that last drive were throws that any NFL backup or 3rd string QB could have made on target without forcing the receiver to make unnecessarily body movements and effort – a franchise QB makes those throws without forcing extra effort from the receiver. The 5th completion to Doubs was to Doubs when Doubs had no separation at the time Jordan delivered the ball and should have been called a fumble with the ball turned over to the Texans.
All that said, hoping for the best in Jacksonville.
Barring more Jordan interceptions and a quick 2 score lead for the Jaguars and the Green Bay defense thus wearing down and forced to stop the run, Packers 38 Jaguars 20.

Forgot to mention penalties.
Nice to see the Packers get a win last week against the Texans without the benefit of the refs.
Coming into the game 2 weeks ago at Lambeau the Cardinals were the least penalized team in the NFL. The Cardinals had the fewest penalties called against them through the 1st 5 games of the NFL season - just 19.
Then on Sunday against the Packers in Green Bay the Cardinals had 13 penalties called against them - almost as many that were called against the Cardinals the entire season!! And several of the penalties against the Cardinals were very questionable.
Check it out - # of Penalties for the Packers 1st 7 games and most penalized team each week:
Packers 10 for 71 Eagles 7 for 57 in Brazil
Week 1 most penalties Dallas and Cleveland 11 each

Colts 3 for 20 at Packers 6 for 50 in Green Bay
Week 2 most penalties Cleveland 13

Green Bay 10 for 75 at Titans 2 for 15 in Tennessee (amazing the Packers overcame the refs in this one)
Week 3 most penalties Baltimore 13

Vikings 7 for 55 at Packers 8 for 68 in Green Bay
Week 4 most penalties Jets 13

Packers 6 for 34 at Rams 5 for 30 in Los Angeles
Week 5 most penalties New England 12

Cardinals 13 for 100 at Packers 5 for 40 in Green Bay
Week 6 most penalties. Arizona 13 (2nd was Tampa Bay with 12)

Packers 8 Texans 5 in Green Bay
Week 7 most penalties – Cleveland and Las Vegas 10 each

So in Jacksonville, with playoff hopes basically on the line for the Jaguars, beyond Jordan I fear the referees.

The Packers should win this game, but our achilles heal is still our ST unit. If Bisaccia can't turn it around in total this season (especially with our FG snapper & punt return units), he shouldn't be coaching ST next season. FGs & punt returns should not be an adventure everytime they are out there.

“Love, though, is also tied for the league lead in interceptions with eight, alongside both Patrick Mahomes (six touchdowns) and Gardner Minshew (four touchdowns). While some of those picks were just bad decisions by Love, others weren’t really his fault (like a receiver falling down, for instance). That’s why interceptions are such a challenging metric when it comes to a quarterback’s success. And he’s only had two games this year with multiple picks. His three against the Vikings really skew his overall total.”

8th article or show now in 4 days REDEEMING Jordan.

Jordan better dominate against Jaguars tomorrow and he should as the Jaguars Defense has given up the most passing TDs in the NFL with 16 and have intercepted just 1 pass. If not, how many “talking points” and articles and shows will 1265 Lombardi Avenue distribute to its high priests for publication and airing?

Does someone at 1265 Lombardi Avenue feel that Jordan – and thus Gutekunst – need defending?

I guess so.

Hence more cover and excuses for Jordan.

I guess with this latest article forgiving and making excuses for Jordan’s interceptions we will now have to go back for each of the other 30 starting NFL quarterbacks that have less interceptions than Jordan and evaluate which interceptions we can blame on someone else.

Oh that’s right Josh Allen has no interceptions, so only need to consider 29 starting NFL quarterbacks. And for 4 – Herbert, Fields, Brissett, and Flacco - of the other 29 we only have to look at 1 interception and for 3 – Burrow, Jackson and Daniels - just 2 interceptions.

I mean, who are we fooling? Much rather have Josh Allen (12 TD passes, 0 interceptions), Lamar Jackson (15 TD passes, 2 interceptions), and Joe Burrow (14 TD passes, 2 interceptions) who are not only throwing the TD passes but protecting the ball and as a consequence their teams are either scoring on the ground or through the air on possessions where Jordan is not only NOT scoring but scoring for the other team!!

And those QBs are not creating problems with turnovers and relying on their defenses to bail them out.

Over 5 games, Jordan has led 59 drives – more possessions than average courtesy of the Packer defense creating turnovers - thus far and the Packers have scored on just 24 of those – that is 40.6%, which ranks 14th in the NFL – 14 players make the playoffs. However, interceptions lead to points for the opponent and must be offset.

And Jordan – unlike many of these top tier quarterbacks – is not a dual threat.

Rushing touchdowns:

Fields 5 – 231 yards 6gp
Hurts 4 – 218 yards 6gp
Daniels 4 – 372 yards 7gp
Allen 3 – 179 yards 7gp
Nix 3 – 255 yards 7gp
Mayfield 2 – 158 yards 7gp
Lamar 2 – 455 yards 7gp
Murray 2 – 325 yards 7 gp
Purdy 2 – 154 yards 7 gp

Jordan 29 yards no touchdowns

Other than the section devoted to the forgiveness and redemption of Jordan, the article is fact based and informative – credits to Maggie.

“Can the defense still win football games if they don’t generate any turnovers? Well, the answer is yes.”

Not if Jordan is turning the ball over - last week was a RARE 7.5% probable occurrence.

For instance, in 2023 there were 272 regular season games and 13 playoff games.

In 53 of those games there was a turnover advantage of 3 or more and the team with the turnover advantage won 49 of those games – 92.5% of the time.

In 57 of those games there was a turnover advantage of 2 and the team with the turnover advantage of 2 won 48 of those games – 84.2% of the time.

In 113 of those games there was a turnover advantage of only 1 and the team with the turnover advantage of 1 won 69 of those games – 61.1% of the time.