Maggie’s Pre-Game Six Pack - 2024 Week 3
By MaggieLoney
The 1-1 Green Bay Packers will travel to Nashville this week to take on an unfamiliar opponent. Per the dope sheet, the last time Green Bay won a road game against the franchise was all the way back in 1992 playing in Houston against the Oilers. This is the fourth consecutive season that the Packers have started 1-1. In each of the last three seasons, Green Bay has improved to 2-1 after Week 3. Here are six things to keep in mind going into the Titans game.
1. Down Right Offensive
The Titans have one of the worst offensive lines in football. Pro Football Focus considers Tennessee the 31st ranked o-line going into Week 3. The unit allowed 17 pressures in Week 2 against the Jets, with right tackle Nicholas Petit-Frere giving up nine of those pressures himself.
This is exactly what the Packers pass rush needs after a slow start to the 2024 season. Green Bay had two sacks against the Eagles in Week 1, but then only brought down Anthony Richardson once in Week 2 against the Colts. Will Levis is not the type of mobile threat at quarterback that Jalen Hurts and Richardson are. If the Packers can generate a pass rush on Sunday, they should be able to bring Levis down a ton.
There’s a lot of talent in this defensive front, and the Packers have invested significant draft capital over the years to make sure of that. Rashan Gary typically rushes over the right tackle, so he’ll be due a big game on Sunday. Behind him, the Packers need to see jumps from Lukas Van Ness and Devonte Wyatt (who does have a sack this season). Levis has been sacked seven times this year. Opportunities will be there for Green Bay’s defense. The Packers just have to capitalize.
2. Make Something Special on Teams
The Titans have already had two punts blocked in two games. In Week 1, familiar face Jonathan Owens returned a blocked punt for a touchdown, getting the Bears back into a game they eventually won. And in Week 2 against the Jets, punter Ryan Stonehouse had a second punt blocked giving the Jets great starting field position at the Tennessee 30-yard line. Rich Bisaccia is the highest-paid special teams coordinator in the NFL. His unit will have a real opportunity to alter the game on Sunday.
For the Packers, punter Daniel Whelan is becoming a weapon in his own right. He’s punted five times this season, averaging 42.6 yards per punt. Four of those punts have landed inside the opponent’s 20-yard line. Kicker Brayden Narveson is 6-of-8 this year on field goals, missing both kicks from 45 yards, though he did make a 46-yarder this season. He’s also perfect on extra points. If he can clean up his near misses, the Packers may have found their kicker of the future.
3. X Gon’ Pick It For Ya
Sorry, Twitter saw that first. The Packers got a good one in safety Xavier McKinney. In an effort to completely overhaul the safety unit for 2024, Green Bay spent big and signed McKinney, the top free agent available at safety, to a four-year, $67 million contract. He’s been worth every penny.
In two games, McKinney has already snagged two interceptions. He’s the only safety in the NFL with multiple picks, and he ties Buffalo cornerback Ja’Marcus Ingram as the only two players with multiple interceptions through the first two weeks of the season.
McKinney’s career-best for interceptions was five in 2021. Last year in New York he had three through 17 games. While it’s incredibly unlikely McKinney can keep this streak going all season, as he’s on pace for 17 interceptions (which would be an NFL record), it does illustrate the immediate value he’s brought to Green Bay’s secondary.
Per Pro Football Reference, McKinney has no missed tackles this season and has only allowed one completion for eight yards, allowing a passer rating when targeted of 2.8. His other two targets resulted in interceptions. More on those interception numbers later.
4. The Belle (Cow) of the Ball
We just gave the defensive free agent addition his flowers, now let’s give some to Josh Jacobs. It’s an entirely revamped running backs room in 2024, with Jacobs the lead back and Aaron Jones in Minnesota. With AJ Dillon on season-ending injured reserve, we expected the Packers to lean on rookie third-round draft pick MarShawn Lloyd behind Jacobs. Unfortunately, Lloyd was just placed on injured reserve this past week, too, which means the current running backs room consists of Jacobs, Emanuel Wilson, and the newly signed Chris Brooks.
Through two weeks, Jacobs currently ranks third in the NFL with 235 rushing yards, behind only J.K. Dobbins (266) and Jordan Mason (247). While he’s yet to find the end zone this season, he’s rushed 48 times and is averaging 4.9 yards per carry. For reference, the last time he averaged 4.9 yards per carry was in 2022 when he finished with 1,653 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns. That season earned him First Team All-Pro honors. Currently, Jacobs is on pace to finish the year with 1,998 yards, which would be a career-high.
The Titans defense has been pretty stout against the run, allowing only 185 yards through two weeks. They have 14 tackles for loss, getting into the backfield consistently to stuff big gains. Green Bay’s offensive line played well against the Colts in Week 2 and didn’t allow a single sack of Malik Willis. If they can keep Willis (or Jordan Love?) upright again against Tennessee, that will allow Matt LaFleur to call a similar offensive attack and should open up some rushing opportunities for Jacobs. Of course, the offensive attack looks completely different if Love is able to play, but we’ll operate under the assumption that it’s Willis time until further notice.
5. Ridley Me This
On paper, the Titans should have a pretty solid receiving trio with DeAndre Hopkins, Calvin Ridley, and Tyler Boyd. Instead, it’s been the Ridley show all season. He was a welcomed addition from Jacksonville and leads the team with seven catches for 127 yards and a touchdown. Boyd has 44 yards this season, and Hopkins only has 17 through two games. If Jaire Alexander travels with Ridley, the secondary should be able to shut down this Titans receiving game with relative ease.
Levis has thrown three interceptions through two games with two touchdowns. The Titans offense ranks 27th in passing yards with 274 through two games, and 29th in net yards gained per pass attempt.
The offense really runs (no pun intended) through the rushing attack. Ridley has a rushing touchdown of his own this season, and Tony Pollard and Tyjae Spears make a formidable tandem. Tennessee ranks 10th in rushing yards per attempt, averaging five yards per carry on the ground and picking up 18 first downs.
The Packers defense sits at 27th in the league when it comes to run defense, giving up an average of 5.1 yards per carry. Even if Green Bay can shut down Ridley and the receiving game, it won’t matter if the defense is being gashed for big gains on the ground. The Packers will need to clean that up quickly after allowing 140-plus rushing yards in both contests this season.
6. A Tale of Turnovers
Green Bay’s defense has five interceptions through two weeks, which leads the NFL. Alexander, Evan Williams, and Eric Wilson are all on the board with one each behind McKinney’s two, while Alexander leads the team with three passes defensed. This is a dramatic improvement from a defense that only had seven interceptions in 17 games last season.
In each of the Packers’ first two games this season, the defense has forced three turnovers. Those six turnovers also rank first in the league. Meanwhile in Tennessee, the Titans have lost five turnovers already this year, ranking 31st in the NFL. Their offense has turned the ball over multiple times in both games, and their defense has only managed one takeaway so far this season.
For Green Bay’s defense, 28.6% of drives this season ended in a turnover. The Titans are turning the ball over on 20.8% of offensive drives. The Packers are plus-four in turnover differential while the Titans sit dead last in the league at minus-four. If the Packers protect the football on Sunday and capitalize on a few takeaways, they win this game. It’s that simple.
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Maggie Loney is a writer for Cheesehead TV and podcaster for Pack's What She Said. Find her on Bluesky at @MaggieJLoney.
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Comments (18)
Cheezehead72
September 20, 2024 at 06:18 am
Ok I learned my lesson last week. No matter who is starting Love or Willis the Packers win and cover.
LambeauPlain
September 20, 2024 at 08:28 am
Tougher test this week.
Packers #4 O goes agains the #1 D after 2 games.
Packers #27 Defense vs Titans #24 Offense.
Like you, I am still taking the Pack, expecting the D to finally shut down the run and force Levis into T/O's.
BruceC1960
September 20, 2024 at 03:40 pm
I would guess the Titans defense will do what Colt’s did in the 2nd half last week. Willis may have to throw a bit more?
LLCHESTY
September 20, 2024 at 08:21 pm
If they start out in a Tite front the Packers might be able to draw them out of it by gashing them with some outside runs. Hopefully LaFleur drew up a fake to the RB and a toss to WR.
T7Steve
September 20, 2024 at 06:55 am
" and capitalize on a few takeaways, they win this game. It’s that simple."
Yes. Let's start to "capitalize" on some of those takeaways. At least early in the game to set the tone. Later to set the pace of the game and control time of possession again. Keep the D off the field on a hot day to stay fresh till the end.
This requires the O-line to take over the LOS against a strong front.
Leatherhead
September 20, 2024 at 10:42 am
If we only win one out of the next two, I'd much rather it be next week against Minnesota. This game in Tennessee would be nice to win, and it's winnable, but it's not as important as the game against Minnesota.
In Tennessee, you have an inexperienced QB behind a shaky offensive line. If we can put some points on the board early, and put some pressure on the Titans to keep up, it might lead to some big mistakes by their offense.
Cheezehead72
September 20, 2024 at 01:44 pm
In the NFL all games are important. Some games have more impact than others. That is how I would phrase it.
SicSemperTyrannis
September 20, 2024 at 06:58 pm
I want to see some IMPACT by every one of our defensive linemen on the roster TEEING OFF against Levis. Round Robin this guy - who does he think he is?!?
Make the league FEAR having to go to Lambeau Field again
Leatherhead
September 20, 2024 at 07:42 pm
I don’t know if that’s true. Remember when we lost the opener by 30 points and won 13 games.?
Games after Thanksgiving are more important than September games. Home is more important than road. Division games are more important.
Of the two games, beating the Vikings is more important. At home, in the division.
LambeauPlain
September 20, 2024 at 06:58 pm
I am with you. Ugly purple is always the team to defeat, at least twice/season. And must win the Division.
Titans? The Defense will decide this game. Feels that way.
This will be the greatest test for the O. I have confidence in Team Matt to find ways to move the ball on a very good D. 50/50 contest on this side.
Not so for Team Haf. This is the time for the Pack Attack Defense show dominance. Nearing the end of the 1st QTR of the season, the Defense must take Hafley and his coaches vision, and perform. The last two games have been decaf on the pressure. Time for expresso...early and often.
PeteK
September 20, 2024 at 11:29 am
Tough game to call, but if we're going to the playoffs this season the D against the run and O line pass blocking have to improve . This is as good as anytime to put it all together.
WestCoastPackerBacker
September 20, 2024 at 04:03 pm
Let's just win the next game instead of talking about playoffs in September. That's a LONG ways away.
SicSemperTyrannis
September 20, 2024 at 07:00 pm
Playoffs? PLAYOFFS?!?
ricky
September 20, 2024 at 02:31 pm
If the Titans OL is so poor, then it should follow that they'll have a tough time opening holes for their RB's. Also, Levis seems to make a poor judgment play at least once a game, if not more often. Whether the coaches will be able to stop him from being so error prone this week will go a long way toward deciding the outcome of this game. On the Packers side, can Willis continue to play error free ball? Will they run the ball as much, or will they try to go with short passes to the sidelines and hope the WR's can get some YAC?
gsd3
September 20, 2024 at 04:18 pm
Expect the pack to get to Levi's and get several turnovers.
Willis hits on a deep post to Watson, which opens up the running game.
GB 17 - 10
joejetson
September 20, 2024 at 06:42 pm
In both of Tennessee 's games, Levis made some disastrous decisions when under a heavy pass rush. And he was under consistent pressure.
I'm sure the coaching staff will have some schemes planned to force Levis into mistakes.
I expect Willis to fill in admirably again this week. Hopefully not settling for FG's in the red zone again.
A very winnable game for the Pack.
Boneman
September 21, 2024 at 04:49 am
The Titans will limit our run game early so to score we'll need to pass. That's why they're rushing Love back as quickly as they are. If Willis has to play again this could be a rough game and Defense/ST's will have to come through to get a win (16-14). If Love can play the Pack wins big (27-17). With the latter scenario look for Watson to have a big game, he's due and MLF will dial up his number.
jont
September 21, 2024 at 08:34 am
It's about time for an Emmanuel Wilson coming out party.
With a back-up QB, GB put together a solid, hard working win last week. They'll need to do the same tomorrow against a better team (or, at least, a team that's coached better and better prepared).
The Titans will be stacked against the run so speed to the outside could work if GB can set the edge.
Tom and Kraft get their blocks, a pitch to Wilson, and off he goes? He's got the tools, let's see him change a game.