Should the Packers Give Kenny Clark a Third Contract?

The Packers have a big decision to make on whether to part ways with Clark after this season.

With Jordan Love’s new mega-contract likely to be sorted out before the start of the upcoming season, arguably the biggest decision facing Packers GM Brian Gutekunst between now and 2025 is whether to extend Kenny Clark’s deal, giving him a third contract in Green Bay.

Handing out a third contract to a player in their late twenties is risky business, and something the Packers have often avoided. David Bakhtiari’s gnarly knee injury could not have been predicted, but is a prime example of a third contract gone wrong.

Clark turns 29 in October and will be a free agent at season’s end. There is a strong argument to be made both for and against extending his stay in Green Bay past 2024.

Quietly, Clark had a career high 7.5 sacks a season ago, showing he still has plenty left in the tank and can impact the quarterback regularly. He is also arguably Green Bay’s best run defender on the defensive line.

The former first-round pick is the only true veteran on the defensive line, with no other player having more than two years of NFL experience. He is a leader of that group and of the Packers as a whole, and a perfect example in the locker room of how to be a professional.

There is also a possibility under new defensive coordinator Jeff Hafley that Clark’s play can still improve.

On the flipside, Clark is entering his age 29 season and has had to play an absurd amount of snaps for a defensive lineman during his time in Green Bay, averaging over 76% of snaps played in his last seven seasons. A decline could be coming, and arguably has already begun.

His PFF grades for the last two seasons are the lowest of his career, and while they are still above average at 66.4 and 70.4 (60 is average), they are nowhere near the elite grades he put up earlier in his career.

After achieving an 87.3 grade in 2017 and 90.2 in 2018, his grades have steadily fallen each season, before the slight uptick this past year.

Despite having two more sacks in 2023, Devonte Wyatt’s pass rush grade was actually slightly better (he just struggled to finish sacks), with hopefully another year of improvement, Wyatt could take over the reins from Clark as the chief interior disruptor from 2025.

A group which already does not defend the run well would certainly miss Clark, but he is not an elite run defender himself. His PFF run defense grade was 61.4 last season.

With the NFL draft coming up, the Packers have a chance to pre-empt Clark’s departure by adding a run-stopping lineman to the room, knowing they still have a number of promising interior pass rushers on the roster between Wyatt, Karl Brooks and Colby Wooden.

If the Packers did renew Clark’s deal this offseason, there could be a situation where the younger players take big steps, while Clark declines, and the team realizes they should have let him walk.

It is better to get out a year too early than a year too late, and Green Bay has shown they have no problem being unsentimental, having just cut ties with Aaron Jones in favor of a younger back in Josh Jacobs.

If they decide to work on a new contract, expect the Packers to draw a line in the sand and insist on a shorter deal, maybe two years for less money than he currently makes. If the price makes sense, it would be great to have Clark stick around, but it is not a no-brainer to hand him a third contract.

 

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Mark Oldacres is a sports writer from Birmingham, England and a Green Bay Packers fan. You can follow him on twitter at @MarkOldacres

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5 points
 

Comments (88)

Fan-Friendly This filter will hide comments which have ratio of 5 to 1 down-vote to up-vote.
Cheezehead72's picture

April 05, 2024 at 06:40 am

They should tell Clark they will not consider a contract extension until after game 8. That gives them almost a half season to determine if he is a good fit in the 4-3 scheme. if they do extend him it should be no more than 3 years.

4 points
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WD's picture

April 05, 2024 at 09:30 am

Currently he is 28 and will be 28 opening day. Let that sink in. Let's not pretend he is too old. He is currently our best D.Tackle and provides veteran leadership with the front four. I am all for the youth movement but at 28 he is not over the hill. In fact,he is at the top of the hill. Give the guy a little respect. How about focusing on our glaring hole at ILB?

5 points
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SicSemperTyrannis's picture

April 05, 2024 at 08:54 pm

A third contract should be based on performance, very little guaranteed. Which likely means he walks, playing elsewhere for more guaranteed money.

I have no idea what numbers make sense, from either side of that negotiation; however, I DO think that's what makes sense for the team.

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stockholder's picture

April 05, 2024 at 07:02 am

After Jones left- Clark will leave too.
Not because of age.
Not because of production.
It's Because he's a gm-
who wants to spend money.
For the glory of Gute..........

-14 points
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GTPack's picture

April 05, 2024 at 07:40 am

Totally off base, Mr. Stockholder. It’s a young man’s game. There’s no room for sentiment in professional sports. It’s difficult work being a GM. They must have strength in their convictions and always try to stay competitive by getting better and not status quo. They cannot worry about what the fans want or what the fans think. It’s tough to stay on top and if you don’t, GM’s and coaches get replaced. Some franchises have owners meddling too. Thank goodness, Gute has free reign.

2 points
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dobber's picture

April 05, 2024 at 07:46 am

5-10 years from now, we'll be into the next GM era and someone will be pining for the days of the last GM...and the GM before him...skip the GM before that...then the GM before him...

4 points
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Oppy's picture

April 05, 2024 at 11:51 am

Dobber, why you gotta do Sherman like that?!

Lol. Yeah, unless your name rhymes with Dill Delichick, you should never be both HC and GM

1 points
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Cheezehead72's picture

April 05, 2024 at 07:46 am

I would say that I agree that generally Gute has the freedom to do what he wants and needs to do but Murphy will meddle. It appears it was Murphy's idea to keep Rodgers and give him that big contract. There might have been others where he meddled.

5 points
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Alberta_Packer's picture

April 05, 2024 at 11:49 am

That whole Rodgers drama cost the Team significant draft capital and delayed the playing career of Love by one year - largely because it turned out that Murphy was an "idiot." However we are now in Murphy's last year (thankfully) - with more of his work probably being passed on to Ed Policy - considered his successor. Also with the Draft coming to GB next year - perhaps Murphy can occupy himself as the mascot for the event. Thus keeping him out of the football operations office.

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WestCoastPackerBacker's picture

April 05, 2024 at 01:27 pm

No GM in this league would have traded a guy coming off back-to-back MVPs to start a guy they didn't know would work out. I think having another year behind Rodgers is part of the reason Love played as well as he did last season.

It's ridiculous to continue to blame crap on Murphy and Gutey when they went straight from one Hall of Fame QB to a playoff team led by his successor. Not only did they make the playoffs, they beat the 2nd seed and came very close to being in the NFC Championship game.

You know why they resigned Rodgers? Notice the following:

NYG without Manning
NO without Brees
IND without Manning or Luck
NE without Brady
PIT without Roethlisberger

Not too many playoff games won by those teams.

But hey, go ahead and hate on Murphy for making GB a successful franchise on and off the field. Brining the draft to GB is just the icing on the cake of an incredibly successful career for Murphy.

I would love for you to follow some other team and see how you like their decisions, if you're not happy with one of the best run and most successful teams over the last 20 years.

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Bitternotsour's picture

April 05, 2024 at 05:07 pm

None of those teams successfully drafted their replacement the way GB did. Love was ready, Murphy was not. That deal was delivered by Gutekunst, and rejected by Murphy.

Murphy didn't make GB successful, he got hired into a fucking race car and he just had to turn the key. 3 decades of winning far exceed anything Murphy did.

Yes he was CEO when the last super bowl was won, but that was Ted Thompson and Mike McCarthy's doing, he didn't hire either one of them.

How many Lombardi's have we won since he usurped the role of Director of Football operations? Give Murphy credit for the financial health of the organization (though certainly not for cap management). The stadium is definitely a destination year round, and do definitely thank him for the sledding hill (I think they should name it for him as it sits without snow due to climate change).

Thankfully, Gutekunst has us trending younger and has successfully replaced our malignant former QB and conspiracy theorist.

Finally, it was a total dick move by Murphy to try to knuckle the city of Green Bay in lease negotiations and then leak to twitter.

0 points
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Alberta_Packer's picture

April 05, 2024 at 05:29 pm

Close is not good enough when the objective is a Championship. As the record shows - Rodgers was a better regular season QB than a playoff one. The MVP is a regular season award. Not a playoff/championship one.

Also not blaming Gutie. There were several independent sources who revealed that he wanted to trade Rodgers the year earlier. Thus in keeping with the axiom - that a good GM usually acts a year early rather than a year late. Like taking Love in the 2020 draft.

Also the GBP were a successful franchise long before Murphy. It certainly looks like that historic run will continue long after he is gone.

You are confusing blind faith with critical analysis and evaluation. Good organizations do it at all levels. There are many writers and subscribers on this site who frequently critique the Packers - both players and management. I am just one of many.

“Occasional criticism is better than the constant admiration.” - Amit Kalantri

3 points
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Oppy's picture

April 05, 2024 at 09:46 pm

The Packers have a GM that certainly would have traded Rodgers coming off back-to-back MVPs, but he wasn't allowed to.

The thing some people don't understand about the Packers way.. they put the team ahead of all else.

Any decisions regarding the trade of Rodgers wasn't about if Rodgers could still play QB at a high level. It was about the fact Rodgers had become a toxic presence in the organization. That's all there is to it. Regardless of his play, he has become unhealthy for the Green Bay Packers.

Full stop. That's the ugly truth everyone in football dances around, and so many fans refuse to see.

3 points
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Cheezehead72's picture

April 05, 2024 at 01:38 pm

You mean to say I am competing against Ed. Crap just when i thought I would be the next President. I guess I will not get that gig.

1 points
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Alberta_Packer's picture

April 05, 2024 at 04:48 pm

You will still need to submit your resume / c.v. to the Search Committee - who are obligated to review it and grant you an interview - or not. Just a word of advice. On your resume/c.v./qualifications written on the back of a napkin - you are probably better-off not listing anyone from this site as a reference.

2 points
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Oppy's picture

April 05, 2024 at 11:57 am

You can rest assured that the rash of back-loaded and "void year" contract extensions / restructures from a few years ago were the result of Mark Murphy telling Russ Ball to make it happen- intentional manipulations used to keep aging veterans around that otherwise could not have been kept on the roster due to cap implications.. all to appease Rodgers' disdain for young players and insistence on keeping his old boys club around him to "run it back one last time"... or three times.

Gutekunst took thinly veiled shots at the cap management from time to time over the last handful of years. He was not a fan. It seems now the tides have turned and we've been seeing the contracts return to a healthier, more TT-like state in efforts to heal the cap now. Signs that MM has most likely been allowing Gutekunst to actually take more control of the ship again.

5 points
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WestCoastPackerBacker's picture

April 05, 2024 at 01:31 pm

Why do you care? Why the heck do you care so dang much about the salary cap? And why hate on Murphy? I just don't get it.

I haven't seen Gutey take any veiled shots. Even if Murphy is telling him what to do (and I've seen no evidence of that) , then that is his prerogative - he functions much like a team owner. If the board doesn't think he's doing a good job, they can do something about it.

The team continues to be one of the winningest teams in football, is on good financial footing and will be bringing the NFL draft to little old GB.

Just wondering what exactly would make you happy, if the incredible success of the Packers doesn't.

1 points
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Oppy's picture

April 05, 2024 at 09:39 pm

"Why do you care? Why the heck do you care so dang much about the salary cap? And why hate on Murphy? I just don't get it. "

Why do I care? I care because I'm a fan of the Green Bay Packers.

Why do I care so dang much about the salary cap? Because a healthy salary cap means you are better equipped to obtain talent when it becomes available, retain talent that has proven its worth, and move on from aging and deteriorating talent without stiff financial penalties which would hinder obtaining and retaining young talent that helps maintain a competitive roster.

Why do I hate on Murphy? Try to pay attention. I don't hate Murphy, and I think he has been very successful at performing the job he was hired to perform...but I think he is playing defacto GM- a role he was not hired for- and I don't believe the power structure of the team as Murphy has crafted it is beneficial or conducive to the health of the GBP. I don't just sling mud, I'm pretty darn concise about exactly what I don't like and why I don't like it. I'm a huge believer in the organizational values that Bob Harlan installed, I believe there is great wisdom in the board finding and hiring a GM and allowing a GM to handle all football operations, and the board staying in its place and handling nothing more that non-football business operations. There's a pretty good case study for this type of organization of the Packers- It's called the 70s and 80s. Also, see the majority of other NFL franchises. Harlan got the local business guys (the board) out of football decisions and the Packers flourished. I would very much like to see that return.

"I haven't seen Gutey take any veiled shots." When it has happened, I have posted about the comments here at CHTV. Just because you don't pay attention as closely as I and some others do doesn't mean it hasn't happened.

The issue isn't Murphy telling the GM what to do, the issue is that three people report to Murphy and Murphy DECIDES what to do. That's how it is in Green Bay right now.

The team had been slowly eroding from within since Murphy fired Mike McCarthy and decided to use the power void created by Ted Thomspon's unfortunate decay of faculties to insert himself into the football side of the power structure. Oh, sure, the regular season wins were there, as well as a ton of internal strife and a locker room culture that was quickly becoming caustic with a defiant QB who was practicing- and preaching to younger players on offense- ignoring the coaching staff and doing things 'his way'.

I don't understand how you couldn't know what would make me happy. I'm pretty straight forward with my desires. On this particular topic, I've made numerous posts over the last two years that I would be overjoyed if the next President/CEO of the Packers would go back to the Harlan model and re-institute a power structure where the GM is the singular head of all football operations, and the board remains focused purely on managing the non-football related financial operations. The only time the board intervenes in football operations is if they feel there needs to be a dismissal of the current GM / hire of a new GM.

5 points
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TKWorldWide's picture

April 05, 2024 at 07:50 am

Yeah, I wonder if, after MM retires, the whole “silos” thing will still exist.

1 points
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dobber's picture

April 05, 2024 at 08:28 am

I hope so...there's a lot of corn to store after 2024

2 points
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stockholder's picture

April 05, 2024 at 09:41 am

Suh-?
If free reign doesn't produce a Super-bowl.
Then the point is futile.

1 points
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SicSemperTyrannis's picture

April 05, 2024 at 08:55 pm

He doesn't really have free reign.

Hopefully that changes, soon.

1 points
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TKWorldWide's picture

April 05, 2024 at 07:44 am

I still don’t understand your take on Brian G. “He wants to spend money for his own glory”? As in, he builds the team the best way he knows how because of his own ego? Hell, if he builds the best team he can, I don’t give a warm bucket of gerbil vomit what his motivation is.

10 points
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Oppy's picture

April 05, 2024 at 11:49 am

You have become so focused on your hatred of Gutekunst that you don't even attempt to make sense anymore.

5 points
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barutanseijin's picture

April 05, 2024 at 03:32 pm

C’mon. When has he ever made sense?

3 points
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Duhawk_47's picture

April 05, 2024 at 12:56 pm

Stock, did you take stock of how the Buffalo Bills, Stephon Diggs, and the Houston Texans have all recently "honored their contracts"? Me neither.

7 points
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egbertsouse's picture

April 05, 2024 at 07:14 am

He’s pushing 30 and has consistently played too many snaps every season so he has 35 year old legs. Trade him and go young.

3 points
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SicSemperTyrannis's picture

April 05, 2024 at 08:57 pm

All options should be on the table. Trading him may or may not be the best option, but certainly not before the upcoming season concludes.

0 points
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Coldworld's picture

April 05, 2024 at 07:23 am

Wait and see how he fits in the new D. There’s no need to rush this.

7 points
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Cheezehead72's picture

April 05, 2024 at 07:44 am

Was that a pun?

1 points
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Oppy's picture

April 05, 2024 at 12:13 pm

Don't know why so many people are talking about "seeing if (Clark) will fit in the new defense" or not.

There's zero question he'll fit just fine in a 4-3 defense.

Clark isn't some sort of hyper-specialized niche athlete whose body type or skill set is only applicable to a certain role.

He's not a classic 3-4 NT who has traded in mobility to stack 345lbs of mass on his frame to simply hunker down and anchor against double teams, and he's not a classic 4-3 pass-rush specialist DE who has given up some strength to become a lean and more twitchy 275 lbs to come in on 3rd downs and blindly rush the QB.

What makes Kenny Clark the rare player he is.. is that he's a 315lb lineman who has the functional strength and ability to anchor of linemen weighing 30 pounds more, while still having the mobility and twitch that is typically associated with somewhat smaller players.

It doesn't hurt that he's a technician, too.

He's perfectly suited to play across the interior of any defense.

He's just a great interior lineman, period.

IMO, the only question could be about age, and for my money, great defensive linemen have the ability to play well into their mid 30's.

I think Kenny Clark has one last three-to-four year contract with the Packers before they would deem it best to move on.

2 points
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SicSemperTyrannis's picture

April 05, 2024 at 09:00 pm

I'm not convinced LVN can't do well on the interior. It's hard for me to imagine him learning the ropes from someone better than Kenny Clarke. MLF should pare down his snaps, extend his career. IMHO.

0 points
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LLCHESTY's picture

April 06, 2024 at 08:04 am

He's actually perfectly suited to play NT in the scheme Hafley wants to run.

1 points
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Oppy's picture

April 06, 2024 at 11:00 pm

Like I said, he's perfectly suited to play any interior line position in any front.

Kenny Clark is a beast.

0 points
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Coldworld's picture

April 07, 2024 at 09:09 am

Yes, I think this is a much better fit with what I think Hafley will run and Clark is at this point. I just think the wise thing to do is confirm that, since there is no obvious need to jump early.

0 points
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RCPackerFan's picture

April 05, 2024 at 07:23 am

I have the feeling that we may have a bit of a surprise in the first round of the draft. I can see them drafting DL if one of the guys they like is there. Something we have seen Gutey and Thompson do during the drafts is draft a year ahead. For example, they drafted Gary when they had Smith bros. They drafted Rodgers when they had Favre and Love when they had Rodgers. They have looked more then current needs to see what the future holds. They have also looked at what contracts will be expiring in the future.

That is why I have a bad feeling. I have that feeling that Clark very well could be entering his last year in GB. I truly hope not because Clark is one of my favorite players. I want to see him here for another contract. Perhaps they will sign him to something. But we have seen how this team operates. And they don't like "old" guys. I could see them trying to find his replacement.

So with all that being said I could very well see them draft Clarks replacement in the first round. And if they don't go DL in the first I can definitely see it in the second round.

2 points
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Cheezehead72's picture

April 05, 2024 at 07:50 am

Like T'Vondre Sweet, you can never have enough big guys. Not that I think they should take a DT at 25 but Sweet is one I would not be unhappy with them picking.

2 points
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RCPackerFan's picture

April 05, 2024 at 08:06 am

I am curious what Hafley wants for his DL. Does he want a massive sized NT? If he does then Sweet definitely would be someone they could be looking at. Maybe not first round, but could in the 2nd. CBS Sports has him as the 82nd rated player, So that would be more of a 2nd/3rd round. But he is a rare prospect with his size.

2 points
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LLCHESTY's picture

April 06, 2024 at 08:05 am

"Does he want a massive sized NT?"

No

0 points
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dobber's picture

April 05, 2024 at 08:09 am

Sweat profiles as a guy who will go later than we expect. One-dimensional run-plugger--although he's outstanding at it--who lacks explosion and plays heavy. Teams will question his weight and discipline, even if he dropped pounds for draft season. He's a two-down DL in the NFL who likely rotates out on passing downs. No doubt, he's good for your LBs and your run defense, but it's a passing league.

1 points
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Guam's picture

April 05, 2024 at 08:05 am

The 2025 draft is supposed to be deep in defensive linemen. Why reach for a DL draft pick this year when more talent will be available next year? Couple that with the fact the Packers already have too many DL for the normal number of DL spots on a 4-3 roster and it makes little sense to draft a DL this year.

Give Hafley next season to sort out the current group and then decide on whether to keep Clark or add new talent next year.

1 points
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RCPackerFan's picture

April 05, 2024 at 08:19 am

The only problem with trying to project a year later is you never know how that board will change. I'm sure they have a feel for it, but you don't really know. You can have injuries, you can have guys return to school. A lot can change.

If they go for a DL with the first pick it won't be a reach. It will be whoever they have at the top of their board.
The thing we don't know though is what does Hafley want from his defensive lineman. I really like who we have. But with a new coach and a new scheme, perhaps he doesn't like it.

I personally want to keep Clark. But with how Gutey operates he would rather get rid of a guy early then hang onto them to long. And a lot of times the GM picks a position we really weren't expecting. They don't go purely on needs.

0 points
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Guam's picture

April 05, 2024 at 08:50 am

Yes, things can change, but that goes both ways. If some underclass DL decide to turn pro, the 2025 DL pool could get even deeper. Most experts seem to agree that the 2025 DL class will be much better than this year's class.

Regarding Hafley, he has never seen his current DL in any kind of practice much less a game yet. He has film, but of young, still developing DTs (Wyatt, Wooden, Brooks and Slaton). I suspect he would be hard pressed to make a case to Gute that he needs a high draft choice at DL when he hasn't really had much chance to evaluate what he already has or how much they might grow next season.

I know I am repeating myself and apologies for being redundant, but the numbers just don't work for adding a DL this year. A 4-3 team usually keeps 8 DL. Then Packers already have 10 DL - Clark, Wyatt, Wooden, Brooks, Slaton, P. Smith, Gary, Van Ness, Enagbare and Cox. They are already going to have a tough time getting to 8 DL without adding another high draft choice.

Why add a DL that will cause the Packers to trade/cut another good player when they have gaping holes at OL, LB and S? I just don't get the logic unless the new DL is a premium player that the rest of the league passed on and somehow fell into the Packer's laps.

0 points
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LLCHESTY's picture

April 06, 2024 at 08:07 am

They could trade Slaton to a 3-4 team if they find value in a DT early in the draft that fits the system more. Like Murphy.

0 points
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SicSemperTyrannis's picture

April 05, 2024 at 09:01 pm

KC, P Smith, these guys are close to irreplaceable. Let them be team leaders, mentors, and part of the secession plan ...

0 points
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GB@Germany's picture

April 05, 2024 at 07:38 am

They absolutely should.
Kenny was great last season, even if PFF not shows and a cornerstone of the defense. Two or three more good years are not unrealistic.
Especially on defense GB need to keep some experienced players, which understand the opposite offense.
But I would not be surprised by any other outcome….

2 points
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Coldworld's picture

April 05, 2024 at 08:04 am

Kenny was good, but great is probably exaggerated. Regardless, this D is going to be different with the change to 4:3. It’s going to be interesting to see what role they envisage for him and then how well he performs in it. We don’t really know how Hafley intends to use his DL in base and out of it, let alone how Clark fits within that. Wait and see before jumping one way or another on Clark.

3 points
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Guam's picture

April 05, 2024 at 08:15 am

The Packers also have a bunch of young DL (Wyatt, Wooden, Brooks and Slaton) and it would be good to see how they continue to develop before deciding on extending Clark or adding new bodies to the room.

Defensive line is one of the deepest groups on the Packers yet some posters continue to advocate for using a high draft pick on another DL. Unless an exceptional talent falls into the Packer's laps, I don't get it. Adding another DL will just cause the Packers to have to cut or trade an existing DL. The Packers have glaring holes on OL, LB and S - let's use those high draft picks to patch some of those holes.

3 points
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dobber's picture

April 05, 2024 at 08:24 am

I wouldn't say I advocate for taking a DL at 25, but if you trust your scouting and the top player on your board is a DL, I wouldn't let that stop me from taking him.

"Adding another DL will just cause the Packers to have to cut or trade an existing DL."

So be it. We can't be so married to the bottom of the DL depth chart that we don't allow ourselves to think they can get better with a high-end pick. I'd say that about most positions on the roster. Free Agency is about right now. The draft is about 2-3 years from now.

3 points
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Guam's picture

April 05, 2024 at 09:07 am

Nice in theory Dobber, but in practice what you are advocating is making the team weaker now and in the near future. The Packers have ten DL now (Clark, Wyatt, Wooden, Brooks, Slaton, P. Smith, Gary, Van Ness, Enagbare and Cox) and will likely keep eight or perhaps nine. You will have to cut or trade two or three if you draft a DL with a day one or day two pick to get to the roster number.

You aren't cutting or trading bottom feeders - all of the DL listed except Cox had substantial playing time last year.

Why not keep the DL you have and use that draft choice to plug one of the gaping holes then Packers currently have? And trade down if the value proposition isn't there at your positions of need.

Unless the DL is a potential superstar (unlikely at #25 or later), I just don't see the logic of using a premium draft choice on an already well stocked position when there are huge needs elsewhere. The team gets better by plugging holes, not by cutting one decent player in favor of another. And Gute is very good at moving around in the draft to match value with draft position.

3 points
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Coldworld's picture

April 05, 2024 at 09:32 am

Doesn’t it really depend on how well what we have fits with how Hafley wants to shape the DL? Typically teams that play 4:3 don’t use massive run stuffers. That’s more a conventional 3:4 trait, though it wasn’t in ours under either Pettine or Barry.

That said, out of base we won’t really be a 4:3 in the conventional sense, and that’s probably a majority of snaps. If Hafley wants to go heavy in those situations then a big DL if the Sweet type could be a need he’s identified. I personally doubt it, but we don’t really know. It would have to be a pretty core element of his philosophy to draft a big run specialist early though.

1 points
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Bitternotsour's picture

April 05, 2024 at 09:36 am

Kenny Clark is an extremely agile big man. To think he wouldn't be able to adjust to an even front is preposterous to me. That said, better a year too early than a year too late. I trust the front office to execute their plan which undoubtedly sees further than the 2024 season.

If they keep Clark I expect that he'll be great in whatever role they assign him.

0 points
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Coldworld's picture

April 05, 2024 at 05:03 pm

I was referencing Sweet type players, not Kenny Clark. Kenny has never been that type of player and he’s less of one these days since he lost weight.

My position on Kenny is simply that there no need to jump at this point and only more information to be gained by waiting and no obvious downside.

1 points
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Guam's picture

April 05, 2024 at 10:02 am

I agree that we don't know what Hafley wants yet, but does Hafley know what he has yet? He hasn't seen one single practice with his new team much less a game. And Hafley brought a new DL coach with him so he doesn't have lots of institutional knowledge from the former DL coaching staff. I suspect Hafley will take this year to evaluate what has and then talk to Gute about what he needs if it isn't currently on the team.

And that would mesh well with the idea that next year's DL draft pool will be better than this year's.

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Leatherhead's picture

April 05, 2024 at 12:38 pm

Sean Jones...Santana Dotson....Gilbert Brown....Reggie White.

Thats a 4:3 with a massive run stopper in the middle. In the 4:3, you want DL that can keep the blockers off the LBs, and you want LBs to be making the tackles, since they aren't being blocked.

In a 64 snap game, about half of those will be on first down. You start every possession on a first down and you usually make 20 or more first downs during the game, so you're going to be in that base half the time. And this is excluding short-yardage, which will also bring the extra lineman on the field.

I'm skeptical. I've been skeptical since the beginning, that we would play a 4:3 on over 30 snaps a game. I guess we'll see.

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Bitternotsour's picture

April 05, 2024 at 04:36 pm

an oversized front that would be destroyed by motion and a spread offense. bringing out the dinosaurs won't fly with the modern game. Your assessment of the number of snaps in base is totally accurate. I'd guess < 30, possibly less than 20.

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SicSemperTyrannis's picture

April 05, 2024 at 09:16 pm

I still want to see #99 J Ford at least play some snaps. Get some film on him.

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dobber's picture

April 05, 2024 at 03:55 pm

DL might be the f'rinstance here, but I think where we are fundamentally disagreeing is on roster building. I would argue the object of the first round--or maybe two--of the NFL draft is finding red and blue chip players, regardless of position. If your needs and a player at the top of your board (or in a tier at the top of your board) align, then all the better. Sure, you could trade out, but those options aren't always there. There's drafting for need, then there's drafting a player at a position of need who resides in a group judged to be of similar quality. Young and cheap rookie contracts keep your cap healthy and allow you to find those guys who can play right now and make you significantly better in free agency--read: Xavier McKinney.

"The team gets better by plugging holes, not by cutting one decent player in favor of another."

The draft represents just one avenue toward building a healthy roster. Team-wide, young players on cheap rookie contracts keep your cap healthy and allow you to find those guys who can play right now and make you significantly better in free agency--read: Xavier McKinney--or maybe in trade. It prevents you from needing to pony up big contracts to older guys you might rather trade or let walk. I would argue that if you're drafting almost exclusively for need and relying on a 21 or 22-year-old kid to transition into a grown-man's league and be a difference-maker this year, you're probably not as close to a title as you think you are.

"You will have to cut or trade two or three if you draft a DL with a day one or day two pick to get to the roster number."

Wow! That one pick is going to displace two or three guys? :) Enagbare is likely to miss at least half of 2024. Clark and Slaton are both on expiring contracts. Wooden played limited snaps. Cox couldn't get himself active on game day. People have been begging for P. Smith to be cut or dealt for a couple years (even though I really like him) and question his fit in an even front D. There's plenty of moving pieces here, and plenty yet to be determined. Again, to go back to my statement, I wouldn't let a DL who was topping my draft board at 25 go by based on the finishing 2023 depth chart.

3 points
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Guam's picture

April 05, 2024 at 11:01 pm

We are going to agree to disagree Dobber. If the top draft choice on the Packer's Board at #25 is a DL, I would expect Gute to trade down to a position where he could match value to need rather than select the DL when the Packers already have a surplus at DL. Picking where you have to effectively swap a decent veteran for a rookie doesn't improve the team. Moving around in the draft to match value to need is more effective at roster building than BPA displacement.

Regardless of what we might think about roster building, I will be shocked if Gute takes a DL on either day one or day two this year.

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LLCHESTY's picture

April 06, 2024 at 08:23 am

If you're going to have an over abundance of talent at one position D line is great place to have it. Ask Eli Manning.

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LLCHESTY's picture

April 06, 2024 at 08:17 am

I can't remember the coach who said "don't pass up great for good" but it makes sense. You don't leave great players for other teams to draft because you have needs elsewhere.

The fact is Slaton has 8 pressures in three years and is a liability vs the pass. Unless Hafley is Carnac the Magnificent he'll have to play on some passing downs.

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GB@Germany's picture

April 05, 2024 at 09:00 am

The switch to 4:3 is not so big, as they already played with 2 DT on any Nickel or Dime defense. Great in relation to the rest of our front. If you rewatch the games, Kenny was the driving force on a very high percentage of positive D-line plays,.

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Coldworld's picture

April 05, 2024 at 09:46 am

Yes we won’t be in base the majority of the time, but that’s not the extent of the question. The question includes how Hafley intends the D to operate out of base and this what he’s looking for from players including Clark. Clark is no longer a true DT, he’s been increasingly a big DE since his weight reduction. How he will be used is yet to be seen.

The change could really suit him, but that depends on what the changes are. I personally think that’s actually the more likely outcome. However, the type of personnel Hafley has used in the past suggest that this isn’t going to be all that similar to the Barry nickel and dime philosophies. However, we don’t know how much he will adapt that for this level and existing personnel. The draft may tell us something, but until we see how it washes out, I see no reason to commit where we don’t have to.

This type of change can have profound impacts on what is asked of players and thus fit. Whether that is true in Clark’s case is unknown, as illustrated by the discussion here over the need for, or irrelevance of, a big run stopping DT like Sweet.

Realistically, the first penny to drop, other than the draft, will be Love’s contract I suspect. Once that is done our cap profile over the coming years will be more defined.

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SicSemperTyrannis's picture

April 05, 2024 at 09:20 pm

When did Kenny Clarke drop weight, and how much?

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Coldworld's picture

April 07, 2024 at 09:24 am

2021 off season. Per Clark, he started that season at 310 pounds and finished at 320. His aim for the 2022 season was to start and finish at 305 in order to get more “twitch”.

It went further than that per Clark, he essentially reworked his body. There’s a long piece about it here, from Tyler Dunne: https://www.golongtd.com/p/kenny-clark-speaks-out-the-best-me

1 points
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Oppy's picture

April 05, 2024 at 12:21 pm

I'm not waiting to see on Clark.

He's a top tier interior DL. He's got some years left. He can play anywhere on the interior of any defensive scheme.

Players across the line from Clark know. He's great.

My expectation is he has one more multi-year contract in Green Bay before they decide to go full youth movement and let him go elsewhere.

2 points
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Thegreatreynoldo's picture

April 08, 2024 at 03:15 am

It isn't as bad as it was with Jeff Saturday, but there is a parallel. Clark isn't the Clark of 2017 or 2018. He has declined every year since 2019. The last two years he has plateaued as almost an above average NFL starter. He is a pretty good playoff player.

I am not against extending Clark because of age or previous heavy usage, just price. I am not interested at 4 years, $80M with a $20M signing bonus. Maybe $15M to $16M but the cash can't be frontloaded. This has to be pay as you go.

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dobber's picture

April 05, 2024 at 07:39 am

Clark's deal is pretty representative of how contract management works for higher end players these days. He inked a big extension, with high cap hits where the cash value and roster bonuses are regularly converted into signing bonuses and void years to create cap space as they go. The process makes it harder to get out from under the deal due to the acceleration of guarantees...the player is essentially a bank with the team borrowing current cap space against the player's contract and future caps.

The Packers probably have an "exit strategy" with Clark. My understanding is the Packers and Clark are talking extension, which could generate savings against this year's cap, while creating a future out. A cut or trade prior to Jun. 1 only saves the Packers a couple million in cap space. If they're serious about contending in 2024--and I would argue they're a year away--they would have to really like what they have in the DL room to cut bait on Clark. I don't worry about his ability to play in an even front.

4 points
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SicSemperTyrannis's picture

April 05, 2024 at 09:29 pm

I still want to see GB change all that.

Absolutely play Clarke this season, and try to reduce his snap count. The extent of his snaps has surely hurt his performance, but this is about extending his career, and his value as a veteran leader.

Then, GB should give contracts to older guys based on performance and incentives, not guaranteed even if they can't play.

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golfpacker1's picture

April 05, 2024 at 08:37 am

Clark is still a very productive player, and you can use the same argument we used for Preston Smith. Preston had a solid year in 2023, and we still owe him a lot of money. 2025 is a better year financially to move on from Preston,
Maybr Clark too.
It's hard to find DTs who produce like Clark does. This is probably a case where we see how he plays in 2024 and if he regresses even more. Trading him really wouldn't gain much financially, but a team like the Rams have a big need and might pull the trigger. Kenny has to be worth at least a 2nd rounder in return. If a resonable contract can't be worked out, should we put a second round tender on him? Worst case scenario we don't resign him and probably get a 3rd round comp pick for him and we eat the remaining $15 million dead money.

2 things, if we were to trade back from #25 to somewhere in the first 10 picks of the 2nd round, we could pick up another 2nd round pick and that gives us a shot @ about 5 pretty decent DTs. Otherwise next years DT position group looks strong and deep. DT should be the BIg Need in 2025, with Edge #2.

Let this year play out and draft his replacement in 2025. Don't reach or waste picks by trading up for a replacement this year. Its no different than our LB situation is this year. Let the draft come to us.

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SicSemperTyrannis's picture

April 05, 2024 at 09:32 pm

Trades can also be for established players, not just draft picks. I'd hate to bank on a second rounder replacing what KC contributes.

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stockholder's picture

April 05, 2024 at 10:02 am

Kenny Clarke came to us in a year, that was
considered the best draft for DTs in a decade.
We've drafted so many DTs that just didn't pan
out, or lost it. We've over-paid too many.
And it's a long list with Gute.

Yet; Clark continues to move around
for the good of the team.
IMO - Clark is like Suh.
He'll keep energizing his teammates.
With the speed and quickness.
That No Gute draftee will ever match.

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Coldworld's picture

April 05, 2024 at 10:57 am

Which DTs have we drafted under Gute that were over paid or didn’t pan out?

If I recall a couple of 7th rounders in Looney and Ford and Kingsley Keke in the 5th. I will grant that Keke didn’t pan out, but we didn’t overpay him. Looney was a DE whom they converted to TE. Ford remains on the 90 without yet playing in a game.

We really have not drafted DTs, and they haven’t been a focus of Pettine or Barry. Slaton was a 5th rounder who looks like good value thus far, Clark is a holdover of course, but as much a DE now as a DT.

If anything, we’ve expended very little draft capital on DTs during Gute’s time here and have had little interest in them from coaches. Clark has been the mainstay, but he was here already. Are you claiming Clark is grossly overpaid? Slaton is still on a cheap rookie deal.

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stockholder's picture

April 05, 2024 at 11:11 am

or lost it?
Over-paid Lowrey.
Wyatt will never be the guy Clark is.
We would have seen that by now.
I fear another Lowrey.

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jannes bjornson's picture

April 05, 2024 at 12:49 pm

Wyatt had five sacks in limited reps under Barry and Montgomery. This guy has to play free like Sapp. He should have double digit sacks with the 4-3. I hope Hafley has the brains to be Multiple with his looks and toss in some Amoeba shape-shifting into six-man fronts. T Sweat takes care of a lot of problems. You cannot play a two-man front on long downs and not expect to be gashed by the running game making the conversion. This happened too many times the past ten years. Most of the Fans are stuck in time. Flexible defenses, attacking weaknesses and getting your best match ups in an unconventional manner creates wins.

2 points
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SicSemperTyrannis's picture

April 05, 2024 at 09:43 pm

Yeah Skippy!

"Flexible defenses, attacking weaknesses and getting your best match ups in an unconventional manner creates wins."

I was Rick Rolled with the JB hiring. RB has a season to prove he's a great ST coach, this season will basically be the wild west for ST.

Defense is more important, obviously. We still have no idea what this new defense will be, who will shine in it, or what. Consider me a Homer, I fully expect EVERYBODY to excel. And the talent accumulated has been at least a top five defense. You can't convince me different.

I hope to see Hafley have our current roster play ABOVE their talent level. I have no opinion on what RB might do in this regard. Obviously, complementary football includes all three phases of the game. To get ANY further in the playoffs will require not only complementary football, but situational football, too. Probably.

This is a HUGE year for coaches, and not just players. While we're hoping for (yet another) KILLER draft from Gutey, and it's fun to anticipate what that might look like, coaches teaching everybody AND evaluating talent AND adjusting week to week AND in game will continue to be HUGE, as always.

GPG!!

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LLCHESTY's picture

April 06, 2024 at 08:44 am

Do you watch the games? Lowry was here long enough you'd think you could get his name right. Wyatt had more sacks in his 2nd year than Lowry has ever had on a season. If you think he's another Lowry you don't know football.

2 points
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Oppy's picture

April 06, 2024 at 11:13 pm

Wyatt is not the same type of player Clark is.
Totally different player, comparing the two does not make any kind of sense.

Wyatt is an 3 tech in a 4-3 all day long at this level. He's a guy who should be allowed to split the G/T and play behind the LOS as a disruptive force taking advantage of his unbelievable quickness and first step at his size. He can change direction and sift through the wash and chase down ball carriers from behind.

Wyatt in this defense should be a boon.

2 points
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Packers0808's picture

April 05, 2024 at 10:25 am

Like said in original post see what he does and how he fits in, then yes if all is good! 30 is not old on D Line even though Mr Clark has seen lots of play time!

2 points
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jont's picture

April 05, 2024 at 11:56 am

As my comments this summer might show, I know very little about player evaluation. Here's a simple fan's assessment.

My bias is to keep good Packers. Yes, I know it's a business, but I simply like to see good Packers play their whole careers in GB. Kenny is one. So there's that.

He's also a more than solid player, and-- I think is actually important-- he is a veteran on a very young team.

More practically, I look around the league and see a few aging D-linemen sign as free agents and contribute. As far as I know Kenny is perfectly healthy so why not get those years for the Packers?

If I'm negotiating for the Packers I show him his projected earnings including the aging-free-agent part and suggest a good faith understanding that we both want this to happen for him in GB.

2 points
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Alberta_Packer's picture

April 05, 2024 at 12:18 pm

What is the value (and price) of an old war horse who has served so well? In trying to forecast the future of Kenny Clark perhaps we should look at GBs contract with Preston Smith - another old war horse - who at 29 (about Clark's age) agreed to a four-year extension worth $52.5 million (with an out after the 2nd year). I would expect something similar for Clark - with the Packers projecting that he has another couple years of good front line duty left in him.

2 points
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LambeauPlain's picture

April 05, 2024 at 12:30 pm

Kenny hasn't played in a 4 man front. I think he will thrive in it. His quickness and ability to collapse the front and pressure the QB will only improve in the 4-3/4-2.

I see no reason to extend Clark until the team...especially coaches named Hafley, DL coach Rebrovich, and LB/run D coordinator Campanile see how he performs and leads the DL room in this Defensive transition. I think they will like what they see. And if they like it, ML will like it...as will Gutey.

I fully expect Clark understands this. I also have a strong sense Kenny will be very difficult to cut loose.

3 points
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Coldworld's picture

April 05, 2024 at 05:11 pm

I also think this system change could be a great benefit to Kenny Clark, and have said so previously, depending on the role he’s allotted. I am just waiting to see what Hafley’s concept of how to use him actually is. Since we have time, use it.

1 points
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vin0770's picture

April 05, 2024 at 08:57 pm

It’s a young man sport so I like your idea of a two contract at less than current. If he doesn’t like it oh well.

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gsd3's picture

April 06, 2024 at 07:50 am

I would rather extend him than give big $ to Wyatt in a few years.

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Coldworld's picture

April 07, 2024 at 09:30 am

He and Wyatt have very little in common except the tag “DL”. I very much doubt that it’s ever either or between those two on football merits.

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PhantomII's picture

April 07, 2024 at 12:59 pm

The GBP have never replaced " Big Mike " next to Clark on the Dl......That is .....and always has been the problem. If GB plays a better quality player next to Clark, who knows how good it could be? Playing Clark next to others...we will get more of the same. I do believe the new (PICKED) by ML DC will do much better with what he has, but Moving way up for a dominant DL would also bode well. Our Primary need is Bad Ass OL Maulers....The more.... the better....GPG.

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AshleyFuentes's picture

April 08, 2024 at 02:32 pm

Indeed, there needs to be a special approach to team management, considering both the experience and contributions of seasoned players, as well as the potential of young talents. It's also crucial to constantly remember the importance of efficient resource utilization and strategic planning to achieve success in a competitive sports environment.

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