The last time these teams met, Aaron Rodgers reminded Chicago that he owns the Bears, as they won 24-14 in October. It was the 5th straight win for the Packers in this "rivalry," as Matt LaFleur moved his career mark against Chicago to 5-0. In those games, the Packers have outscored the Bears 131-71.

There's no real reason to believe the outcome of tonight's game will be any different.

WHEN THE BEARS HAVE THE BALL

Justin Fields looks slated to start, but the question is "why"?

The Bears are all but eliminated from playoff contention, their offensive line is horrible, and the kid has 3 broken ribs.

There's no reason to put him out there, except stupidity. Coach Nagy tried to keep Fields on the bench earlier in the year (maybe the smartest thing he did all season), but ownership pressured him to play the rookie so that the fans would get excited and buy jerseys.

Fields has a lot of talent, but he's still raw, still learning, and is injured. Even with a stud receiver like Allen Robinson and some speed merchants like Darnell Mooney and Marquise Goodwin (who is doubtful with a foot injury), this passing game isn't taking off. Chicago has had their most productive passing games of the year recently, which is a low bar, but they came when Field was out.

Now, he's being rushed back to action with three broken ribs.

Fields's greatest asset at this stage of his career is his running ability, which he shouldn't be risking if he has cracked ribs. His throwing is mediocre and the Packers defensive backs have been playing well all season. Joe Barry also has this defense containing mobile quarterbacks much better than than his predecessor.

The biggest threat the Bears have on offense is running back David Montgomery, who is slated to play after missing practice with groin, glute, and shoulder injuries.

Look for the Packers to attack the Bears weak line and throw the offense off. Kenny Clark should absolutely dominate Bears center Sam Mustipher and wreck Chicago's plans all day. With De'vondre Campbell (listed as questionable) not at 100% and the Packers defensive backs put the clamps down on the receivers, they Bears would be wise to use Montgomery to soften up the defense and then use Khalil Herbert on outside runs. He found success against the Packers in their first meeting and outside runs would help avoid Kenny Clark and wear out De'Vondre Campbell.

This could potentially open up the pass game, where the Bears can hope one of their speed receivers can slip through coverage. Overall, I don't expect much from a Bears offense that struggles to break 20 points on a weekly basis.

WHEN THE PACKERS HAVE THE BALL

The best chance the Bears have in this game is to try to step on Aaron Rodgers's injured toe.

I expect them to try.

The Packers could avoid that by leaning on the run game in this contest. Not only have hey been successful with their duo of Aaron Jones (who had a bye week to rest his sore knee) and AJ Dillon (who is having a breakout year), the Bears defense has been pathetic, allowing 852 rushing yards in the last 7 games. That's an average of... a lot of rushing yards every game.

Even with a banged up offensive line, the Packers have been able to move the ball on the ground consistently. With Bakhtiari and Myers still out, the Packers are more successful letting their lineman run block instead of pass block.

When passing, the Packers will be without Randall Cobb, whose impact goes beyond fantasy stats. Cobb has shows the ability to get open in crunch time and has an uncanny connection with Aaron Rodgers on scramble drills. EQ, who is quietly putting together his best season (albeit on a low bar) should fill his role, with rookie Amari Rodgers getting a few more snaps. Amari Rodgers has flamed out as a punt returner and could really use a confidence boost as a receiver. He has talent and ability, but hasn't adjusted to the pro game yet. If he could starting making some plays, he could be a factor in the playoffs - this would be critical if Randall Cobb can't recover from core surgery in time to play. 

The passing game has been on fire over the last game and a half. The Packers scored a touchdown in every second half possession against the Vikings two games ago (and put up more points on the Vikings than anyone has all year). Last game, they scored on 6 of their first 9 possessions against the Rams before focusing on running out the clock (even while on cruise control the entire 4th quarter, and missing another field goal, they were only 1 point shy of the most points the Rams had given up all season).

The offense is heating up at the right time, but may be a little rusty coming off the bye. After not playing in the preseason, the Packers learned how important it is to establish a rhythm on offense when they face planted in Week 1 against the Saints. I'm sure they will sling the ball around tonight to get the rust off, but I would love a conservative tun-focused game plan that keeps an angry, overmatched Bears team from trying to get back at Rodgers for pointing out that he owns them.

This is a game where I think the Packers could simply hand the ball off every play and win easily. I don't think that will happen though. The Packers, whether it's from play-calling or audibles, seem to pass more than they need to. and I expect that trend to continue. Davante Adams should feast. 

OTHER NOTES

The Packers shouldn't have to use Corey Bojorquez much, but he has undeniably been the best punter the Packers have had in a long, long time.

The rest of the special teams has been... unimpressive. I'd like to see if they show any improvement after focusing on this over the bye.

Bears fans like to talk about how this could be Rodgers's last game against the Bears... maybe, but I'm more certain it's Nagy's last game against the Packers.

The only thing I'm worried about this game is Bears players intentionally trying to step on Rodgers's foot.

FINAL THOUGHTS

The Bears are thoroughly outclassed in the matchup from top to bottom.

They're also ticked off because the Packers keep beating them and Rodgers rubbed their noses in it. This is the Bears Super Bowl tonight. They're ticked off losers who are hopelessly overmatched.

I expect them to come out fighting, maybe even grab an early lead, but the Packers will grind down their little brother by the end of the night.

Packers 33, Bears 19