Bring Back AJ Dillon?

With Dillon becoming a free agent, will the Packers bring back the fan favorite?

As the Green Bay Packers navigate an off-season that could be crucial in determining whether this team builds off its surprising 2023 success and takes the next step, they must determine what to do with their 12 unrestricted free agents. Perhaps the biggest name on that list of 12, is that of running back, AJ Dillon.

Before he even took a snap in a Packers’ uniform, Dillon drew attention in training camp for the size of his quadriceps and received the nickname, “Quadzilla.” Drafted 62nd overall in the 2020 NFL draft, AJ Dillon wasn't exactly a celebrated pick at first by the Packers faithful. Some felt the Packers had just drafted a fullback in the 2nd round given Dillon's size and running style. Unfortunately, Dillon never really got the chance to prove himself early as he was slotted behind fellow running backs Aaron Jones and Jamaal Williams on the depth chart.

In the first seven games of his career, he only received 23 total carries of 97 yards total. Which if put into one game would be a pretty good outing, but spread out in seven games? Not so much. The next five games, Dillon spent on the COVID-19 list after testing positive for the virus but then three games later, Dillon had a huge breakout game where he showed his potential. He barreled through the Tennessee Titans defense for 124 yards on 21 carries and two touchdowns on a cold late December night in Green Bay. This was enough for the Packers to let Jamaal Williams walk in free agency later that offseason, landing Dillon at the #2 running back role behind Aaron Jones. 

Dillon had a decent career as Jones' backup averaging about 728 yards and five touchdowns per season on the ground and another 200 or so yards through the air. But he never quite became that reliable running back that's desired of a second-round pick. 

Looking to 2024

Aaron Jones has a hefty price tag next season, but Packers GM Brian Gutekunst has already stated he wants Jones back. Jones is the heart and soul of the offense, so his return is a no-brainer. But after Jones, with AJ Dillon's contract expiring, there are big question marks. Behind Jones on the depth chart sits rookie Emanuel Wilson and 3rd year-back, Patrick Taylor. Both have shown some good spurts but nothing to suggest the Packers could make them Jones' backup in 2024. 

So, what to do?

I don't think there's a question that the Packers will likely draft a running back in the first three rounds. Holding five picks in the first 80 selections, one of them is bound to be used on a running back. Blake Corum, Marshawn Lloyd, and Jonathan Brooks could be some good options in the first three rounds. After that, Wisconsin's Braelon Allen is a name Packer fans would love to hear called when Green Bay is on the clock. Allen kind of fits the mold of AJ Dillon a bit being a big running back that operates through his size and strength. If the Packers are looking to replace Dillon, Allen could be an intriguing option regardless of the Badger-ties. But, I think if the Packers are going to draft a running back high, they need to find one to replace Aaron Jones, not AJ Dillon. 

Even though Aaron Jones seems to be still at the top of his game, he's entering his 8th season in 2024. That is flirting very closely with the Grim Reaper when it comes to starting running back shelf-life. Jones will be back in 2024, but what about after? His price tag could remain hefty regardless of restructuring, and pretty soon something will have to give. At 5'8 210 lbs Blake Corum is very close to being Aaron Jones in terms of size and speed. Marshawn Lloyd also matches those measurements and could be an intriguing option as well. Corum, of course, has the stat lines you dream about for a back, while Lloyd is also a pretty decent threat through the air which Matt LaFleur values in a running back. 

But are they the sure number 2?

If the Packers had low to average expectations going into 2024, I would say a rookie 3rd/4th round pick behind Aaron Jones would be just fine. But with the Packers possibly looking at another good playoff run, I'd maybe want a veteran back at the ready just in case the rookie has a hard time transitioning. Almost like how the Packers handled AJ Dillon. He had Jones and Williams in front of him so he could get acclimated. I could see history repeating itself with there being that other veteran back just in case.

So, why shouldn't it be AJ Dillon?

Bring him back

Saturday I ran a little poll on Twitter/X asking between Darnell Savage, Keisean Nixon, AJ Dillon, and Jon Runyan Jr, who you would want to see the Packers resign the most. I received 61 votes in the allotted time and 54% voted for Keisean Nixon, 26% for Savage, 13% for Dillon, and 7% for Runyan. Honestly, given Dillon's popularity over the other four, I was quite surprised he was third. But it seems like many are okay with letting him walk if it comes down to it. 

What that poll doesn't ask though is whether or not they'd accept the others being resigned. But even on that note, Dillon still isn't highly favored given his inability to truly "woo" the fanbase on the field. But, here's the thing, Dillon bleeds Wisconsin and Green and Gold off the field. AJ Dillon's wife, Gabrielle is a Green Bay native, and Dillon has been given another nickname over time which is the "Mayor of Door County." I think there's a good chance if given the opportunity, AJ would resign with the Packers. So, if you're going to bring in a veteran running back as an insurance policy alongside a rookie behind Aaron Jones, why wouldn't you just bring back a running back that's been on your roster?

I get it. AJ Dillon has produced the amount that's expected of a high pick. He's also never going to be a feature back unless somehow he greatly improves. But if I'm the Packers, and I have Aaron Jones in the waning years of his career, and a rookie that may still be a deer in the headlights, I'd want to sign AJ Dillon to at least a one-year deal. After that year, it can be decided, okay, is the rookie ready? Or, is Jones going to cut it for another year? Regardless, I think it would be nice to still have AJ Dillon ready in the event he's needed in 2024. 

 

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__________________________

Greg Meinholz is a lifelong devoted Packer fan. A contributor to CheeseheadTV as well as PackersTalk. Follow him on Twitter @gmeinholz for Packers commentary, random humor, beer endorsements, and occasional Star Wars and Marvel ramblings.

__________________________

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9 points
 

Comments (113)

Fan-Friendly This filter will hide comments which have ratio of 5 to 1 down-vote to up-vote.
NickPerry's picture

February 04, 2024 at 06:28 am

This one is tough...Sign Dillon or let him walk? This is where the whole "It's a Business" part of this really sucks.

IF the Packers really want another veteran RB in 2024 behind Jones and a rookie then sure, sign him to a cheap one or even two year deal. But if the Packers take TWO RBs in the upcoming draft which I think is a strong possibility, then I think they'd let him walk.

I think the Packers wait and see what happens in the draft before offering anything to Dillon.

8 points
9.5
1.5
Guam's picture

February 04, 2024 at 09:18 am

I think this is less about AJ Dillon and more about the cap. TGR is much better at the cap than I am, but I believe the Packers will be close to cap breakeven if they cut Bakh. That leaves very little room to sign any free agents unless other cap moves are made and there aren't many moves the Packers can make that generate much room without hurting the team.

So where do the Packers put their very limited cap dollars?

As much as I like AJ Dillon the person, I would like to see the Packers put their limited cap space toward a FA safety. The need is much greater there than at RB. I suspect the Packers pass on Dillon purely for cap reasons.

3 points
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1
mnbadger's picture

February 04, 2024 at 02:40 pm

Nice summary NP.
I agree we need a talent upgrade more than a chamber of commerce president with a couple of cool nicknames.
AJD has been a good Packer but I want to win a super bowl.
We need more playmakers and aggressive football players.
The way AJD goes down on ankle contact, I don't see him as either.
Move on.
GPG!

2 points
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egbertsouse's picture

February 04, 2024 at 06:46 am

Pass.

3 points
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Oppy's picture

February 04, 2024 at 06:47 am

I do see value in Dillon as a back up RB, and I would be 100% fine if the Packers could sign him to a deal that looks right for a back up RB, and while he had a few games down the stretch that showed he can shoulder the load when needed, I don't think you want Dillon being your featured back through a season.

I'm also 100% okay if the Packers decide to cut him and run with a young draft pick or Patrick Taylor as a #2. I don't think Wilson has shown anything on Sundays during regular season against #1 defenses that makes me feel he's a viable back up at this point in his career.

With that all out of the way.. I want to know what 54% of responders see in Keisean Nixon that makes them feel like they want him re-signed. I may be overly tough grading his ST performance in 2023. I know he got a pro bowl nod, but I feel that his total return yards is a misleading stat- he's got a lot more yards than most returners in 2023 because he continually insisted on taking the ball out of the endzone instead of taking the touchback yardage throughout the first 3/4ths of the season. I do not like Keisean as our nickle/slot defender. I don't think he has played that role particularly well. I believe he's a weak spot and the Packers should be looking to upgrade over Keisean. The only way I'd keep Keisean on the roster is as a depth piece on defense in case of emergency, and I would keep him as a return man... but his compensation would need to be significantly reduced and I don't know that he'd go for that.

4 points
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3
HawkPacker's picture

February 04, 2024 at 07:04 am

Oppy, I agree with your assessment of Nixon. He does add something to the return game but to me is a bit of a liability as a slot defender.

I would like to see them draft Cooper Dejean out of Iowa. He can play that position and possibly Safety. He is a great punt returner and could return kicks as well. He is fast, a great team mate and extremely modest! You never know how college players translate to the nfl but in college he was an exciting player.

10 points
10
0
NickPerry's picture

February 04, 2024 at 07:20 am

"I would like to see them draft Cooper Dejean out of Iowa. He can play that position and possibly Safety."

Dejean is quickly becoming a draft crush of mine. I've seen him mocked all over the place in the 1st round including 25th to the Packers. Personally I think Dejean would be an excellent piece in Hafley's Defense.

7 points
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HawkPacker's picture

February 04, 2024 at 07:25 am

Yes, flexibility in positions alone would make him an excellent pick.

4 points
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stockholder's picture

February 04, 2024 at 07:25 am

Copper DeJean should be drafted.
But not to replace Nixon.
Nixon is by far the best Slot player they've had.
And I'd give him a chance to keep improving.
He might just get moved to FS.
He's got the speed for it.
Let's Keep are speedy guys!

3 points
6
3
DoubleJ's picture

February 04, 2024 at 08:39 am

Nixon should be a KR only, maybe a backup box safety. He was not good as a slot defender.

"Nixon did miss 15 tackles and allow 74 catches into his coverage. He gave up a completion percentage of 78.7 and a passer rating of 101.1 into his coverage, and he had as many penalties (five) as pass breakups. The Packers could probably use an upgrade in the slot for whomever the defensive coordinator is in 2024."

If that is the best slot player they've had in a while that is quite sad.
https://packerswire.usatoday.com/2024/01/25/pff-picks-cb-kr-keisean-nixo...

4 points
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stockholder's picture

February 04, 2024 at 01:58 pm

Nixon has stayed in the Line-up. - The others
Gaines, Redmond ,Greene , Black.Davis, Charles, Scott, Sullivan, Abernathy, Abram,Ford.etc. ??

Nixon has learned a lot- Consider it growing pains.
Remember against the pass they were rated 11th.

And he finished better than he started.
Lets not forget the Douglass, Stokes, Savage , and Alexander
all missed time.

1 points
2
1
DoubleJ's picture

February 04, 2024 at 04:31 pm

So just because the people Nixon supplanted were scrubs we should keep, at best for his position, the JAG Nixon as a slot CB? That makes no sense and just further proves that you don't know anything about the sport yet comment like a know-it-all.

-1 points
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jannes bjornson's picture

February 04, 2024 at 05:57 pm

I would hope they draft the other perimeter guy opposite Jaire. I agree Nixon could play more free safety and course to the ball. Hafley will separate the weed from the chaff. At minimum, two more safeties and a Cover Corner from this draft from high to mid-round and another guy later. This is the weakest area of this D. Veteran free agents will probably be Franchised , or re-signed. Status quo is moving out with the wind. Montgomery was moved because he could not figure out how to stymie the opposition's running games.A downhill, plugger LB is very much in demand.

2 points
2
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stockholder's picture

February 04, 2024 at 06:19 pm

I don't think Nixon will play Safety.
I agree it wouldn't hurt to draft another.
But ONLY for BACK-UP. versatility.
Nixon had more speed than any on my list.
And thats what I saw when he wasn't hurting.
He stayed with them.
How many were Zone stats?

1 points
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1
jannes bjornson's picture

February 04, 2024 at 07:05 pm

I would move Up for Q. Mitchell. Have to shut down the perimeter and funnel the play inside. Safety no lower than rd Two.

-1 points
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1
SicSemperTyrannis's picture

February 08, 2024 at 01:05 am

Next year.

Need to prioritize O line in this draft.

0 points
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Oppy's picture

February 04, 2024 at 12:29 pm

Nixon has not played well overall in his defensive duties.

-1 points
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4
golfpacker1's picture

February 04, 2024 at 11:12 am

Cooper is like getting Mikka Hyde back again only with more talent. Dejean is one of a few "Studs that may drop in the draft" that I would spend the #25 pick on. Otherwise trade back for more premium picks and draft Kinchen or Nubin, who also actually played Safety in college.

1 points
2
1
LLCHESTY's picture

February 04, 2024 at 12:42 pm

They could wait til the 3rd round and draft Bo Melton's brother Max, a CB put of Rutgers. He played two snaps as a deep safety in college so he has twice as much experience there as DeJean does.

1 points
2
1
Johnblood27's picture

February 04, 2024 at 01:05 pm

ummm..

ok

1 points
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dblbogey's picture

February 04, 2024 at 09:48 pm

Another Cooper DeJean fan. He's a playmaker, a great punt returner, a very good tackler, good speed, plays crazy hard. Could be your free safety or slot. I love this guy like I loved former Hawkeye Sam Laporta last year and TJ Hockenson before that. He just jumps out at you as being special. I never felt that about Van Ness, but still have hope.

1 points
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SicSemperTyrannis's picture

February 08, 2024 at 01:12 am

4.4 40 time.

Max Melton listed at 4.44.

0 points
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SicSemperTyrannis's picture

February 08, 2024 at 01:00 am

I'm late to the party and probably nobody will ever see this, but #28 helps the team a lot in a couple ways nobody's mentioning:

1) when he's on the field at the same time as #33, it's incredibly difficult on the opposing defense. Even if they KNEW it was going to be a run play, that's very difficult to handle and it stresses their DC out trying to scheme for it due to the sheer variety of what they can do. Plus #28 has caught everything thrown his way this season; I think #33's stat line for reception rate this season is mostly due to JL10 missing the easy layups to #33, but they're both very capable receivers and especially in the short game. Taking a 5 yard reception and turning it into a 15 yard gain wins games. I'd LOVE to see #28, 33, 85, 88 and a #9 at 100% and HOT all on the field at the same time! Who's going to stop that? They can all run, they can all catch, and they can all block. MLF could spend the entire off-season drawing up plays for how to utilize that, which just so happens to include how to use these two RBs in tandem. The biggest problem is can MLF get past his long standing habit of forgetting #33 is on the team? And then when he does call his number, can he do something besides broadcasting that he's going to run it 3x in a row, ending the drive?

The issue here is can MLF utilize this? That's WAY more important than any player variability.

2) #28 would make a GREAT fullback! They haven't used him like that much, but his power might be put to better use blocking for #33 and / or being used as a decoy. For all the other people on the roster this year that were supposedly going to play FB, GB threw in the towel on the position when the injury bug hit, beginning with #84 Tyler Davis blowing out his ACL. He's listed as #252 6'4", if #28 is more durable it makes sense. It would also make sense for #28 to work on his speed, he ran a 4.53 40 at the combine; when was the last time he ran that fast? That would be hard to stop!

The decision really comes down to the cap. My expectations or understanding aside, GB hired a cap specialist, which I am NOT . I understood the decision to let Jamaal Williams go even though I didn't like it, and I bet Gutey would like a re-do on that!

I'm not at all convinced #31 Wilson was ever given a legitimate opportunity. The one time he was almost used in a game that counted he ran for a first down on 3 consecutive runs. That's usually a stupid way to call a game, he succeeded, and then was benched. Should have used him as the bell cow to let him finish out that victory instead of benching him in favor of #27 who couldn't get it done, (#27 is a downgrade from #28 but is his substitute and a ST'er) and then bringing #33 back in. The under-utilization is criminal because Gutey doesn't have that info to help him draft intelligently. If only 7 O linemen return, Gutey needs to draft 3 and in the early rounds. They should either all be on the interior or GB should give up on OTs taller than 6'6". They've got 3 at 6'7" 6'8" & 6'9", the idea being to physically dominate. Yet none of them have taken their first NFL snap while Zach Tom and Bakh are basically the same size at 6'4". If you're not going to use the big boys don't give them roster spots and stop drafting them.

Goodson and Nichols could both potentially be great, both went down due to injury (both with shoulder injuries I think?) and were then sniped from our PS.

There seems to be a substantial disconnect between what Gutey drafts people for and how MLF uses them. I have no idea what their relationship is like but this needs to be functioning on all cylinders before another Lombardi comes home to title town. And JB as DC (or not) is unrelated.

ALL of this needs to be figured out! GPG

0 points
0
0
HawkPacker's picture

February 04, 2024 at 06:59 am

From what I have read, I do like Dillon as a person but I am less excited about him getting resigned. He is a different type of RB in that he is built like Henry the RB from TN but runs more like a scat back where he tries to make moves to make people miss. Now I know, not totally but he is not a bruiser and a bit slow to juke defeneders.

I have seen a lot of articles where he is perceived as a good team mate and an upstanding citizen.

I think if they can sign him for two years for the right deal then why not.

I agree that rb needs to be addressed early. I have thought about Blake Corum as he had a monster year with scoring the ball. You mention that he has the speed close to Aaron Jones. That to me is surprising but I hope you are right. I watched him in the national championship game recently and paid attention to him. Yes, he did score I believe a couple of times but quite frankly, I though he was a bit slow. In fact, I liked their other RB better--the one with the speed.

I hope that I am wrong, in that this was just one game, but I was not really impressed by him based on what I was expecting.

I would hope that we could get an RB close to the two studs selected last year by Detroit and Atlanta. Could be wishful thinking!

1 points
3
2
golfpacker1's picture

February 04, 2024 at 11:15 am

Blake Corum is not as fast as AJ. Marshawn Lloyd, Bucky Irving, Will Shipley, Jaylen Wright, and surprisingly Braelon Allen of Wisconsin all are. I would be thrilled with any of these 5 in the 3rd round.

2 points
2
0
LLCHESTY's picture

February 04, 2024 at 12:45 pm

Corom had 2.7 yards after contact on the National Championship team. Lloyd had 4 YAC for USC in a tougher PAC 12. Also a better pass catcher.

0 points
0
0
NickPerry's picture

February 04, 2024 at 03:25 pm

I'd LOVE Irving in the 3rd or later. Maybe with the Packers second 3rd round pick you grab Irving.

As much as I love the Badgers and Allen while at Wisconsin, he makes me a little nervous as a pro.

I also like Davis out of Kentucky. I'm more excited about this combine than any I can remember.

1 points
1
0
jannes bjornson's picture

February 04, 2024 at 06:02 pm

He will be gone in the second rd.

0 points
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0
stockholder's picture

February 04, 2024 at 06:22 pm

Carbon Copy of Dillion- Ross

0 points
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1
jannes bjornson's picture

February 04, 2024 at 07:06 pm

Irving resembles A.Jones.

0 points
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0
golfpacker1's picture

February 05, 2024 at 11:45 am

Why the no for Allen. He is 5 years younger than Davis, and bigger and faster. He could fill both roles and we could still get an Irving type RB. Somebody mentioned George Holani-Boise State as an option. I knew nothing about him, so I watched highlights and am really impressed how he makes people miss. He has impressive burst and catches really well. He would be a great later option who could really surprise. Boise State hasn't been very good but Holani sure is.

1 points
1
0
stockholder's picture

February 04, 2024 at 07:17 am

Dillion really is a bust, considering where he was picked.
He's not the automatic short yardage back, I hoped for.
But why make the same mistake again.?
GO AHEAD AND SIGN HIM. He knows whats expected.
And draft a couple of RBs later in the draft.

-7 points
5
12
HarryHodag's picture

February 04, 2024 at 08:31 am

Any reasonable looking at the totality of Dillon's work would say he was hardly a bust.

Forgotten in your statements are the facts he largely carried the running game during Aaron Jones frequent breaks caused by injuries.

The Packers were lucky to have him. Sorry some can't see that.

10 points
13
3
MainePackFan's picture

February 04, 2024 at 09:02 am

I agree HH. We could do a lot worse than AJ Dillon as our #2 RB. He knows the system, wants to be here, plays hard, and he will only be 26 next year. Unless he wants to break the bank (considering the market he won't), I see no reason why we wouldn't keep him.

1 points
2
1
golfpacker1's picture

February 04, 2024 at 12:02 pm

All depends on the $$. HE is not worth $4 or $5 million per year. But he does have skills that make him worth keeping. He catches really well and gets extra yards usually. Maybe a $2 million deal per year including incentives for 2-3 years. That would be an average RB contract and we already know what Dillon gives us. We still need to draft a RB and will have multiple great choices at the end of the 3rd.

2 points
2
0
stockholder's picture

February 04, 2024 at 01:07 pm

My statements were in regard to a 2nd rd pick.
Wasn't Jones,Jamal Williams and A. Green picked later.

He did do OK when Jones was out.
But so did Jamal williams before he went to Detroit.
(Who He replaced)

2 points
4
2
jannes bjornson's picture

February 04, 2024 at 06:06 pm

This is a wide zone run offense. Get the motion RBs in this draft to supplement A.Jones when he inevitably sits a few games. This is not a power running team and most of the League can see Dillon is not the solution in your backfield. Move on from the #2-#3 guys from the fateful 2020 draft.

-2 points
0
2
packerbackerjim's picture

February 04, 2024 at 07:48 am

Dillon is the “toonder “ to Jones Lightning, his skills fit MLF’s offense including his receiving and blocking. What I hate about his game is when he runs East-West and is guaranteed to result in a loss of yards. I am disappointed Sirmans hasn’t been able to correct this trait. I can foresee drafting a single RB, one more likely to be Jones replacement.

1 points
1
0
mrtundra's picture

February 04, 2024 at 07:55 am

If they are not keeping Dillon, The Packers should draft Marshawn Lloyd, out of USC and then go after Rasheen Ali, RB, Marshall, in the later rounds.

2 points
2
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Packitin's picture

February 04, 2024 at 08:09 am

Maybe Dillon could take Deguara's spot? FB/TE/Hback? He has shown good hands and blocking ability. Depends on the price, I suppose.

4 points
4
0
PeteK's picture

February 04, 2024 at 08:14 am

That's what I thought, but it's now too late to transition into that. At the beginning of the season they used a two back set a couple of times and then never more.

0 points
0
0
MainePackFan's picture

February 04, 2024 at 09:08 am

I don't think he has to transition into Degura's exact role to do some of the things MLF was asking Degura to do.

3 points
3
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stockholder's picture

February 04, 2024 at 08:16 am

Depends on the price, I suppose.- Exactly.

1 points
3
2
jannes bjornson's picture

February 04, 2024 at 06:07 pm

Stover from Ohio State is a H-back prototype.

0 points
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0
Steve'O's picture

February 06, 2024 at 10:31 am

My thoughts exactly, has the eyes of A running back and the size of A full back. Cheap Two year deal.

1 points
1
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TKWorldWide's picture

February 04, 2024 at 08:09 am

Totally depends on price and what they can get in the draft. Solid citizen, reliable, but not a needle mover at RB.

5 points
6
1
HarryHodag's picture

February 04, 2024 at 08:32 am

I would let him float in the free agent market and pending what happens in the draft see if he's available for a cheaper deal.

0 points
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PackerBO's picture

February 04, 2024 at 10:13 am

Totally agree Harry!!!

0 points
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Coldworld's picture

February 04, 2024 at 09:13 am

Dillon appears to be a good guy, but he hasn’t been good enough to warrant a second contract as a starter. He doesn’t really seem suited to what we have been doing on the OL either. He needs a more power approach in my view.

I just don’t see value. We should look for a cheaper alternative as a power back that has a little more wiggle. The only way I’d bring him back would be as a full back who takes the ball at times, but he’s likely to attract a better offer. He’s a better protector and lead blocker than Pearson, Deguara and most H back types (a role we don’t use and likely won’t with our current TEs). As I said, I doubt he wants that, but that’s his best spot here.

4 points
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1
LambeauPlain's picture

February 04, 2024 at 09:33 am

I like Dillon...great teammate...any team is better with him on the roster. However I expect his price tag will be too high for a backup and someone will pay him more than the Packers can reasonably afford.

His rush yards were lower mainly due to Jones out so his "changeup" was not as effective. The line was struggling during his increased workload too.

Looks like longtime DL coach Mike Montgomery will moving on too. Good like Mike!

2 points
2
0
Zapato's picture

February 04, 2024 at 09:56 am

This has been one of the biggest conundrums of the off season for me, so far. I really like Dillon and think he's an excellent compliment to Aaron Jones' style. However, we really need to look to the future at this position. Drafting Aaron Jones' replacement is paramount! Aaron may have another productive year left in him, but we can't count on anything after that. Is AJ Dillon the reliable running back for the new guy, long term? He could be! Or can we find someone equal or better on a rookie deal? I think bringing Dillon back on a one-year "prove it" deal is a good idea. But draft replacements for both running backs in the first five rounds and maybe a third in the seventh. After all, Gute has shown a tendency to load up on positions of need during the draft.

1 points
1
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NFLfan's picture

February 04, 2024 at 10:02 am

One year deal but don't rely on him-RB room needs to be addressed.

*We met Dillon during training camp. He really should be hired in the PR Dep't. one day as he has, by far, the most natural, charismatic, gregarious personality on the team. He was so welcoming, friendly and inclusive. He would be a tremendous spokesperson as he he is well-spoken and naturally comfortable holding court (in a nice way) in front of large groups.

I think Green Bay loves his intangibles.

5 points
5
0
SicSemperTyrannis's picture

February 08, 2024 at 01:27 am

I wonder if you were right next to me in a group of 20 or less after practice at TC? Then again #28 might have done that more than once, but yes he's a GREAT ambassador for the team! No need to wait for him to take on that PR role, he already does it so well. I forget which year he said he was going to really work on his pass catching but WOW that paid off! I'd almost hazard to guess that he's been more effective as a receiver than as a runner this season.

There's a lot to like, but it's a tough business.

0 points
0
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ricky's picture

February 04, 2024 at 10:12 am

This decision is not entirely up to the Packers. Dillon is a free agent, and if another team would make a better offer on a longer contract, he could go the way of Jamaal Williams (a guy I thought added a lot to the team). Would he take a team friendly offer? Maybe, but only if it had some guarantees for Dillon and the team, rather than just being "team friendly".

1 points
1
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PhantomII's picture

February 04, 2024 at 10:30 am

Thanks, ricky...Jones / Williams was " THE " great 1-2 punch. Williams leaving was a gut punch. Gute did not get that one right.

6 points
6
0
Oppy's picture

February 04, 2024 at 11:36 am

No GM has, for whatever reason.

I loved Jamaal Williams, and wish him nothing but the best.. I am always hopeful that he finds his "forever" home in the NFL. I just can't understand how a player that buys in 100% to the franchise he plays for, that is loved by team mates, loved by the press, loved by the fans, and simply does everything asked of him by the team and does it at a high level.. just keeps on being allowed to leave and go elsewhere.

Someone, explain it to me.

Speaking of which, is Jamaal Williams available? :)

3 points
3
0
golfpacker1's picture

February 04, 2024 at 12:11 pm

I think Williams is available again After the big year he had with Detroit, they didn't keep him. He had a ton of TDs. He was with the Saints last year and is a FA again.

3 points
3
0
PhantomII's picture

February 04, 2024 at 10:23 am

If this was a do-over....It would be Williams as the #2 RB. This has been Dillons most utilized season in a contract year. Jones was hurt for a lot of it. We don't currently have the dominant OL in the run game to open up the holes for Dillon to build up the steam and be the wrecking ball he could be elsewhere. I would much rather have a hard running bell cow type around 220-230 with great vision and gets up to speed quickly in the 4.5-40 range who has good hands out of the backfield and can pass block also, which usually takes the longest to learn effectively. If I was going to resign Dillon...one effective season, does not show out. When he gets some runway, he is pretty tough in the secondary.

0 points
2
2
ImaPayne's picture

February 04, 2024 at 11:37 am

I look at the Lions, Vikes and Bears they only have fast, interchangeable guys and not the bull dozer type who gets five yards if he is lucky. Dillons style is passe. You need those quick agile guys who can catch a ball in the flats and make guys miss. Dillon has none of those skills. He aint Henry thats for sure.

2 points
4
2
golfpacker1's picture

February 04, 2024 at 12:16 pm

Braelon Allen-Wisconsin is 6'2 240lbs and runs 4.4 40. Averaged 1000 yards per year all 3 years for the Badgers. Catches and blocks well too. The crazy thing is he is only 19 years old so is plenty fresh. As an Iowa fan I have been disgusted with how good he has been. He came to Wisconsin as an LB. He would be a great Dillon replacement.

1 points
2
1
WD's picture

February 04, 2024 at 04:13 pm

Dillon actual had a faster forty time 4.53 at the combine than Jones 4.55

1 points
1
0
DoubleJ's picture

February 04, 2024 at 04:38 pm

RAS has Jones at a 4.49. That said the biggest differences is in the 10 & 20 yard splits.

Dillon: 1.64/2.69/4.53
Jones: 1.51/2.57/4.49

That difference in acceleration makes a massive difference.

2 points
2
0
golfpacker1's picture

February 05, 2024 at 11:52 am

That 40 time moved him up one round in the draft. Jones plays faster than that too.

2 points
2
0
TarynsEyes's picture

February 04, 2024 at 10:30 am

When, or 'if' for many, you need to look for reasons to keep a player, the answer has already been made. A player should have you looking only for a way to keep him based on his actual ability, and whether he's worth the FA bidding war, however weak.

I don't believe he is, and would simply move on without any discussion or attempt to retain him.

3 points
7
4
Leatherhead's picture

February 04, 2024 at 10:48 am

I liked the AJ Dillon pick, and I think he's been a good player for us, usually available, assignment sure, protects the football. As a change of pace back with Jones, he was effective, but as the lead back.....not quite as much.

The Packers have an opportunity to improve their run game for the next four years. We have 4 picks between between 41 and 91, and we could get one of the premiere backs in this draft.....maybe THE premiere back.

The new guy could share the load with Jones and eventually replace him.

I would let Dillon leave, maybe get a comp pick for him, and replace him in the draft.

6 points
6
0
WD's picture

February 05, 2024 at 07:32 am

The question if Dillon leaves is who to replace him with? Adding another mid round or late draft pick will only be adding yet another mediocre RB. Detroit had Montgomery and still drafted a RB in the first round last year. Jaymir Gibbs was a catalyst for the Detroit offense his rookie year. Detroit was arguably the most improved team in the league. My point is if we add RB it has to be early. Maybe even first round! All else is mere folly, wishful thinking and probably mediocrity. Jones is fantastic now but statistics show RB's careers are relatively short in the NFL. Draft a RB first or no later than the second round. We could probably get the number one RB in the draft; but only in the first round. And if possible KEEP AJ Dillon!

-1 points
0
1
Leatherhead's picture

February 05, 2024 at 11:53 am

I agree we should get one on Day 2. No RBs are projected to go in the first round at this time.

1 points
1
0
golfpacker1's picture

February 05, 2024 at 11:56 am

There is not one RB rated to be picked in the first round, maybe not until late second round. GB is in great shape to pick 2 pretty good RBs and not even spend a second round pick for great talent. One in the 3rd and one in the 5th. Hell Allen might fall to the 4th and would be a huge value there.

1 points
1
0
Leatherhead's picture

February 05, 2024 at 12:45 pm

I've seen Braelon Allen available in the 4th and I'm like ??????

I look at him and see Derrick Henry.

1 points
1
0
golfpacker1's picture

February 06, 2024 at 08:57 am

So do I Leather. What is not to like? He is 6'2 240lbs and runs 4.4, He can block and catches well. He has been underused which is good, and he is 20 years old. He has lead back written all over him.

I hope we pick him, but we will have a tough decision in the 3rd round with Allen, Bucky Irving, Marshawn Lynch, Will Shipley, and Ray Davis. We picked a great year to need RBS. Just like last year needing TEs. Lets reload again.

0 points
0
0
WD's picture

February 05, 2024 at 01:16 pm

True. It is unlikely any RB will be picked in the first round. But, the draft status of players generally changes after the combine. Some go up and others go down. Remember we are drafting numbers 25, 41 and 58 in the first two rounds. If we wait until the third round it will be pick 88. Also, remember we are looking for a RB who could replace Aaron Jones in the near future not just AJ Dillon. Currently the best friend Love has is Aaron Jones and the running game. Jones is a catalyst for the Pack as is McCaffery for the Niners. Bottom line; if we are going to replace Dillon it better damn well come early. After the third pick at 58 (second round) it is unlikely we will get a premier back. Premier RB's are not a dime a dozen as some have suggested.

0 points
0
0
Leatherhead's picture

February 05, 2024 at 01:28 pm

RBs are a dime a dozen, but not the really good ones. I agree. I think we probably are looking at taking a guy earlier than 88. I regularly get one of my favorites at #58 in simulations, but you are right about changing status after the combine.

I think if you get a guy like Brooks, and you add some guys like Cooper Beebe to the offensive line, I think we'll be more successful on the ground.

1 points
1
0
golfpacker1's picture

February 06, 2024 at 09:19 am

AJ was a huge steal where we picked him. You surely don't hit lightning in a bottle often that late in the draft as he is a complete back. Luckily there are about 1/2 dozen that will be available between the 2nd and 5th rounds that run and catch equally well. Good for us.

I honestly have not researched Benson or Brooks, the 2 top rated RBs. I do know Brooks is coming off an ACL tear late in the year, and Texas didn't skip a beat. Benson also missed a year with ACL tear. Corum, I have seen a lot and he is a good back, but he has been used a lot @ Michigan. He has a good jump cut but is not as fast. He also tore ACL in 2022.

My top 3 for a while have been Braelon Allen, Marshawn Lloyd, and Bucky Irving. Allen will be Mister Reliable, Similar to Derek Henry, but not as good. Lloyd and Irving are more exciting gamechangers. They make defenders look stupid. I will pass on the top 3.

Leather in my mocks I always look to move back 10 or so spots. That gains me one more Day 2 pick, which gives me 6 total. I pick T J Tampa first, Tyler Nubin second, and Beebe third. RB comes next. I hope GB has as good of luck. Trade back for good picks.

1 points
1
0
SicSemperTyrannis's picture

February 08, 2024 at 01:43 am

Only Beebee helps keep our star QB injury free, or opens up our run game. 6'4" 335# is not the profile Gutey has picked, except for #99 J Ford and MLF never even called him up for a game.

0 points
0
0
SicSemperTyrannis's picture

February 08, 2024 at 01:34 am

O line is more important.

0 points
0
0
SicSemperTyrannis's picture

February 08, 2024 at 01:35 am

O line is more important.

0 points
0
0
splitpea1's picture

February 04, 2024 at 11:05 am

It really depends on the price. Jones, with the exception of last season, has been reasonably durable throughout his career. But should he have to miss a fair number of games again, you won't have a solid veteran to take his place. Although Dillon has disappointed at times, he has also had some very good games. If we decide to let him go, his replacement is going to have to learn pass blocking quickly if he wants to see the field--or MLF is going to be hesitant to put him in.

Regarding the others mentioned in the poll, we've had a large enough sample size to determine their worth. Are any of them going to improve with better coaching? I think what you see is what you're going to get moving forward. The was a good podcast here about a week ago that discussed the importance of the slot defender, and I would agree that drafting a top-line player (or close to it) to man the position should be a priority with one of those first five picks.

1 points
2
1
ImaPayne's picture

February 04, 2024 at 11:34 am

Hey we all know the packers like to keep guys "who know the system". If they can keep them on the cheap and second if they arent in demand. We have a lot of talent playing starting roles on other teams. Guys we could not afford to keep because their position were in demand and said adios.
I see him staying with us but he ain't getting a wheel barrow of money to stay and he will take it because his type of back is not in demand and he doesn't light up the scoreboard with his speed.
I would love to see him go and replaced with a quick, deceptive runner aka Jones to have two guys that can spell each other but keep speed on the field. Just sayin. Besides Dillion wasnt fast when he got him and he is way slower now.

0 points
1
1
golfpacker1's picture

February 04, 2024 at 12:19 pm

The beauty of the salary cap is it really works in the NFL. That said they do need to go from 53 to a 63 man roster. Too many injuries to keep it at 53. SF in the NFC championship game with no QB is enough of a reason.

I would offer Jones a restructure that gives him an average of $6 million per year, all guaranteed. Give him a $1million bonus for playing 15 games each year. Thats fair for both sides and keeps him to age 32.

1 points
1
0
mnbadger's picture

February 04, 2024 at 02:52 pm

Fubared, that "knows the system" mantra was tied to knowing how to play for the former QB.
Every other team in the NFL that's truly trying to win super bowls turn their rosters faster in an effort to get better and increase chances of winning the next game.
That's all I want from our GM.
GPG!

1 points
1
0
WD's picture

February 04, 2024 at 04:08 pm

For the record: Aaron Jones ran a 4.55 forty at his combine. AJ Dillon a slightly faster 4.53 Not bad for a 247 lb.RB

0 points
1
1
SicSemperTyrannis's picture

February 08, 2024 at 01:46 am

#28 was certainly fast at the combine.

0 points
0
0
golfpacker1's picture

February 04, 2024 at 11:41 am

This will come down to how many $$ he will sign for. Patrick Taylor is bigger and will get minimum $$. So, he could fill the bigger back roll. The article says Dillon's wife is from GB, so that is an advantage unless she wants to move, but I think he will get offered more elsewhere.

Braelon Allen-Wisconsin could nicely fill the roll and would be a big upgrade over Dillon. He also is a lead back so he could take over if Jones is out and not miss a beat, Wisconsin was bad this year and he still ran for almost 1000 yrds. We could get him in the 3rd. He is 6'2 240lbs and runs 4.4. Not a lot of wear on his tires either, but very productive in college. He is only 20 years old too.

If not him there is a big group of Aaron Jones clones in this draft that will go in rounds 3 thru 6. A big advantage for us.

I personally am out on Benson & Brooks because of previous ACL tears. Maybe if Brooks was still there late 4th would be ok. He probably doesn't play the first 1/2 of 2024 season. Corum is decent and would work, but he has a lot of wear on his tires and is not a natural pass catcher like AJ and about 8 of the other RBs. He has nice jump cuts as do a lot of them, but others RBs are faster too. Corum for me is a 4th rounder.

The first step is getting Aaron Jones on a manageable contract which I think he will be agreeable to. Something that averages maybe $6 million per year with incentives, for 3 years puts him at 32 years old. He really likes being a Packer and is an outstanding person and teammate. If all else fails, some good team would pony up a 3rd for him in a trade.
Unlike Bahk, who doesn't have much trade value anymore.

3 points
3
0
Spock's picture

February 04, 2024 at 02:05 pm

"If not him there is a big group of Aaron Jones clones in this draft that will go in rounds 3 thru 6." I highly doubt this statement. Jones was a steal where we got him, but the odds that there are "a big group" of players who can do what he does (did you really watch those last five 100+ yard games?) is slim IMHO.

4 points
4
0
golfpacker1's picture

February 04, 2024 at 03:12 pm

You are entitled to your opinion Spock. I have no reason to make that statement up. All you have to do is watch the draft RBs highlights. Marshawn Lloyd-USC is a great example. He was the best RB @ the Senior Bowl. He is 5'9 215 and runs 4.4 40. Makes people miss and his catches this year averaged 20 yards. Check highlights of Bucky Irving, Will Shipley, Ray Davis, Audric Estime, Dillon Johnson, Jaylen Wright, Dylan Laube, George Holani. There is 9 options for you. Watch the highlights and enjoy. They all are fast, catch the ball and make people miss. Do you want a bigger, fast back? Look at Braelon Allen-Wisconsin RB. 6'2 240lbs and runs 4.4 40. 3 years @ 1000 yards per year. And he trucks people, catches the ball really well, and blocks.

I almost like the draft season more than the real season. Almost. So, I look at all the players and do a lot of Mocks. So, I guess I have no life, but I have fun.

I like Aaron Jones too. He is a really good RB and an even better human being. Usually, the draft has about 3 or 4 RBs total that have similar gifts as Aaron Jones has. We picked a great year to need 2 RBs and we won't have to spend high picks to get them.

Live Long And Prosper Spock.

1 points
1
0
SicSemperTyrannis's picture

February 08, 2024 at 01:54 am

Everything you say you see is not against NFL competition. We have no idea how any of them might fare in the league. The draft is a crap shoot.

0 points
0
0
SicSemperTyrannis's picture

February 08, 2024 at 01:49 am

#27 is listed at #217, that is not bigger than #28 at #247.

0 points
0
0
canadapacker's picture

February 04, 2024 at 12:33 pm

We need to bring back Jones - and hopefully with the results of Love's performance that it will be enough motivation /incentive for Jones to agree with a reasonable contract. The same thing applies with Dillon. Now running backs appear to be a dime a dozen and sometimes things dont work out with other teams - ie Zeke in New England , Cook with the Jets etc etc. Now I also believe despite this article that we need to draft a running back in the later rounds - we need defensive help in the back end and at linebacker/Dline more than running back. And many running backs in the later rounds have proven to be great - including Starks Woodhead Blount etc. Unless Jones goes elsewhere - maybe we hope that Wilson stays healthy and shows his last years preseason potential and has a good offseason.

2 points
2
0
Alberta_Packer's picture

February 04, 2024 at 01:04 pm

The more Wilson played - the less he showed. His pre-season flash did not transfer into the regular season. Thinking that he'll be hard pressed to make the team this year.

2 points
4
2
canadapacker's picture

February 04, 2024 at 02:24 pm

""""What happened to Emanuel Wilson? """Wilson landed on injured reserve Nov. 22 due to a shoulder injury, and he's been working his way back since then. The rookie running back was activated from IR on Saturday, setting the stage for him to make his return Sunday in a game the Packers may need to win in order to make the playoffs."""

He didnt play much at the start of the year - as is Lafleur's habit/tendency and but later in the season with Jones still hurt had some yards against the Rams - and got then got hurt. I think that the upside is still there until proven otherwise and as I said he needs a good offseason to make the team. He hasnt proven to be a liability - dont know about missed blocks but never fumbled.

1 points
2
1
Oppy's picture

February 04, 2024 at 09:05 pm

I would urge fans to be cautious when they're watching players "flash" in pre-season vs. other team's 2nd, 3rd string teams (or guys who won't even be in the league by season's start.)

Evaluating players in team sports, you can't just judge the result the play, you have to isolate the player(s) and look at what they are doing, and how they are doing it. You also have to account for who they are directly competing against on a given play.

You can have an average to below average RB ripping off long runs even though he missed his reads and was not very secure with the ball, and a very talented RB with great vision and secure hands getting stuffed at the LOS.

2 points
2
0
Alberta_Packer's picture

February 04, 2024 at 12:58 pm

Approximately 80% of NFL RBs have an avg./yr salary of 2m/yr. and less. This is where I would place Dillon - 2m/yr. X 3 years would do it for me. He's still is his prime (25), knows the playbook, a good team mate etc...

Still, drafting an RB seems necessary. Unfortunately this is an unexceptional RB draft class. However, I would go treasure hunting from the 4th round on. Also, if re-signing Dillon - no need to draft Braelon Allen due to potential redundancy.

1 points
2
1
golfpacker1's picture

February 05, 2024 at 12:07 pm

I actually think this is a great draft class for replacing an Aaron Jones type back. There are not a lot of power backs this year though.

That $2mill per year for 3 years would be a great deal for GB.

3 points
3
0
jannes bjornson's picture

February 05, 2024 at 12:54 pm

Agreed, they run wide-zone in college ball. Four to five guys with quicks and cutting ability.

1 points
1
0
PackEyedOptimist's picture

February 04, 2024 at 01:01 pm

AJ is one of my all- time favorite Packer draft picks, because I picked him too on my concurrent draft that I do every year ( coincidentally, the only other time we picked the same player was Jamaal Williams!) Unfortunately, I think we’ll be picking a couple RBs in this draft—there are quite a few that I like—so I expect Dillon will sign elsewhere. If A Jones stays on, maybe I’ll draft his backup for the third time in a row! 😃

2 points
2
0
WD's picture

February 04, 2024 at 04:00 pm

I agree. We absolutely bring back AJ Dillon. As a back up RB what is not to like about him? Last season we had very few games (if any) where both RB's were available due to injuries by one or the other. Moreover, a good point was made about the age factor concerning Aaron Jones. It is premature to talk about specific RB's in the draft until after the combine. Aaron Jones is fantastic but only runs 4.55 forty. Dylan actually ran a slightly faster forty. Together they spell dynamite! I would like to see a burner added. That said,I think we should target the favorite RB in the draft and if available take him in round 2. If we learned anything last season it is the importance of the running game. Moreover, it wasn't until the second half of the season that our O-line really got it going. Unfortunately, that was about the time Dillon had his injury. We could have used him in the Niner game. Bottom line: sign Dillon AND draft the top RB in the draft for the future. After that, focus on the defense. Finally, let's bring in Caleb Jones on the O- line for a few snaps to get a fair assessment. He might surprise if given the chance.

0 points
2
2
canadapacker's picture

February 04, 2024 at 05:03 pm

Agree with you on Caleb Jones = I bet you that Andy Reid would have had some goal line packages with Jones on the Oline - Like the Fridge - or maybe a version of the Philly push.

1 points
2
1
Packerpasty's picture

February 04, 2024 at 06:45 pm

AJones knows "how to run"...he's shifty, he hits the hole given, Dillon isn't shifty, doesnt hit the right hole half the time and seems to go down easy...to keep Dillon, not Dylan, because he supposedly ran a faster forty than Jones?? thats ludicrous...Jones is miles beyond Dillon as a NFL RB....

0 points
1
1
golfpacker1's picture

February 05, 2024 at 02:19 pm

I have literally never seen A J Dillon "go down easy". He runs hard all the time. He is just not a feature back. Which is why he won't get big $$ somewhere else.

1 points
1
0
SicSemperTyrannis's picture

February 08, 2024 at 02:00 am

Comes down to O line.

0 points
0
0
NickPerry's picture

February 04, 2024 at 04:18 pm

Off Topic...Jerry Montgomery is OUT as D-Line Coach...

Personally this makes me happy. I think the Packers can do a lot better than Montgomery... A LOT better.

Maybe everybody already knew this and I'm late to the party...(Quite Possible).

2 points
2
0
stockholder's picture

February 04, 2024 at 06:26 pm

I agree. I believe Wyatt needed better coaching.

1 points
1
0
NickPerry's picture

February 05, 2024 at 05:51 am

Me too SH...

1 points
1
0
GregC's picture

February 04, 2024 at 05:24 pm

I don't think they should keep Dillon--maybe not even if he is ultra-cheap. He might be taking snaps away from a player who has more upside and is better suited to Matt LaFleur's offense. Let's face it, Dillon is an average RB. Maybe he would be above average on a team that's built for a power running game, but that is not the Green Bay Packers. LaFleur's offense is better with players who have lateral movement and can spread the defense out. With Aaron Jones injured, they had to use Jayden Reed to do that, and it exposed him to a lot of punishment. An end-around should be an occasional change of pace, not a staple of your offense. I'm done with big backs, at least for now. I don't think Dillon was particularly effective even in short yardage situations--at least not with this offensive line. They should draft one or two RBs who have speed and are threats in the passing game, and hope they can learn how to block.

1 points
3
2
Packerpasty's picture

February 04, 2024 at 06:42 pm

I agree, he's not shifty, for the size of him he really isn't a true power back, seems to go down easily, and doesnt seem to be instinctive enough to find and hit the hole in the line...nice guy though so there that...

-1 points
1
2
SicSemperTyrannis's picture

February 08, 2024 at 02:02 am

GB needs an O line that can support a power running game. Then #28 makes all the sense in the world. This is a huge part of getting to a SB.

0 points
0
0
Tundraboy's picture

February 04, 2024 at 07:14 pm

I like him, what he did when Jones was out, but if I'm honest ,we can do better and should.

0 points
0
0
BAMABADGER's picture

February 04, 2024 at 08:12 pm

A great person who loves the area and is an outstanding representative of the Packers and GB community.
Realistically, his over all performance does not warrant a high value contract. Sign him to a fair backup RB contract or let him seek offers outside the organization.

1 points
1
0
barutanseijin's picture

February 04, 2024 at 11:25 pm

Dillon usually doesn’t get the job done. Likable character but not a good pro football player.

-2 points
0
2
SicSemperTyrannis's picture

February 08, 2024 at 02:04 am

Scheme doesn't fix everything, an O line that can dominate does.

0 points
0
0
Lphill's picture

February 05, 2024 at 05:30 am

No , great guy but can’t gain a yard when needed .

-2 points
0
2
PackfanNY's picture

February 05, 2024 at 07:15 am

Tough decision. I mean he’s been dinged up a couple of times. I like AJ but it seems like he has regressed a bit. Third and Fourth and One have really not been our strong suit. Why? We have AJ a “big” back…but ? Is it him or our O line? How much does he tie up on the cap?

Bottom line, I think Gute goes the draft route. This is a new world where RBs are fungible.

0 points
0
0
arthurl's picture

February 05, 2024 at 01:30 pm

If the contract works, I am hoping they resign AJ. He’s been in the system and is a good complement for Jones. People complain about what he can’t do, but there a lot of good things he does do. The bulk of his work this past season was when the entire offense was finding its way. I hope they still draft another RB in the early rounds as both Jones and Dillon missed games this past season.

1 points
1
0