Brian Gutekunst Needs To Be Ruthless To Help The Packers Defense

A new defensive coordinator won't fix everything when it comes to the Packers defense. Green Bay general manager Brian Gutekunst has to be ruthless when it comes to overturning the defensive roster and moving on from guys who just aren't pulling their weight.

 

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6 points
 

Comments (46)

Fan-Friendly This filter will hide comments which have ratio of 5 to 1 down-vote to up-vote.
stevehj's picture

January 29, 2024 at 12:27 pm

To win a super bowl there is no doubt the Packers defense has to improve. All of your points are right on. But, with the salary cap situation that Green Bay has to live with in 2024, outside of the coming draft, where and how are they going to find new guys that are going to be substantially better?

2 points
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KenEllis's picture

January 29, 2024 at 01:48 pm

Who is this new Packer Aaron preaching ruthlessness in Green Bay?

After hearing Packer Aaron extol the virtues of "the Packer Way" for years without seemingly acknowledging the limitations on that approach (I mean, how many times have we heard about what "good" or "nice" men Barry, and before him Drayton, are as if niceness was an important consideration in how they go about performing their duties), I've got to say I'm impressed.

Could not agree more about the Gute/Green Bay going all ruthless this offseason because at least one Super Bowl window with Jordan Love at QB has already started and there is no room for sentiment if a Lombardi is the goal.

Oh, and this does not just go for the defense (I'm looking at your AJ Dillon).

1 points
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PeteK's picture

January 29, 2024 at 02:30 pm

I like Dillon, but money needs to go elsewhere. Watching the Niners fullback (will not even try to spell the name ) I thought that he could be great at that position. Add Runyon to that list.

1 points
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jannes bjornson's picture

January 29, 2024 at 05:41 pm

I like Stover a TE/FB fromOhio State to play the Juszczyk role as blaster/receiver. He can get low with the pads and has good hands. Deguara couldn't get the job done in four years. Dillon is a not a physical guy, despite his body type. You need a FB type to make the defense pay in crunch time, not 3 & outs.

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Minniman's picture

January 30, 2024 at 02:11 am

Regrettably Dillon, like Jamaal Williams before him, is a fantastic guy....... but moderate (at best) RB1.

1 points
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SicSemperTyrannis's picture

January 29, 2024 at 08:36 pm

Defense doesn't prevent injury to your QB. OL has to be the priority in this draft. They got rid of Hanson, Newman should go. Nijman probably wouldn't come back under any circumstance. Bakh and JRJ are both going to be re-signed?

That leaves 7 returning O linemen, Gutey needs to draft three good ones, which means early rounds. The 4 OTs are 6'9", 6'8", 6'7" and 6'6". Certainly they weren't drafted to play on the interior. Why draft guys that big if you're never going to play them? If these 4 really can't hold down two positions between them why are they taking up roster spots? Mt Caleb was dominant in TC.

All 3 draft picks need to be on the interior. The entire line was hurt this season, and their performance was allowed to suffer instead of playing a substitute. I was hoping to see all this fixed at TC, but that never happened. While the O line play certainly improved over the course of the season, there were still more than 5 games with serious risk to JL10.

D should continue to develop and improve from churning the bottom of the roster, the star QB is too important. The entire offense works better with an improved O line, too. With Zach Tom at RT the full extent of depth on the interior is Sean Rhyan.

The only ones that I don't know were playing hurt were Nijman, Walker, and Rhyan.

The new DC can get things rolling next season, then 2025 should have some cap space for star FAs and the draft can focus on D. If he also likes the idea of a hybrid DB / LB Gutey should still be able to get somebody like that, I'm curious to see how it works ...

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1962Packer's picture

January 29, 2024 at 12:32 pm

Savage seems to play better in the box; but mostly plays deeper. Packers have a tradition of picking man coverage CBs; and having them play zone. Let Alexander play close to the WR. MLF needs to pick a DC who knows how to use players where their strengths are.

8 points
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SicSemperTyrannis's picture

January 29, 2024 at 08:43 pm

Yup!

I don't know how you get an honest evaluation on anybody who's being used incorrectly. Somebody couldn't bring down Christian McCaffrey? That describes everyone in the league.

It will be interesting to see what the roster looks like after June 1.

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Leatherhead's picture

January 29, 2024 at 01:00 pm

I'll be swimming against the current, again.

We dress 21 Typically, that's 5 DL, 4 OLB/EDGE types, 3 interior LBs , and 9 DBs, usually 4 safeties and 5 corners.

Under contract for next year: Clark, Wyatt, Slaton, Wooden, Brooks. Gary, VanNess, PSmith, Enagbare (who won't be available until mid-season, most likely). Campbell, Walker, McDuffie. Alexander, Stokes, Nixon, Savage,Owens, Valentine. AJ Johnson and Brenton Cox.

It certainly appears to me that most of our defense is already under contract. If I check the 2024 roster out at Spotrac, it shows that Nixon, Savage, and Owens are free agents. If they depart, it will create an opportunity to draft their replacement, but I'm not seeing a need or a plan to clean house

IMO, the most bang for the buck is to figure out how to get one more scoring drive/game out of the offense, because if we can do that, we can win with the guys we have on defense now. We will add to the secondary, quite possibly in the first round, and I'd prefer a corner instead of a safety.

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MooPack's picture

January 29, 2024 at 01:43 pm

I agree with much of that. I think Savage, Campbell, Owens and possibly Nixon (depending on value they place as returner) will be gone.

This 2024 draft is a heavy offense draft. Especially the 1st round. There are 5 QB's, 5-6 WR's, 1 TE, No RB's, and legit 8 OL that could go in the 1st. That's almost a 2/3 of the 1st round.

It is not a very good defensive draft in the 1st, with the exception of CB. There is probably only 1 maybe 2 DL, 4 OLB/Edge, No LB's, 4-5 CB's, No Safeties.

OL and CB seem most likely. And unless his name is Cooper DeJean, who can play any DB position CB/S/Slot, but will probably be gone, my vote is for OL. Why? Because arguably the best player at the most valued position is Jordan Love. He goes down, the team goes down. This team is ripe for playoff runs for more than a few years. I say make sure he is protected at all costs. No time for homer value of this OL. Upgrades can be made at almost every position. OL rookies start every year, many to high level. And when they beat out a starter, said starter becomes valuable depth. OL set for many years. Packers have found value at OL in later rounds. I'm more inclined to percentages. Those show 1st round is clearly better long term. Play darts not craps. Craps has no skill, pure luck. Darts actually takes some skill.

2 points
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Leatherhead's picture

January 29, 2024 at 03:04 pm

OMG Moo!! I concur that pick #25 should be Cooper DeJean. The Packers, and Gutekunst, have a long history of drafting defensive players in the first round.

But those picks between #40 and #92.....we get 4 chances. IMO, we should use those chances to replace Dillon and improve the OL, at a minimum. That's assuming we keep Jones (I think we will). As you stated we should make sure he "is protected at all costs" and I am totally in agreement with that. I've seen enough that I can say if he's well-protected, we're going to be able to get it done in the air. And of course, a better and deeper Oline would make our backs more effective, too.

On the subject of the OL, it really seems like Runyan loves being a Packer, and a check with Spotrac.com shows it might not cost very much money to keep him. He's a legitimate NFL starter on the Oline, can play more than one position, stays healthy, etc. If the Packers resign him, he'd probably be our #4 or #5 lineman until somebody gets hurt.

We have Walker, Jenkins, Myers, and Tom as putative starters for 2024 Rhyan has been groomed as a replacement for Runyan. And there's Newman. Nobody else has ever taken a snap.

I think Tom and Jenkins are our best linemen, but we could draft two guys who are better than everybody else. I hope Newman does not make the team. I'd be happier if Walker is a backup. This is the last year for Myers on his contract

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LLCHESTY's picture

January 29, 2024 at 03:52 pm

People keep repeating "DeJean can play safety" like it's some sort of mantra. He played One Snap as a deep safety in his last three years at Iowa. Maybe he can and maybe he can't but there's no way to say he can play every position when he hasn't played it yet.

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MooPack's picture

January 29, 2024 at 04:23 pm

I'm from Iowa. Hawks are my team. He signed as a Safety, but had to move because of injury. He lined up as LB and slot as well. I know many "experts" project him there. In this case I believe them. He can play anywhere in D backfield.

2 points
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jannes bjornson's picture

January 30, 2024 at 11:24 am

DeJean is a slot CB/Safety who can range as a free guy in the mold of Harrison Smith. He is a guy who can come downhill and destroy the 3rd and short run, or pass in the short zones. He is a 4.4 guy with a football player's mind. He will be off the board btw #10-15. Gutedkunst would be wise to move up for this guy, or snag Q Mitchell as the press corner opposite Jaire. The next DC looks to be a guy who can coordinate a secondary which plays to the ball. Seven picks for the season doesn't make it.

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Coldworld's picture

January 30, 2024 at 08:19 am

I think we need to think about the fact that, regardless of potential, he had not been a safety and isn’t one yet. That’s a conversion project.

Generally, I’m fine with hose if the talent is really elite, but in our circumstances we are now seemingly good enough to contend but S is a gaping hole. We need to get safeties who can play now before we reach for the future stars at that position. We need to be at least found next season first.

For me that starts with a free agent and then a ready now type. Once that’s in place then by all means reach for the future star, but with our first pick? No I wouldn’t do that this year. I would rather trade down if the draft goes as you are predicting. Now if we get two starter level FA safeties in place (unlikely) then things might look different.

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PeteK's picture

January 29, 2024 at 02:42 pm

Campbell has an 11.6 cap hit and we save 2.6 releasing him, so for those figures, I would rather keep him for one more year and draft another ILB in later rounds.

4 points
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Leatherhead's picture

January 29, 2024 at 03:15 pm

Exactly. We can cut people and save money but then we have to replace those people as well. I'd rather have Campbell than the cap space we'd save.

In fact, we could release/trade/cut Jones, and Campbell, and PSmith, and save $10 million!!!! Or...we could spend the $10 million and have Campbell, Smith, and Jones on the team.

I think they're all pretty good players still. When you're the youngest team in history, or whatever, a few guys who've been around the block a couple of times have some value.

3 points
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jannes bjornson's picture

January 29, 2024 at 05:45 pm

When healthy, he is the better of the two ILBs. He knows the position and is a solid cover LB. See how his knee shapes up. Will he need his shoulder repaired?

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Coldworld's picture

January 30, 2024 at 08:23 am

The question with Campbell and probably Runyon is how hurt were they and are there longer term implications anticipated that make a repeat probable? None of us know, but the team does. That makes or breaks the decisions for me.

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SicSemperTyrannis's picture

January 29, 2024 at 08:47 pm

Notice that Brenton Cox is an OLB, and probably a very good one, or at least a fierce competitor. That leaves 7 DBs.

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jannes bjornson's picture

January 30, 2024 at 12:15 pm

If he was any good, he would have seen the field.

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jtodd1980's picture

January 29, 2024 at 01:07 pm

No question the middle of the defense needs major upgrades. I would start on the line of scrimmage. They've got to be better vs the run. We need a big time, run stuffing big guy. Slaton is ok, he's no Gilbert Brown. He needs someone to go along with him to eat up blocks so the LB's can run free and make tackles. Speaking of LB's, no question LB is a position of need. I'm not convince Quay needs to be MLB1. I think he's a formidable 2. We need and absolute "dawg" on the inside. Baltimore has two in Smith and Queens, SF has two in Greenlaw and Warner. We need a dude that will smash your face in, help sure up the run defense. Safety, no question, there are no answers in the building right now. We won't be big players in free agency but Safety probably needs to be at the top of the list. I would add an edge rusher to the defense. Gary took a big step back after he got paid. We need a guy, that on third down, the offense is game-planning to stop. He's not on the roster right now.

5 points
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Oppy's picture

January 29, 2024 at 08:32 pm

Barring injury, Gary is going to be an absolute beast in 2024.

3 points
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SicSemperTyrannis's picture

January 29, 2024 at 08:48 pm

#99 J Ford played how many snaps? He was called up for how many games?

0, right?

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jannes bjornson's picture

January 30, 2024 at 12:14 pm

T'Vondre Sweat will free up Kenny Clark and Wyatt to make plays. Forget Dom, Pettine and Barry, get a new scheme. Play to Win.

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Bigspiker7's picture

January 29, 2024 at 03:33 pm

Gutekunst needs to look to replace both inside linebackers. Walker is so slow to react he gets catch in the wash to much and sometimes quits when a lineman frees up and squares off at him on the second level. He is a coach killer. Both ILB’s and safeties need upgrades,

-5 points
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Razer's picture

January 29, 2024 at 03:39 pm

Totally agree with the BigSpiker. Both Walker and Savage are very good athletes but a little short on football smarts. Slow to recognize and react these guys are usually trying to catch up to the play.

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SicSemperTyrannis's picture

January 29, 2024 at 08:54 pm

#7 is completely different when allowed to play aggressively vs when made to hold back in coverage. In coverage he's often bad and he'll miss the play, too. Attacking the line of scrimmage? VERY effective!

A good DC should be able to use this asset correctly. Hopefully that includes developing #7 into a more versatile ILB.

McDuffie brings the nasty! Still need to hit on the position in the draft though.

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Coldworld's picture

January 30, 2024 at 08:28 am

Walker got drafted in the back of playing in a way that was just like the poster above wishes for. Barry used him in a way that negated that. Walker may be the player who benefits most from a new DC.

The same could be said of Savage and Stokes. Stokes has to show he’s truly back first though and Savage is probably gone. Barry didn’t design for players, he pushed players into his designs regardless of fit. One of the reasons for his downfall.

0 points
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Razer's picture

January 29, 2024 at 03:37 pm

Thanks Aaron for completing the picture on this defense. Bringing in a new DC without addressing the talent gaps will yield more of the same. I take my hat off to Gutekunst on the recent draft for the offensive side of the ball. Given the draft investment on defense, we have not done as well. He tends to fall in love with guys and over drafts on defense. He needs to listen to others in the draft room when it comes to defense.

3 points
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Qoojo's picture

January 29, 2024 at 05:41 pm

I said it in a few games, like Atlanta, that even if JB managed to make a decent play call that the tackler would whiff. One play in particular against Falcons, a GB defender had runner at LOS, never made contact, and it went for like 10 yards. Many GB defenders should get charged Uber rates for all the rides that they take.

After I have so many years of bad defense. I have regularly wondered why packers regularly seem to be bad tacklers. Meanwhile, other teams are perennial solid tackling teams.

I do wonder if it is the passiveness of the defense that drives it. So many times you see spectators on the packers defense when it comes to tackling. But I also see guys that care. I just hope MLF gets an aggressive DC that engages the players and doesn't drive futility.

4 points
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Leatherhead's picture

January 30, 2024 at 06:20 pm

Qoojo, it does seem that we have bad tackling.

But, I checked it out at pro-football-reference and we were average. Our missed tackles were right around 100, which was pretty much average.

A majority of the tackles are made by the DBs against larger ball carriers moving at a high rate of speed. It's easy to jack yourself up. Alexander tried to blow up a dude a while back and missed quite a few games.

The 49ers and the Chiefs are both in the Top 6 of Fewest Tackles Missed and we had about 30 more than they did. Dallas led the league with only 60.

There's room for improvement, but this is not a bunch of "bad tacklers".

0 points
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Qoojo's picture

January 31, 2024 at 04:27 pm

There is also yards after contact that factors in.

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stockholder's picture

January 29, 2024 at 05:54 pm

I would say Ruthless fixing the Cap.
Not the Defense.
Nixon needs more time.
Savage needs to be moved.
Owens played with heart.
And Campbell has regressed
but was injured.

If you want to get back to the play-offs.
Keep the chemistry in tack.

Keep the bargains, but draft the position.

3 points
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jannes bjornson's picture

January 30, 2024 at 12:21 pm

If HE needs to move up for a blue-chip, do it.

0 points
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CanPackFan's picture

January 29, 2024 at 05:56 pm

To improve, we need aggressive scheming (from a new DC), a teacher to improve tackling (a new DC and better D staff) and personnel changes (Gutes). The cap is again going to seriously constrain us on free agents. Argh! So, I can see Gutes getting serious on evaluating big payroll guys and paying Love like an elite QB. Bakh for sure is far too expensive. Campbell is likely one, but the guy when healthy is very good albeit expensive. Smith only alleviates 2.5 mil but he maintains a good edge. Jaire is an expensive question mark both in health and his ego/attitude. Stokes - far too injury prone. It's going to be interesting. GPG

0 points
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Packman60's picture

January 29, 2024 at 07:33 pm

The cap will seriously impede our ability to sign top end free agents. I think they will likely sign one mid-tier free agent either a slot corner or more likely a safety. I don't know that you would want to be starting 2 rookie safety's which is why I think the one free agent they sign will likely be from that position group. They have 5 picks in the top 100. I would expect 4 of the 5 to be on the defensive side of the ball..With compensatory picks they'll go into the draft with 11 picks.If they hold to that number 7 out of the 11 will likely be to restock the defense, with the remaining going to running back and o-line.

1 points
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Oppy's picture

January 29, 2024 at 08:48 pm

Campbell was a risky extension after he had an anomalous, career year when he first came aboard.. His body of work says he's just a guy. Starter? Yes. Plus starter? I don't think so.

Savage has about five to seven games in his career where he's flashed, otherwise, just a guy. There was one game his sophomore year where he made a break on a ball thrown to the far sideline from outside the hashes and he nearly broke up the play- in that moment, he looked like he had the range of
Nick Collins.. never saw anything remotely like that again. I was not thrilled when the Packers picked up his 5th year option.

Nixon was over-paid to retain a ST return threat on a squad that needed a bright spot to build on. He seems to have been given nickleback / slot duties to justify the salary. He is not good enough to keep that position. I would keep him as depth, but there should be better brought in.

With stokes on the mend again, he clearly cant be looked at as CB#2.. so.. we also need another corner to play opposite Jaire as well. Will they rely on Valentine or Ballentine?

There is work to be done.

4 points
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Bitternotsour's picture

January 29, 2024 at 09:33 pm

32 teams, 52 man roster, let's for the sake of argument say there are 1500 players in the NFL. Then, let's go ahead and give each team 5 safeties. That's 150 or so. Break that down to starters and it's 64 but let's be generous and make it 100.

If you're one of 100 on the planet, playing and starting as a safety in the NFL, you are not just a guy. Savage may not be Nick Collins, but we've never seen a Nick Collins since he was carted off the field. Savage can play. There is no such thing as "just a guy" in the NFL.

0 points
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Leatherhead's picture

January 30, 2024 at 05:55 pm

Facts, true facts. Let me amplify on your facts.

Let's set this group of 100 safeties up on the bell curve. 2/3 are close to average. The rest are in a high and a low group of about 16 each.

Stand back and objectively look at where Savage is on a scale of 1 to 100. 50? That's an average starter. I'd estimate that he's actually higher than that, so let's say 30. That would clearly make him an above average safety, although not a top safety in the league.

2 points
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Bitternotsour's picture

January 30, 2024 at 06:12 pm

book it. yet in that first year he had the makings of being a top safety. Injury, scheme, and possibly coaching have impacted that development.

1 points
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Oppy's picture

January 30, 2024 at 07:43 pm

His first year, Savage showed almost nothing.

0 points
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Oppy's picture

January 30, 2024 at 07:51 pm

It's fair to say that Savage is, for better or for worse, the Packers top option at safety, and has been since he was drafted.

If Savage was objectively ranked as the #30 safety in the league, that's basically stating that of all 32 teams, 29 teams have a better starting safety than Savage. That doesn't sound so good now, does it? (Yes, that's assuming that the 29 safeties rated higher are each distributed to individual teams, but you get the drift.)

Look, fellas.. Savage isn't a special talent. So far, he hasn't proven to be a plus starter at his position. If you want to continue to wait for him to show consistent, plus-play, that's fine. I would rather the Packers continue to look for a Safety that shows the potential to be a top 10, top 15 safety in the league.

I don't think that's a too hard line. Maybe I'm wrong.

Edit: It's certainly not the end-all, be-all, but I looked up PFF's Top 32 Safeties heading into the 2023 season. Darnell Savage's name is not even mentioned. I don't know what to tell you. I think the Packers should be looking to improve at safety.

0 points
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Oppy's picture

January 30, 2024 at 07:43 pm

I understand these guys are gifted athletes. I go to bat for backups and even PS players all the time.

With that being said, when I say "just a guy" it is in comparison to other starters in the league.

0 points
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NFLfan's picture

January 29, 2024 at 08:57 pm

If Christian Parker is hired, he is a successful DB coach and hopefully Gute will listen to his suggestions re: personnel choices. The DC needs to accompany Gutekunst while he is evaluating D. players.
I would also pay more attention to Wonderlic scores. There may have been playbook comprehension issues with some of the D.

1 points
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Packerpasty's picture

January 30, 2024 at 05:39 pm

More pieces to be added through draft and maybe F/A if theres money avail...im wondering if Van Ness is going to take a step up next year...that would be nice...for a player taken higher up in the draft its time for him to be more than a project...

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